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The V-shaped recovery is well and truly on its way

Posted on 4/6/20 at 3:40 pm
Posted by rickgrimes
Member since Jan 2011
4178 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 3:40 pm
We are not going back to the March 23rd lows. Convince me otherwise. Cases in NYC have plateaued. Social distancing has worked great in California. Denmark is reopening schools for smaller kids.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 3:51 pm
Posted by Tri City Tigers
Member since Oct 2018
2343 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 3:41 pm to
Most places won't be open for business for another month or two. This won't be a V. More like a W.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 3:49 pm
Posted by LSUFrosty
Member since Jan 2012
1861 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 3:44 pm to
I'll believe it when I see it. Hope you are right, but I'm still waiting for the other shoe to drop.
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
16140 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 3:50 pm to
Posted by JDPndahizzy
JDP
Member since Nov 2013
6399 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 3:56 pm to
great scene!!
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 4:12 pm to
Hope you're right but doubt it.
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
4583 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

I'll believe it when I see it. Hope you are right, but I'm still waiting for the other shoe to drop.
Posted by thermal9221
Youngsville
Member since Feb 2005
13158 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 4:55 pm to
when you see it youll shite bricks
-2008 inspiration posters
Posted by LSUTOM07
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2011
765 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

Cases in NYC have plateaued. Social distancing has worked great in California.


Serious question.. What do you think happens when quarantine is lifted? I dont see a scenario where cases dont spike again once we go back to work. Im in the Bay Area, and many of us have not left our houses in 3-4 weeks except for grocery store visits. There is no way the virus is eradicated before we go back to work in a normal setting.
Posted by Boring
Member since Feb 2019
3792 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

eradicated


Not a requirement

quote:

Bay Area


You poor bastard
Posted by JOJO Hammer
Member since Nov 2010
11903 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:09 pm to
One problem is once things open back up how do prevent a second Kung flu wave?
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:13 pm to
Midnight basketball, programs, and slam poetry
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4573 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

Im in the Bay Area,


You should follow @friedberg on Twitter. He’s doing antibody testing for those in the Bay Area and starting to show some positive results that many in that area had this virus back in January/February.
Posted by MSTiger33
Member since Oct 2007
20353 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:45 pm to
Markets are V and the economy is U
Posted by LSUTOM07
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2011
765 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 5:45 pm to
quote:

quote:
eradicated


Not a requirement



Please enlighten me. How do cases not significantly spike once quarantine is lifted?
Posted by Chef Free Gold Bloom
Wherever I’m needed
Member since Dec 2019
1364 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 6:17 pm to
quote:

The V-shaped recovery is well and truly on its wa


Recovery won’t begin until jobs come back and it’ll drop when the next jobs report comes out.

If you are not tolerant of risk stay away from the market until at least may assuming they don’t extend this nonsense
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 7:00 pm
Posted by Ingloriousbastard
Member since May 2015
917 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 6:43 pm to
If you are not tolerant of risk, then you probably have no business investing.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75096 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 6:45 pm to
The biggest risk is not taking one
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:31 pm to


i remember when several on here said it wouldn't even crash.

i dont believe anyone can identify how inefficient society (mass travel, sports, concerts, etc) will be in the near or short term. overlay of markets during trying times says the show ain’t over
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
118752 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 7:42 pm to
quote:

Serious question.. What do you think happens when quarantine is lifted? I dont see a scenario where cases dont spike again once we go back to work. Im in the Bay Area, and many of us have not left our houses in 3-4 weeks except for grocery store visits. There is no way the virus is eradicated before we go back to work in a normal setting.


I think opening things up in a measured way. I think some changes are here to stay, some social distancing in places like check out lines, limited numbers of people in stores at a time, etc. I also think restaurants will have to have 50% capacity for seating for a long time, maybe forever.
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