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Toys R US Collapse Impact on Real Estate (Update: Bye Bye)

Posted on 3/12/18 at 5:00 pm
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
36919 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 5:00 pm
Interesting article about an issue not many are talking about at the moment

LINK

About to be a lot of stand alone empty boxes. I feel like the last time we saw this was when Circuit City collapsed.

I know the Circuit City in Metairie was vacant for a long time, eventually becoming a cheap furniture store.

Update: They gone LINK
This post was edited on 3/14/18 at 5:37 pm
Posted by tigerpawl
Can't get there from here.
Member since Dec 2003
22206 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 5:35 pm to
Target/Slidell (announced a while back) now dark.
Posted by RTN
Member since Oct 2016
769 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 5:35 pm to
quote:

I feel like the last time we saw this was when Circuit City collapsed


Sports Authority and Gander Mountain also
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
36919 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 5:52 pm to
quote:


Sports Authority


Forgot about that one. That's a good comparison. About 450 stores. So smaller... but still a pretty major retail collapse.

quote:

Gander Mountain


Nowhere near the number of stores. And aren't some of them staying open after all?
This post was edited on 3/12/18 at 5:54 pm
Posted by Fat Harry
70115
Member since Mar 2005
2211 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 5:57 pm to
I don't see how commercial real estate isn't affected by retail collapse. There are a ton of commercial mortgage-backed securities out there.
Posted by achenator
Member since Oct 2014
2943 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Target/Slidell (announced a while back) now dark.
Pretty soon there won't be anything but wal mart and sam's on that side of town.
Posted by baldona
Florida
Member since Feb 2016
20364 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 7:49 pm to
Commercial retail and restaurant space is a bubble. Prices are absurd. I don't know what the answer is honestly, but neither one can afford them and retail is probably on a different level than restaurants as part of restaurant issues are the equipment.

I don't see toys r us having any kind of noticeable impact on the market, they aren't even in most towns unless they are like 250k people or bigger. It's just the newest giant to fall.

I honestly think toy's r us likely had very poor leadership. I don't have one nearby but everytime I went it always seemed they lacked a ton of things. Many people say they are way overpriced, so I guess they don't price match?
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
9307 posts
Posted on 3/12/18 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

Pretty soon there won't be anything but wal mart and sam's on that side of town.

Wonder what will become of the area. The movie theater and hotel beside it could suffer as well. Was always a strange location for a theater and hotel anyway.

A couple more hotels were recently built (10 years or less?) at that exit along I-12 as well.
This post was edited on 3/12/18 at 8:08 pm
Posted by Novae
Member since Aug 2005
97 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 9:59 am to
Decent article about the hedge funds use of leverage that drove Toys R Us to bankruptcy. I'm afraid this won't be the last example of this. Guess who still got their fees though.

Forbes Article on LBO of ToysRUs
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
36919 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

I'm afraid this won't be the last example of this


Toys R Us
Circuit City
Winn Dixie / Bi Lo

All examples of leveraged buyouts that went south
Posted by matthew25
Member since Jun 2012
9425 posts
Posted on 3/13/18 at 10:27 pm to
Mitt Romney's firm was involved. Paid WAY too much.
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27813 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 2:48 am to
quote:

Guess who still got their fees though.


I'm unsure what you're suggesting. It appears they paid over a billion dollars for the company and were paid $183 million in advisory fees associated with the ownership. Where is the swindle that i'm missing that you appear to be alluding to?
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10248 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 5:38 am to
Probably was referring to this
quote:

Still, the bankruptcy process will impose more fees on Toys "R" Us, from the likes of Kirkland & Ellis, whose lawyers charge upwards of $1,000 an hour. The same firm advised Bain Capital when it purchased its stake in the Toys "R" Us leveraged buyout in 2005. In his filing, Toys "R" Us CEO Brandon estimates that based on his conversations with investment bank Lazard, there will be $96.5 million in fees just to procure the debtor-in-possession financing.
Posted by hiltacular
NYC
Member since Jan 2011
19663 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 9:27 am to
quote:

I don't see how commercial real estate isn't affected by retail collapse. There are a ton of commercial mortgage-backed securities out there.


The trickle down effect of any large company closing is going to be extremely significant. From loss of jobs to vacant real estate all sectors will experience a ripple effect whether they realize it or not.
Posted by GetBackToWork
Member since Dec 2007
6246 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 9:50 am to
Mervyn's department store is another. Believe this followed the classic script of loading up on debt, selling company real estate out then leasing back at high rates, and charging high debt service. Drove the company under.
Posted by Fat Harry
70115
Member since Mar 2005
2211 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 10:08 am to
It's not a swindle, but the $1B buyout price was using other peoples' money (bank and investors) whereas the fees were paid to the equity group.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
36919 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

It appears they paid over a billion dollars for the company and were paid $183 million in advisory fees associated with the ownership.


They didn't really "pay" a billion... the vast majority was borrowed money which the bankruptcy will ultimately eliminate.

I wonder what their cash on cash return actually was.
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
9307 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 4:10 pm to
quote:

Mervyn's department store

This placed clothed me all through middle school

Loved going in around Christmas. My mom still puts up her Town Square village at Christmas every year. I also still have a stuffed reindeer, his name is Randolph.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50335 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

Guess who still got their fees though.



No one was forced to lend them the debt.
Posted by ATLdawg25
Atlanta, GA
Member since Oct 2014
4370 posts
Posted on 3/14/18 at 9:46 pm to
In your update link - “...toy vendors will live to regret the day this happened.” What did any toy vendors do to cause this?

TRU was overleveraged to the point that they couldn’t cover their debt obligations. What is a toy vendor supposed to do, subsidize those payments with lower margins?
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