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How much bloodletting is still left in this market correction?

Posted on 10/10/18 at 3:47 pm
Posted by saintforlife1
Member since Jul 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 3:47 pm
Had parked most of our downpayment savings for our next home in VGT and VTI. I'm down $30K since Thursday. Wife is going to be mad when she logs into our Vanguard account and sees that I invested the money in VGT and VTI instead of leaving it in the money market account. What are the chances the market makes up the losses by the end of the year and I get away with it?
This post was edited on 10/10/18 at 4:23 pm
Posted by Hammond Tiger Fan
Hammond
Member since Oct 2007
16210 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 3:52 pm to
Buy more and hope that it comes up so you can eventually come out ahead. That's all you can do at this point. If you move your money and you will definitely realize the losses.
Posted by tiger chaser
Birmingham Ala
Member since Feb 2008
7623 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 3:56 pm to
Won’t happen by end of the year. Last quarter is never a money maker.
Posted by Ingloriousbastard
Member since May 2015
917 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 4:07 pm to
When did you intend to use this down payment for a home? If less than AT LEAST 1 year, then for future reference you should know never to do this.
This post was edited on 10/10/18 at 4:17 pm
Posted by nugget
Mostly Peaceful Poster
Member since Dec 2009
13814 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 4:18 pm to
Looks like you'll be going with 3.5% down now
Posted by saintforlife1
Member since Jul 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

When did you intend to use this down payment for a home? If less than AT LEAST 1 year, then for future reference you should know never to do this.

We were planning to buy before the summer of 2020. We were also open to getting one sooner if a good one came along and we really liked it.
Posted by LSUTigersVCURams
Member since Jul 2014
21940 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 4:23 pm to
I think a lot. Chart looks turrible.
Posted by Ingloriousbastard
Member since May 2015
917 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 4:30 pm to
Fair enough. I would’ve recommended keeping a bit more of that chunk in savings accounts. If you will ultimately buy in 2020 then I wouldn’t worry much. Those ETFs are going to go up and down a dozen more times between now and then.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

Won’t happen by end of the year. Last quarter is never a money maker.


Dude, just stop.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24122 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 5:10 pm to
Down $30K when the market has moved down about 6%?
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82010 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

We were planning to buy before the summer of 2020. We were also open to getting one sooner if a good one came along and we really liked it.
Sounds like you knew this was a possibility and you still went for it.
1.5-2% isn't sexy, but you shoukd have just settled for that in this case.
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39553 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 5:19 pm to
Yikes
Posted by Omada
Member since Jun 2015
695 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 5:46 pm to
Part of me wishes I had your balls. The rest of me knows that they'll be in your wife's purse for the foreseeable future.

If I were you, I'd be selling OTM calls with entry price as the strike for the down payment to try to get some of that money back. But if you aren't familiar with options, my advice is to figure out which piece of furniture in the living room is most comfortable for sleeping in.

Edit: While you'll probably be fine in the long run, your bigger problem will be the angry wife.
This post was edited on 10/10/18 at 5:53 pm
Posted by leoj
Member since Nov 2010
3106 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 5:50 pm to
I’m actually not following the math here. In the past week VGI is down 8.36% and VTI is down 5.36%. Let’s say you went 50/50, that’s a 6.86% loss. $30k loss means you put in $437k total? Even if it was 100% in VGI that comes out to $358k. Do you live in San Francisco?
Posted by Creamer
louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
2817 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 6:18 pm to
Change your account password and let it ride.
Posted by steadytiger
Member since Jan 2007
2756 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Down $30K when the market has moved down about 6%?



That is a $500,000.00 down payment? Assuming a 6% loss.

30000=.06X
Posted by saintforlife1
Member since Jul 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 8:18 pm to
We have ~1500 shares of VGT and ~200 shares of VTI. VGT is down $18 and VTI is down $10 since Thursday. You do the math.

ETA: Okay with all recent losses offsetting the gains I've had in the past, looks like I'm at a net $15K in unrealized losses.

This post was edited on 10/10/18 at 8:56 pm
Posted by saintforlife1
Member since Jul 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 8:24 pm to
quote:

Do you live in San Francisco?

Yes. Both my wife and I work in tech. For the amount of money you have to save to come up with a 20% down payment for a home here, you can pay full cash for a much bigger home and live mortgage free in other parts of the country. But it's the choice we have made....for now.
Posted by saintforlife1
Member since Jul 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 9:24 pm to
Guys, I want to take this thread on a different tangent. We owe a large tax bill next year due to capital gains from sellling stocks elsewhere. Is there anyway I can use part of the $15K loss from Vanguard to offset those gains?
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39553 posts
Posted on 10/10/18 at 9:36 pm to
Google Tax loss harvesting.
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