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Should I move to cash?

Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:55 pm
Posted by Auburn80
Backwater, TN
Member since Nov 2017
7482 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 6:55 pm
Right now I’m a 50% equity, 40% bonds, and 10% cash investor. I consider that a good mix for a 61 year old who could live another 25 years. Should I move to bonds or cash until this madness stops? I don’t have the luxury of another 10 years to go.

Thoughts? I have resisted this so far despite being down some significant $, but people have stopped acting rationally anymore.
Posted by OleWarSkuleAlum
Huntsville, AL
Member since Dec 2013
10293 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:03 pm to
Yes sell low, great idea!
Posted by Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

Right now I’m a 50% equity, 40% bonds, and 10% cash investor. I consider that a good mix for a 61 year old who could live another 25 years. Should I move to bonds or cash until this madness stops? I don’t have the luxury of another 10 years to go.


Personally, that is far too aggressive a stance for a 61 year old with what is presumably a 4 year window to earn.
Posted by OleWarSkuleAlum
Huntsville, AL
Member since Dec 2013
10293 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

Personally, that is far too aggressive a stance for a 61 year old with what is presumably a 4 year window to earn.



50/50 is too aggressive?!? 60/40 is the golden standard 65 year old retiree allocation.
Posted by Auburn80
Backwater, TN
Member since Nov 2017
7482 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:11 pm to
Well, I was planning on jumping back in when it started to trend up. I’m not trying to time the market, I’m just not convinced we are at the low point yet and wanting to preserve what I have. I wish Tom Hanks would hurry up and recover and show the world that a 60+ person with diabetes can recover.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:17 pm to
50/50 is where your average 61 y/o should be IMO. It’s not extreme by any means
Posted by LSUTOM07
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2011
765 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

I’m not trying to time the market,


Good Idea

quote:

Should I move to cash?


quote:

I’m just not convinced we are at the low point yet


This is the definition of trying to time the market.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126940 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:23 pm to
quote:

Personally, that is far too aggressive a stance for a 61 year old
I hope you’re not a financial advisor.
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:25 pm to
Probably too late for that. Warren Buffett went defensive in 2019. I did it in January, and currently have about 12% cash, 47% bonds and 41% stock. I am also 65.. if you change now you have to guess when to go back into the market.
Posted by fallguy_1978
Best States #50
Member since Feb 2018
48348 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:26 pm to
Wait a year at this point.
Posted by Auburn80
Backwater, TN
Member since Nov 2017
7482 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:43 pm to
Thanks for all the advice. I appreciate it.
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
26975 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:46 pm to
How many years do you believe it would take you to draw down the cash and bonds, including bond returns?

Considering you think you have another 25 years in you, I would hope you believe that 50% of your portfolio would last you at least 12.5 years.

If so, why are you saying that you don't have the luxury of another ten years?
Posted by Mr.Perfect
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2013
17438 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:48 pm to
Yes you should
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36300 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

Personally, that is far too aggressive a stance for a 61 year old with what is presumably a 4 year window to earn.

Posted by Roberteaux
mandeville
Member since Sep 2009
5809 posts
Posted on 3/22/20 at 8:48 pm to
Would be a dumb move at this point imo
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4080 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

Right now I’m a 50% equity, 40% bonds, and 10% cash investor. I consider that a good mix for a 61 year old who could live another 25 years.


I don't think you're too extreme in your allocation. But we don't know what your income is going to consist of going forward (pension, income producing RE, etc.) or how much longer you're going to work.

Everybody is just guessing right now - including the talking heads/"experts" on the 24/7 boob tube channels. No one knows if the economy or the market is going to tank further. A recession looks increasingly likely at this point. As to whether it will be a deep or long lasting one, who knows? So depending on your income needs and what your portfolio currently yields, maybe you do need to rethink where you are, just in case things get worse.

But would I completely blow out the equity portion of my portfolio? No, but that's just me. I don't know what your future income needs might be. Good luck though.
Posted by Boatshoes
Member since Dec 2017
6775 posts
Posted on 3/23/20 at 2:16 pm to
I just revinested 100% today after bailing at 29k.

There’s an old saying, don’t fight the fed...and if you read through what the announced today, it is the most aggressive central bank action I have ever seen.
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