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With everything booming, is there something that hasn't lifted off yet?
Posted on 6/5/20 at 12:29 pm
Posted on 6/5/20 at 12:29 pm
Anything lying in the weeds?
Posted on 6/5/20 at 12:31 pm to rpg37
stonks only go up. all purchase points are launch pads.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 1:13 pm to oklahogjr
quote:
stonks only go up. all purchase points are launch pads.
It feels that way lately
Posted on 6/5/20 at 1:23 pm to rpg37
Biotech hasn’t moved. It’s not a momentum play so many have sold bio to buy things that Covid impacted the most.
See:
ARDX
AUPH
SAGE
These are value plays now. There’s no excitement, but they’re discounted.
See:
ARDX
AUPH
SAGE
These are value plays now. There’s no excitement, but they’re discounted.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 4:01 pm to rpg37
Of course Everything not booming
Posted on 6/5/20 at 4:15 pm to Hamma1122
I guess what I meant to ask was with most items in the upswing now, what is the best value to throw more money at now?
Posted on 6/5/20 at 4:18 pm to rpg37
quote:
what is the best value to throw more money at now?
Probably REITs
Posted on 6/5/20 at 4:23 pm to rpg37
quote:
Anything lying in the weeds?
I'm betting on banks with a 2-3 year time horizon. They are still priced for heavy defaults, yet the overall market is reflecting a V. One of them is correct. We shall see which.
Posted on 6/5/20 at 7:13 pm to rpg37
These snapshots should give you a decent idea.. energy is by far the most depressed sector, even after big gains today. The problem is that there’s still uncertainty around oil & gas in the short term because of the OPEC+ risks. But that’s part of the deal when you go bargain hunting.. no free lunches.
That said, even the refining companies with no upstream operations are still pretty depressed - VLO is still down 10% from its February high and MPC is down 30% from its February high. These companies should theoretically be much more insulated from oil price swings since their profits are driven by gasoline demand rather than oil supply. Disclosure: I haven’t taken any kind of deep dive into the fuel demand forecasts.
I think there’s still a fair amount of money to be made in the telecom and electric utilities industries as well. But none of these are sexy, none are likely to net 200% in a month, and they all have a ceiling compared to the high growth tech stocks. But they seem (to me) like the safest bet to beat the S&P 500 over the next year or so.
ETA: Another view..
That said, even the refining companies with no upstream operations are still pretty depressed - VLO is still down 10% from its February high and MPC is down 30% from its February high. These companies should theoretically be much more insulated from oil price swings since their profits are driven by gasoline demand rather than oil supply. Disclosure: I haven’t taken any kind of deep dive into the fuel demand forecasts.
I think there’s still a fair amount of money to be made in the telecom and electric utilities industries as well. But none of these are sexy, none are likely to net 200% in a month, and they all have a ceiling compared to the high growth tech stocks. But they seem (to me) like the safest bet to beat the S&P 500 over the next year or so.
ETA: Another view..
This post was edited on 6/5/20 at 7:20 pm
Posted on 6/5/20 at 10:16 pm to rpg37
Beer stocks are still pretty low - Bud, Tap, Abev,
Deo and stz are not quite as good of deals.
MO is still pretty low and PM is still off the highs.
Deo and stz are not quite as good of deals.
MO is still pretty low and PM is still off the highs.
Posted on 6/6/20 at 11:04 pm to eng08
Agree in the beer stocks. Rode BUD up 16% this week and sold.
I will probably take another position after this correction I feel is coming.
Rode USO and UGA up 10% on expectation prices would rally with Cristobal coming. But energy is probably a good LT play. The problem is that sector has been poo for awhile. ExxonMobil has dropped continuously long before corona.
I will probably take another position after this correction I feel is coming.
Rode USO and UGA up 10% on expectation prices would rally with Cristobal coming. But energy is probably a good LT play. The problem is that sector has been poo for awhile. ExxonMobil has dropped continuously long before corona.
This post was edited on 6/6/20 at 11:05 pm
Posted on 6/7/20 at 6:06 am to TDFreak
I’ve added both bud and tap as long term holds.
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