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Job Change Decision Based Only On Retirement Benefits and Annual Salary

Posted on 8/15/13 at 6:52 pm
Posted by mikie421
continental shelf
Member since Nov 2008
686 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 6:52 pm
Using retirement and annual salary as the only decision criteria in the following scenario how much annual salary would it take for me to break even.

Current age: 38

Current Job:
annual salary:75,000
I pay 10% towards a defined benefit pension
I am vested now at 40%, but can't receive pay until age 50
at 30 years (age 52) I will receive 100% benefit (4 year average)

New Job:
If I quit my current job now I would get the 40% of about 60,000. About 24,000/yr until death starting at age 50.
New job has a defined contribution pension paid by the company: 11% of a 5 year average salary times number of years worked. (assume 14 years worked to even out at 52)
New job also has a 401k: 8% match with at least a 2% employee contribution (assume I will max this out)

Big Question
How much annual salary from the new job will it take to make this move worthwhile from a retirement perspective?


Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
15708 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 7:00 pm to
Both sound good.

Which job would you enjoy the most?
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3786 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 8:47 pm to
When you say new job has defined contribution, did you mean defined benefit of 0.11 x Years of Service x Pensionable Pay? If its a defined contribution, that money should go into a fund in your account with some specified vesting period.

Also, why the 40% of $60k vs $75k? Is there a termination vs retirement factor? At new job, will you be fully vested at age 52, with only 14 years of service? Or is there a reduction factor?
Posted by mikie421
continental shelf
Member since Nov 2008
686 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

When you say new job has defined contribution, did you mean defined benefit of 0.11 x Years of Service x Pensionable Pay? If its a defined contribution, that money should go into a fund in your account with some specified vesting period.

Right, pensionable pay is the average of the highest five years.

quote:

Also, why the 40% of $60k vs $75k? Is there a termination vs retirement factor? At new job, will you be fully vested at age 52, with only 14 years of service? Or is there a reduction factor?

It would be the average of my best four years, since I have had a few promotions lately the average would be lower than my current pay.

if it matters, my current job is in the public sector and the new job would be in oil and gas.

I'm trying to figure out at what point does the new job's salary become attractive enough to leave my current job.

I am not that unhappy now, but I have reached the top of the organization, the only promotions left would be political appointments that I don't meet the criteria for.
This post was edited on 8/15/13 at 9:08 pm
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37704 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

mikie421



Are you vested by 52 in your new company or do you plan on retiring late?


Something to think about if you think that type of job would still be available (maybe just at a different company), is working until full pension then moving to private and double dipping.

A guy in the department I worked at had a retirement elgibility when age + years worked was 75 or something and is age 51 and then he moved into another company that had a similar pension plan and plans on retiring at 65. He is going to have double pension, a small raise + pension all those years at his new job and worked enough to qualify for high levels of SS if it is still around in 15 years
This post was edited on 8/15/13 at 9:14 pm
Posted by mikie421
continental shelf
Member since Nov 2008
686 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

Are you vested by 52 in your new company or do you plan on retiring late?


I think I would be vested but there are penalties for retiring before 60. I'm trying to keep this apples to apples as much as possible.

quote:

Something to think about if you think that type of job would still be available (maybe just at a different company), is working until full pension then moving to private and double dipping

I have thought about this and would likely keep working past 52 at my current job or retiring and getting a new one.
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3786 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 9:22 pm to
Does your new job limit you to 1x your salary in retirement? The 11% x YOS could get to be a pretty large number. From my calcs, you could take a pretty large paycut and be okay in retirement. I'll post them up in a second.
Posted by mikie421
continental shelf
Member since Nov 2008
686 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 9:30 pm to
the new job pension is a lump sum payment. from there they have different annuity options.
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3786 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 9:42 pm to
Oh, I missed the lump sum part. That makes a very big difference. I was assuming that was annual payment (which I was about to ask who was offering that!?). Let me change it up.
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3786 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 9:58 pm to
Here's what I've come up with. Looks like you'll take a pretty big hit on retirement alone. This of course does not factor in the increase in salary that could be saved and further invested for retirement. I'll look to add that. Basically, there's no way you'd catch it on benefits alone, retiring at same age.

This post was edited on 8/15/13 at 10:11 pm
Posted by mikie421
continental shelf
Member since Nov 2008
686 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 10:04 pm to
awesome!
for more accuracy, I will receive 2% raises at my current job for the next 7 years with no raises after that (state law).
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3786 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 10:14 pm to
Post Updated.

With all my assumptions and calculations, it looks right around $103,000 is where the pay breaks even for a 25 year retirement.

ETA: With the limited salary, it drops to around $97,000.
This post was edited on 8/15/13 at 10:17 pm
Posted by GenesChin
The Promise Land
Member since Feb 2012
37704 posts
Posted on 8/15/13 at 10:14 pm to
quote:

I have thought about this and would likely keep working past 52 at my current job or retiring and getting a new one


Seems like taking in your pension at 52 (especially with you not being eligible for more raises) and then looking into the private sector would be a bargain.
Posted by mikie421
continental shelf
Member since Nov 2008
686 posts
Posted on 8/16/13 at 8:58 am to
Thanks for the replies.

What would your opinions be on the following:
I know with certainty that I will receive a 2% raise every year for the next 7 years and will not likely see any other raises. With that being said, how much more potential for salary increases exists in the oil and gas industry?
For instance, could I reasonably expect to see my starting pay of 100K increase to 125K over a 15 year period?
Posted by LSUtigerME
Walker, LA
Member since Oct 2012
3786 posts
Posted on 8/16/13 at 10:16 am to
What field in the industry? Upstream or down?

There's a lot of growth in O&G. A 25% increase over 15 years would be a dismal career IMO. It should be a fair bit higher, but I'm assuming engineering/technical type career.

ETA: also wanted to mention, O&G can be very cyclical. You could easily be out of a job with a downturn in the market, especially working for contract companies and EPCs. Depending on financial strength of the company you're looking at, the pension could disappear before you are fully vested. Just more thoughts to consider.
This post was edited on 8/16/13 at 10:22 am
Posted by mikie421
continental shelf
Member since Nov 2008
686 posts
Posted on 8/16/13 at 10:28 am to
Job would be upstream HES with a major.
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