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QQQ long term

Posted on 1/6/22 at 9:34 am
Posted by jlovel7
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
21303 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 9:34 am
So I have a small non retirement investment account that I've been contributing to since my car got paid off. Split my car payment plus some extra money from a raise basically 50/50 between high yield savings and fidelity. The fidelity all goes into QQQ. It's had a great last 5 years but I never researched farther back than that. It crashed with the dot com bubble and took literally the entire Bush and Obama administrations to rebound to what it was in 2000.

This isn't a mission critical fund but it may come in handy in the next 5 or so years to help with a future downpayment or major expense. Is what I'm doing putting all of that in QQQ risky and should I diversify? I guess I'm already hedging by splitting the other 50% into cash. My plan though once that cash account gets shored up some more is to shift it more like 80/20 investments to cash so I will be more conscience of having it diversified then.
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
9764 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 9:44 am to
I am a huge fan of QQQ.

Regardless of what you invest in, you need to know your time frame for exiting.

"it may come in handy in the next 5 or so years to help with a future downpayment or major expense"
Posted by Billy Blanks
Member since Dec 2021
3778 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 9:45 am to
quote:

since my car got paid off.


Nice work! Those things are opportunity and cash flow killers for many.
Posted by jlovel7
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2014
21303 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 9:52 am to
quote:

since my car got paid off.


Nice work! Those things are opportunity and cash flow killers for many.


Yup. Any time I shed a bill I usually try and take that money and save/invest it separate from my general cash fund so I can visualize it and keep from touching it. Especially if it's a bill I know will pop up again in life, like a car note. If I do give myself a little fun money boost its always alongside boosting other things like retirement, HSA, savings, etc...
Posted by truthbetold
Member since Aug 2008
7629 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 9:59 am to
Can't go wrong with QQQ
Posted by Billy Blanks
Member since Dec 2021
3778 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 10:32 am to
And once you get used to not having a payment, can’t fathom having another again.
Posted by whatshisface
Westside
Member since Jun 2012
272 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 11:25 am to
I have essentially the same scenario. A few months back I moved it from QQQ and MGK to SCHP a TIPS ETF. I did it to reduce risk, but as the market keeps rolling I'm missing out on the gains. During downturns SCHP still dips but at a lower rate. I'm not sure the "safety" outweighs the growth potential if the market keeps going. It seems I need a doomsday scenario to make SCHP make sense.
Posted by gpburdell
ATL
Member since Jun 2015
1419 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 11:35 am to
quote:

It crashed with the dot com bubble and took literally the entire Bush and Obama administrations to rebound to what it was in 2000.


Yeah people ignore history (i.e. recency bias). If you had bought 10k of QQQ in 2000 before the dot come crash. You would have to wait 14 years before it went back to the original 10k balance.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18079 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 1:54 pm to
Sounds like silver which will be lucky to hit another ATH in 3 years to recover from the massive crash which started in 2011 and holds today.
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
9764 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 2:45 pm to
"If you had bought 10k of QQQ in 2000 before the dot come crash. You would have to wait 14 years before it went back to the original 10k balance."

--
I bought at the end of 2008 and am up 1,228%.

Thats also 14 years but a different timeframe.
Posted by Boomer Rick
Member since Apr 2021
138 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 6:29 pm to
Look at the top holdings and tell me you wouldn’t want to own those companies. Yes, things change, but Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon etc are making tons on money. Those type of companies aren’t speculative.
Posted by tiger perry
Member since Dec 2009
25668 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 6:31 pm to
I just bought some QQQ for my Roth IRA based on this boards recommendations
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13103 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 6:36 pm to
Would hold off buying it until Q3/Q4 of this year given interest rate hikes....
Posted by whitefoot
Franklin, TN
Member since Aug 2006
11181 posts
Posted on 1/6/22 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

Look at the top holdings and tell me you wouldn’t want to own those companies. Yes, things change, but Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon etc are making tons on money. Those type of companies aren’t speculative.

I've got a very large position in QQQ, so I've been a fan of it, but you can get those names in a lot of different funds.

I'm looking to diversify a little bit more this year as the fed tightens.

I'm probably going to move some of my QQQ to something like VTI or MGK. For VTI's top 10 holdings, you get the same mega cap tech names that are in QQQ, but swap out Adobe and Broadcom with Berkshire Hathaway and JP Morgan, which will probably perform pretty well this year, given the upcoming rate hikes.
Posted by arcalades
USA
Member since Feb 2014
19276 posts
Posted on 1/7/22 at 7:41 pm to
hedge with puts
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35280 posts
Posted on 1/7/22 at 10:59 pm to
quote:

Yeah people ignore history (i.e. recency bias). If you had bought 10k of QQQ in 2000 before the dot come crash. You would have to wait 14 years before it went back to the original 10k balance.



Sure, but if you were a normal person and consistently invested in the Qs every month/year during that time you'd have a shitload of gains by the time your initial investment went back to green.
Posted by Boomer Rick
Member since Apr 2021
138 posts
Posted on 1/8/22 at 10:14 am to
Definitely.
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