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re: This "top economist" says most of us are saving too much for retirement

Posted on 6/7/24 at 5:53 pm to
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46423 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 5:53 pm to
I agree with that absolutely.
We’ve met with CPAs, bankers, investment advisors etc, they are all trying to sell you something obviously so whether what they are selling is helpful to you is a personal decision and you have to do your own homework too.

I’m not scared of a little risk one way or the other. If you have decent SS you CAN deal with lower total savings
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
25830 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 6:14 pm to
quote:

After this next term healthcare will just be abortion, death shot, or tranny surgery so nobody needs a big medical budget


I’ve got my entire 401k in GME so I’m good.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
79068 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

They also have Medicare


Somewhat overrated.

Part A is free. Part B and Part D have a premium. It also pays only 80% and has deductibles.

You'd need Medicare plus a Medigap plan, ideally Part G, in which case you're paying ~ $300/mo for coverage and $240/yr out of pocket for office visits and DME.
Posted by tigerbacon
Arkansas
Member since Aug 2010
4480 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 8:37 pm to
Combined me and the wife are looking at 5mil in our 401Ks. We also have investment accounts that will be over 1mil. And will have no bills come 50 so I’m not worried or relying on the government for anything
Posted by 98eagle
Member since Sep 2020
3094 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

Combined me and the wife are looking at 5mil in our 401Ks


You know y'all could go ahead and retire with that much in your 401Ks. If you just put $1.5 million in BITO, you would have 57,339 shares at today's closing price. If you had that many shares and BITO's monthly dividend stayed the same as the June dividend ($1.76 per share) your monthly dividend paycheck into your 401Ks would be $100,916.64 every month. In approximately 14 months you've created cash dividends equal to your initial investment. BITO's dividends have steadily increased every month this year, but there's no guarantee. Still you could be getting a massive monthly paycheck even at half that.
This post was edited on 6/7/24 at 9:41 pm
Posted by Tigerstark
Parts unknown
Member since Aug 2011
6851 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 9:08 pm to
Let him ask people like that in their 80s when they have nothing left.
Posted by Thundercles
Mars
Member since Sep 2010
6114 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 9:10 pm to
quote:

I put my target at 2.2 MM

This feels right, or is that adjusted for inflation when you do retire?
Posted by La Place Mike
West Florida Republic
Member since Jan 2004
30885 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

They also have Medicare.



You really don't understand how Medicare.
Posted by turkish
Member since Aug 2016
2258 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 9:34 pm to
Boy, I sure hope he’s right!
Posted by tokenBoiler
Lafayette, Indiana
Member since Aug 2012
4976 posts
Posted on 6/7/24 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Live a basic life style. My observations are that most people once over 80 years of age don't really consume a lot of extras.
While that's true, the biggest fear driving my own retirement saving goals is that I REALLY don't want to be 85 and wake up in an ER with a broken hip and $100 in the bank.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
51278 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 12:01 am to
quote:

98eagle


Out of curiosity what is your age?
Posted by John McClane
Member since Apr 2010
37168 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 12:27 am to
quote:

Frick that. And who knows what the hell the Federal Government may do with IRAs and 401ks, after "promising" what the tax rules will be


I’m quite confident the federal government cannot mess with the Roth rules they put in place at least as it relates to monies taxed and invested to date, including amounts generated in interest to date relating to those taxed contributions. However, they could put a stake into the ground to end it going forward for new contributions. Otherwise, it would be patently unconstitutional.
Posted by TejasHorn
High Plains Driftin'
Member since Mar 2007
11587 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 5:49 am to
quote:

Social security will be defunct soon


Has been said since the 70s.

Back to the OP, I’m not sure how anyone could live 20 or 30 years of retirement on $100K nowadays, especially as health issues arise. I guess sitting in a paid off house and watching TV the rest of your life, collecting SS can make it work. But that’s not a “happy retirement” for most I’d guess.

The math doesn’t work.

Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
49104 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 8:05 am to
quote:

This all assumes social security pays you a wage. Social security will be defunct soon

Social security isn’t going anywhere. We may go broke ensuring it stays but it won’t go anywhere.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
170584 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 8:22 am to
quote:

if you don’t have that taken care of before retirement regardless of your savings you’ve failed

Agreed

I've decided to rent and stockpile cash. When I'm 20 years from retirement I'm going to get into a 15 year mortgage

At least that's the plan for now
Posted by RoyalWe
Prairieville, LA
Member since Mar 2018
4261 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 8:25 am to
quote:

Agreed
What an asinine statement. What if I have $10MM liquid and a $250K mortgage? Did I "fail"?
Posted by fjlee90
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2016
8518 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 8:25 am to
quote:

Combined me and the wife are looking at 5mil in our 401Ks


We are on track for close to this, and she will have a pension.

55, rain or shine, we are hanging it up. My lifestyle will be based on what I have saved at that point.
Posted by Twenty 49
Shreveport
Member since Jun 2014
20827 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 8:28 am to
Later in the article:

quote:

Biggs is a noted conservative economist and something of a contrarian. Earlier this year, he and a colleague sparked outrage with a paper that argued for eliminating the 401(k) plan.


He's conservative but wants to take away one of our best tax-avoidance and savings-promotion laws? Screw him.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82047 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 8:39 am to
They want us to be poor and dependent on government. That’s the only explanation
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 6/8/24 at 8:54 am to
quote:

$50,000 to $100,000 in total savings.


quote:

How many of them have pensions?


Excellent point. And what the analysis in the OP also ignores are income producing assets, whether it be rental real estate or other assets that throw off income.

I’m assuming that in his “total savings” calculation, he’s just including bank and brokerage balances (including 401Ks and the like), and not pensions or income producing assets.
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