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NCAA Tournament hitting vs Regular Season Numbers - Who stepped up and faded

Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:13 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:13 pm
Regular season numbers include the SEC Tournament.

NCAAT v. Reg

Batting Average

.281 v .257 - Pap - 9.4% increase
.297 v .279 - Smith - 6.7% increase
.333 v .314 - Watson - 6.3% increase
.259 v .250 - Slaughter - 3.7% increase

.275 v .315 - Kramer - -12.8% decrease
.260 v .333 - Duplantis - -22.0% decrease
.216 v .291 - Jordan - -25.8% decrease
.227 v .329 - Freeman - -30.9% decrease
.200 v .335 - Deichmann - -40.3% decrease

OBP

.469 v .408 - Smith - 15.0% increase
.394 v .348 - Slaughter - 13.3% increase
.439 v .406 - Pap - 8.2% increase
.385 v .380 - Watson - 1.3% increase

.347 v .371 - Jordan - -8.0% decrease
.327 v .423 - Kramer - -22.6% decrease
.320 v .438 - Freeman - -26.9% decrease
.275 v .389 - Duplantis - -29.4% decrease
.308 v .449 - Deichmann - -31.4% decrease

Slugging %

.719 v .436 - Pap - 65.0% increase
.568 v .378 - Smith - 50.1% increase
.667 v .467 - Watson - 42.6% increase
.370 v .342 - Slaughter - 8.4% increase

.341 v .414 - Freeman - -17.7% decrease
.324 v .409 - Jordan - -20.8% decrease
.320 v .424 - Duplantis - -24.6% decrease
.314 v .511 - Kramer - -38.6% decrease
.289 v .647 - Deichmann - -55.3% decrease

OPS

1.158 v .841 - Pap - 37.6% increase
1.037 v .780 - Smith - 31.9% increase
1.051 v .847 - Watson - 24.1% increase
.764 v .689 - Slaughter - 10.9% increase

.665 v .780 - Jordan - -14.7% decrease
.661 v .852 - Freeman - -22.4% decrease
.595 v .813 - Duplantis - -26.9% decrease
.641 v .934 - Kramer - -31.3% decrease
.597 v 1.095 - Deichmann - -45.5% decrease

Kramer's woes are well documented, but Deichmann had an atrocious tournament as well. Not only did he fall off the most among starters, he was clearly the worst hitter in the line up on an absolute basis as well.

You expect numbers to decrease in the post season, but given the total lack of production from the top of the lineup, it is a small miracle they made it to the Finals. The latter half absolutely carried the team in the post season.

On another note, Pap was dominant in the post season, and Smith and Watson stepped up in a big way, despite being freshmen. Hopefully they carry that experience and success into 2018.
Posted by c on z
Zamunda
Member since Mar 2009
127370 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

but Deichmann had an atrocious tournament as well. Not only did he fall off the most among starters, he was clearly the worst hitter in the line up on an absolute basis as well.


Surprised no one talked about him.
Posted by WhoDatNC
NC
Member since Dec 2013
11690 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:14 pm to
Hell of a season. Time to move on.
Posted by 81Tiger
LSU Alumnus
Member since Sep 2009
6624 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

.281 v .257 - Pap - 9.4% increase
.297 v .279 - Smith - 6.7% increase
.333 v .314 - Watson - 6.3% increase
.259 v .250 - Slaughter - 3.7% increase

.275 v .315 - Kramer - -12.8% decrease
.260 v .333 - Duplantis - -22.0% decrease
.216 v .291 - Jordan - -25.8% decrease
.227 v .329 - Freeman - -30.9% decrease
.200 v .335 - Deichmann - -40.3% decrease


These stats confirm what our eyes saw.

Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

Hell of a season. Time to move on.


Agreed. Seeing the freshmen step up is a nice note going forward.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21035 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:19 pm to
Well look at the regular season stats for those that improved. Outside of Watson, it wasn't difficult to improve.

On the flip side, that other group had little room to improve, and could have easily fallen.

Post season is a much smaller sample size. If they play the same amount of games, then you could expect more similar numbers.

And people on this board wouldn't dare shite on Deichman. Kramer, Jordan and CPM are the scape goats for the retards. Everybody else is just in a slump.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

Surprised no one talked about him.


Kramer got a ton of criticism, but he was batting .381 in the regionals and super regionals combined. Deichmann was just bad at all times. He was 2/12 in the regionals, 2/8 in the super regionals, and 5/25 in the CWS, but he basically avoided all criticism.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

Well look at the regular season stats for those that improved. Outside of Watson, it wasn't difficult to improve.

On the flip side, that other group had little room to improve, and could have easily fallen.


On a relative basis, sure, but the guys that improved were also the leaders on an absolute basis. Pap, Smith, and Watson improved the most AND had 3 of the 4 highest BAs, OBPs, Slugging %s, and OPSs. Slaughter improved as well, and had the 3rd highest OBP and 4th highest Slugging % and OPS.

The slump from the top of the line up was killer on a relative and absolute basis.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21035 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

The slump from the top of the line up was killer on a relative and absolute basis


Well if course. If the top of the lineup hits anywhere near their regular season average we are celebrating a national championship today. Baseball doesn't always work out that way though
Posted by tirebiter
7K R&G chile land aka SF
Member since Oct 2006
9177 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:36 pm to
It took running #s to highlight GD's lack of productivity @ CWS? He may have gotten more shitty strikes called against him, but pitchers weren't going to do him any favors, either. He did swing at a lot of bad pitches as he got in a hole.
Posted by Murtown
OT Ballerville
Member since Sep 2014
1607 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:38 pm to
Numbers never lie
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166127 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:39 pm to
someone remind me again why Slaughter was removed from starting lineup of the most important game of the season?
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21035 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

Numbers never lie


True. But you can still be very selective with which numbers you use to help support your argument. Rantards did it all season long.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

It took running #s to highlight GD's lack of productivity @ CWS? He may have gotten more shitty strikes called against him, but pitchers weren't going to do him any favors, either. He did swing at a lot of bad pitches as he got in a hole.


It wasn't just the CWS though. His struggles started in the 5 games at home in regional and super regional play. For the most part, pitchers came right at him. He had 13 Ks in tournament play, 4 more than anyone else on the team. He struck out in 25% of his plate appearance in the tournament.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21035 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:44 pm to
quote:

someone remind me again why Slaughter was removed from starting lineup of the most important game of the season


Hindsight is 20/20.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

Well if course. If the top of the lineup hits anywhere near their regular season average we are celebrating a national championship today. Baseball doesn't always work out that way though


I understand. Hell, if the slump is spread out among the lineup, we probably have a championship. Instead, they created a black home in the line up from Jordan/Slaughter through Deichmann. 5 RBIs in the CWS from the 1st 4 hitters, 19 RBIs from the last 5 hitters. Just awful timing for that kind of slump.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166127 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:51 pm to
quote:


Hindsight is 20/20.


of course but it was still a bad coaching decision and was pretty unnecessary risk at that point to make a switch there.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21035 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:52 pm to
Go find the thread announcing Coomes into the line up. See how many people thought it was a horrible idea at that point.
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
25428 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:53 pm to
Deichman missed a lot of fat fastballs throughout the tournament that during the regular season were going 450ft.
I think pitchers were scared of him and didn't give him much to hit, but when they made mistakes, he absolutely failed to take advantage of the mistakes more often than not.
Posted by lsu2006
BR
Member since Feb 2004
39978 posts
Posted on 6/28/17 at 2:54 pm to
It was a bad decision because of the result. Coomes played good defense all year and hit better than Slaughter.
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