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Message
re: AUPH - Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
Posted on 11/19/20 at 7:06 pm to HangingWithMrCooper
Posted on 11/19/20 at 7:06 pm to HangingWithMrCooper
quote:
listened to it live, went from 6 to midnight with the confidence of the management team
Not only did they sound very confident in their own product, they did a good job of shitting on a competing product (benlysta)
0
Posted on 11/20/20 at 4:29 am to ynlvr
I am never doing this again. 
Posted on 11/20/20 at 10:12 am to MSTiger33
What news has caused this 3% jump or is it just gapping back up?
Posted on 11/20/20 at 10:26 am to redfishfan
quote:
What news has caused this 3% jump or is it just gapping back up?
Board came out yesterday on a conference call and swung their junk around a little bit.. compared to the recent Earnings call where they sounded almost worried about FDA approval
Chatter seems to have picked back up and vibes are pretty positive
Posted on 11/29/20 at 5:26 pm to jmcwhrter
Great day Friday.. hope it runs
Posted on 11/29/20 at 5:39 pm to LChama
I recently bought 20K in call options. I need it to make a nice run.
Posted on 11/29/20 at 6:32 pm to ThatsWhatSheSaid69
I’m excited for you and hope you make a boatload. How far out are your calls?
Posted on 11/29/20 at 7:28 pm to MSTiger33
quote:
I am never doing this again.
A few days ago during a budget discussion, my wife (pictured below), said, "Maybe you'll just find another AUPH..."
Posted on 11/30/20 at 6:09 pm to bayoubengals88
Good day today. Hopefully we see a pop soon. I’ve been adding shares almost daily.
Posted on 11/30/20 at 9:01 pm to redfishfan
I am completely tapped out. I have this stock either outright or calls in every account that I own or oversee.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 6:09 am to ThatsWhatSheSaid69
Those Calls looking better already 
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:29 am to bayoubengals88
Do you have an idea of what the price will be when they receive FDA approval and/or get bought out?
I see people throwing out big numbers like 60$ a share but I’m not sure that is reasonable.
I see people throwing out big numbers like 60$ a share but I’m not sure that is reasonable.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 10:39 am to CorkRockingham
quote:
Do you have an idea of what the price will be when they receive FDA approval and/or get bought out?
No expert here but I think $25-$30 is realistic for announcement of FDA approval but the big money may come from a buyout from a bigger company. I'd say somewhere in the neighborhood of $60 a share but up to $100 isn't out of the picture for sure.
This post was edited on 12/1/20 at 11:00 am
Posted on 12/1/20 at 11:24 am to redfishfan
quote:
No expert here but I think $25-$30 is realistic for announcement of FDA approval
Might wick up that high but I think FDA approval is nearly priced in
Fair estimates for a buyout were nowhere NEAR $60+, and that was before they completely tanked the dry-eye trial..
Posted on 12/1/20 at 11:35 am to jmcwhrter
quote:
Fair estimates for a buyout were nowhere NEAR $60+, and that was before they completely tanked the dry-eye trial..
The number I keep hearing is $65 actually. Just estimations but I've heard it from several people I trust. The dry-eye trial is small potatoes. The money is in the lupus treatment.
Posted on 12/1/20 at 11:35 am to jmcwhrter
Last time i did the calc based on LN treatment and costing i came up with like $21.56 valuation fwiw that was current valuation before they submitted to FDA. based on peak year sales of 1,600,000,000.
with 107,108,000.00 shares outstanding as well.
Disclaimer: i'm not an expert at valuation and its been a while since i did this calculation so i don't remember why i determined these were the numbers to use for them exactly.
with 107,108,000.00 shares outstanding as well.
Disclaimer: i'm not an expert at valuation and its been a while since i did this calculation so i don't remember why i determined these were the numbers to use for them exactly.
This post was edited on 12/1/20 at 11:38 am
Posted on 12/1/20 at 11:38 am to redfishfan
quote:
The number I keep hearing is $65 actually. Just estimations but I've heard it from several people I trust. The dry-eye trial is small potatoes. The money is in the lupus treatment.
I agree there is big money in lupus but dry eye is a ridiculous market when you look at how much restasis is sold.
This post was edited on 12/1/20 at 11:39 am
Posted on 12/17/20 at 7:57 am to redfishfan
Why are people not liking this licensing agreement? She’s down almost 6% premarital.
Posted on 12/17/20 at 8:11 am to CorkRockingham
FDA just approved Benlysta as the first drug for lupus nephritis.. which is AUPH's only bullet in the gun
Someone else can maybe shed more light, but I would assume this basically takes buyout off the table, and they are now stuck going it alone.
Someone else can maybe shed more light, but I would assume this basically takes buyout off the table, and they are now stuck going it alone.
This post was edited on 12/17/20 at 8:24 am
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