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CharleyLake
Member since Oct 2006
978 posts

re: So, who is buying?
Ref. My post 8/5/19. I only kept the S & P investment for three days but took a handsome profit. Sat on the sidelines today with the recession talk. Will go back to an S & P position if the index drops another 30 or more points.


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LSUtoOmaha
LSU Fan
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
25376 posts

re: So, who is buying?
I'd hedge with vix calls instead. Stop limit won't do anything for you if there is hysteria after hours.


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Ace Midnight
LSU Fan
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
76418 posts

re: So, who is buying?
I buy all the time. Dollar cost averaging.


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pbro62
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2016
4364 posts

re: So, who is buying?
Sure you did


mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
AT&T (finally) hit my sell trigger yesterday...


thanks for the ride, T.


mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
might have a nice buying opp for IBM tomorrow..

these type of articles are often good (contra) indicators on the market...
IBM Poised for Another Sales Slide Despite Red Hat Deal: What to Watch

scare the shepple... great.

hopefully we see some dumping tomorrow morning= a company that pays close to 5% dividends right now.. moves pretty much in step with the sp500 and has clean fundamentals
....will be available for a discount.




OleWarSkuleAlum
Alabama Fan
Huntsville, AL
Member since Dec 2013
10293 posts

re: So, who is buying?
That news is already priced in


mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
quote:

That news is already priced in


you think so?
take a look at the expiring option prices...
..that is fear.
the sweet, delicious smell of fear before an earning announcement(happens after close)






mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
IBM Shares Fall as Q3 Adjusted Net Income Beats Estimate, Revenue Up Short

quote:

Shares of IBM (IBM - Get Report) are falling after hours Wednesday after the Armonk, N.Y., tech giant's third-quarter adjusted earnings exceeded analyst estimates while revenue missed. Big Blue reported adjusted earnings of $2.68 a share versus the FactSet-derived consensus analyst estimate of $2.67. Revenue totaled $18.03 billion compared with the estimate of $18.23 billion. The company posted a 14% increase in cloud revenue to $5 billion while its global business services segment brought in $4.1 billion. Systems revenue totaled $1.5 billion in the quarter, a decline of nearly 15% from the year prior. "Our results demonstrate that clients see IBM and Red Hat as a powerful combination and they trust us to provide them with the open hybrid cloud technology, innovation and industry expertise to help them shift their mission-critical workloads to the cloud," IBM CEO Ginni Rometty said in a statement. For the full year, the company expects earnings of at least $12.80 a share. Analysts polled by FactSet are expecting earnings of $12.81 for the year. IBM shares are trading after hours down around 3% after finishing the regular session off 0.6% at $142.11.




LSUtoOmaha
LSU Fan
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
25376 posts

re: So, who is buying?
That puts projected 2019 P/E at a tad over 11. Looks like a good deal to me.

I also like CBS here.


Mr Perfect
Lamar Fan
Member since Mar 2010
16105 posts

re: So, who is buying?
interesting thread dudes

is anyone aware - there is an 'event'coming in the next 4 to 5 years - right now Medicare basically accounts for 1.6 Trillion of the budget and most of that is covered by bonds purchased long ago - so it is not currently adding much to the Federal Debt.

I just watched this on YouTube so stay with me.. anyways

in 2024 those bonds will be used up and the FULL cost of Medicare will instantly be shoved onto the General Budget - with inflation and the increase in boomers who completely fukked up our country you will probably see about 1.5+ Trillion a year INSTANTLY added to the ALREADY doubling Fed Debt numbers - so instead of a 1.5+ Trillion 2024 debt, you would see 3+ Trillion for that year and above that thereafter....

There is no way in hell the USA survives in its current form with those kinds of debt levels...

yes. we are all screwed. this is why I'm likely moving over seas while my passport is still good... as of now I'm looking into land in rural chile

you better start thinking about a Plan B... please list your plan B dudes. I'm young and learning as much as I possibly can. but leaving the states seems like the best option



LSURussian
LSU Fan
9 acres of paradise in Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
121840 posts

re: So, who is buying?
quote:

Sure you did


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ynlvr
LSU Fan
Gulf Coast
Member since Feb 2009
3349 posts

re: So, who is buying?


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mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
quote:

interesting thread dudes blah blah


doesnt matter.

if masses are "losing" money.. where do you think that money goes?
imo, doesnt matter if the market goes up. down. sideways...there is money to be made.

frankly, it is MUCH easier to secure those bags when there is an "event".

btw, that mumbo jumbo is sooooo 2009..
while i agree that the problems of 2009 were never corrected (just covered/spent over)
but..

some of us already have a 2nd passport.
some of us already spend a good junk of our lives "overseas"...and have been invested in foreign RE since before there was a thing called airbnd.

some of us have already been around the world a few time..and imo, the USA is the best country that ever was. (in spite of the warts and overspending)

so if there is another lehman type of even...
is ok.
some of us will be back iN USA to pick up the pieces (at a discount of course)


i've long sold out out my houston RE.. i'd love to to get another once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity



fear or greed. doesnt matter..is same thing.
both create opportunities for investors.
This post was edited on 10/18 at 6:55 am


Mr Perfect
Lamar Fan
Member since Mar 2010
16105 posts

re: So, who is buying?
quote:

some of us already have a 2nd passport.
some of us already spend a good junk of our lives "overseas"...and have been invested in foreign RE since before there was a thing called airbnd.



wow dude, brilliant stuff. this is why I come to this sub more often now.. smartest ppl on site by far


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mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
this next upcoming week is glorious btw...

it is officially LOTTO err.. i mean "earnings" season.

right now is christmas for the trader (with an appreciation of options)

strangles. mutant butterflies..or simply leveraging the the uncertainty of earnings announcement to buy grade A blue chip dividend stocks at a discount...it's all there.






mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
ok.

just sold my december 140 puts on IBM for a quick +70%
now i'll wait until a bottom is formed to pick up a dividend paying tech blue chip paid for with house $$

*for me a bottom=heavy volume on a green inside bar on 5 and/or 15m charts)
This post was edited on 10/18 at 6:59 am


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mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
quote:

I also like CBS here.


CBS looks rather volatile...with an ATR increasing increasing daily.
imo, this is something i'd go long with a strangle....expecting a big move (up or down..doesnt matter)

unfortunate their next earnings isnt until mid november (i prefer not holding longer than a a day or 3 for earning plays)

but it does have solid fundamentals, doe


Jag_Warrior
Virginia Fan
Virginia
Member since May 2015
1739 posts

re: So, who is buying?
quote:

right now is christmas for the trader (with an appreciation of options)


Ah yes, earnings season. That time of year when all of the good little (premium hungry) boys and girls fill their pockets with money from the fearful.

NFLX calls were nice. Thanks, Santa. lol

As for doom & gloom scenarios, all that means to me is a VIX somewhere north of 50 and me being able to sell 20-25 delta contracts for fat stacks, while staying further from the flame than I am now.

Up, down, sideways... doesn’t matter to me either. All I have to do is get the range right.


mrgreenpants
Ohio State Fan
paisaland
Member since Mar 2018
862 posts

re: So, who is buying?
quote:

As for doom & gloom scenarios, all that means to me is a VIX somewhere north of 50 and me being able to sell 20-25 delta contracts for fat stacks, while staying further from the flame than I am now.



how much time do you like to have before expirations?
do you strictly trade to volatility? ..or you want the time delay to?
This post was edited on 10/18 at 6:52 am


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