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Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
2407 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
Buybacks have 1% influence towards earnings growth


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
quote:

real growth


Too much debt kills real growth

Too much debt eventually swallows the entire system up
This post was edited on 1/10 at 8:27 pm


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23
LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1581 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
Think bigger than earnings? The markets are literally a discount of cash flow and future cash flows. Earnings and value are everything.

Go research what the historical percentage of revenue which goes to debt service, and where we are today relative to history. Tell me what you find.

I for one lean towards a volatile year this year and we absolutely will see recession at some point in the future, but you guys coming out of the woodwork (AFTER October, mind you), don’t have any clearer of a crystal ball than I do.


b-rab2
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2005
11622 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
Shep, do you have a link or anything? Not trying to be a dick but would love to read about it.


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
quote:

ETA: It’s time for the bears to stop comparing every selloff to 2008. That environment was the worst economic downturn in nearly 80 years. The next recession will be nothing CLOSE to the pervasiveness of the last financial crisis. This post was edited on 1/10 at 8:13 pm


The problems and fundamental issues were never solved. Everything was just reinflated with money (DEBT) out of thin air.


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33
b-rab2
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2005
11622 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
LSU, I’m a trader, I don’t care if we go up or down. But with QT going on, everything should start contracting a little With the trade war going on, it’s not going to be a pretty Q1 for tech and some industrials. Just be careful. I’m not as deep down the rabbit hole as Hussss but I’ve started down it.

Just be careful is all


LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1581 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
quote:

Just be careful


Target equity exposure was reduced on Jan 23 2018. The rest can ride the wave while you guys try to pick tops and bottoms getting whipsawed.
This post was edited on 1/10 at 8:34 pm


b-rab2
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2005
11622 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
I’m in a lot of cash, 25% EPD stock, 40% PONAX, and the rest cash and short term options.


LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1581 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
quote:

25% EPD stock


You’re telling me to be careful? Laughable.


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10
LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1581 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
Oh and PIMCO Income is highly leveraged into average junk status bonds.

Good luck. Am I doing that right?


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Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
I’m 15% long vol (waiting on VIX 18 area to be 40% long vol using ETN’s)

25% equities

60% cash right now
This post was edited on 1/10 at 8:40 pm


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21
b-rab2
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2005
11622 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
Sounds like you are

I’ve been DRIPing them for years. No change of plans
This post was edited on 1/10 at 8:44 pm


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00
Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
2407 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
LINK

See page 8


b-rab2
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2005
11622 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
Thanks. Will check out for sure.


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
Not being a dick but I don’t give out my email to people I don’t know.


b-rab2
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since Dec 2005
11622 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
No throw away email? Ok bummer. Had some trading questions to ask.


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
Ask here. I will be more than happy to answer.


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02
LSUcam7
SRB FL
Member since Sep 2016
1581 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
I just don’t get this board. I create a thread in Jan 18 to warn the Bitcoin fanatics on having a plan to exit in case the bubble pops... thread gets bashed and anchored.

Yet you can post here with all the doom and gloom metrics you can find and possibly scare amateur investors out of investing for the long haul and you get “punished” with downvotes.

Most people aren’t trading portfolios so your advice is not applicable and really shouldn’t be considered by 95% of these readers.

LINK

quote:

I Love Bama

It's the digital goldrush and many of you are sitting there with your dicks in your hand.

What is happening now is a once in a million year event.
I feel bad for people sitting on the sideline to be honest.


This post was edited on 1/10 at 9:10 pm


Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
I warned friends of mine of the same Bitcoin bubble to get out once options became available because it was going to be shorted into oblivion and none listened so I feel ya. Greed gets em every. Single. Time.

You KNOW you are on the right side when most bash you. Crowds are seldom right. Nothing is ever as great as it seems nor is it ever as bad as it seems.
This post was edited on 1/10 at 9:02 pm


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43
Hussss
Auburn Fan
Living the Dream
Member since Oct 2016
3901 posts

re: Technical Signals That Align With 2008-2009
You nailed it

When things get parabolic run for the hills.


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