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Message
LSU drops to #4 in NET...
Posted on 1/10/22 at 12:44 pm
Posted on 1/10/22 at 12:44 pm
Houston moved up to #3.
Kind of hard to understand considering Houston has 1 more overall loss at 14-2 and is 0-2 in Quad 1 games and 4-0 in Quad 2. (4-2 combined)
LSU is 4-1 in Quad 1 and 2-0 in Quad 2. (6-1 combined)
I guess it's complicated. Only thing I can figure is they have 2 road wins to LSU's zero.
Kind of hard to understand considering Houston has 1 more overall loss at 14-2 and is 0-2 in Quad 1 games and 4-0 in Quad 2. (4-2 combined)
LSU is 4-1 in Quad 1 and 2-0 in Quad 2. (6-1 combined)
I guess it's complicated. Only thing I can figure is they have 2 road wins to LSU's zero.
12
Posted on 1/10/22 at 12:46 pm to SoloTiger
quote:
I guess it's complicated. Only
It is, that's why I leave it to tPear. He has people for all that.
Posted on 1/10/22 at 12:51 pm to SoloTiger
It's based on every single game so you cant just look at vacuums of a few games.
Posted on 1/10/22 at 12:53 pm to SoloTiger
Good news is we have a quad 1 road opportunity on Wednesday and a quad 1 at home Saturday
Posted on 1/10/22 at 12:56 pm to Ampipe96
Nah Arkansas is too low. Technically that is a Quad 3. Florida on the road is a Quad 1.
Posted on 1/10/22 at 12:58 pm to SoloTiger
Houston is number 6 in adjusted offense and number 13 in adjusted defense in the country. That team is flippin good.
This post was edited on 1/10/22 at 12:59 pm
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:01 pm to SoloTiger
Road wins matter, which is why we need to buckle down tonight and do our best to steal a few on the road in the SEC.
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:03 pm to SoloTiger
quote:
I guess it's complicated. Only thing I can figure is they have 2 road wins to LSU's zero.
just glancing at the data, it's likely that Houston's road record(2-1) is the reason they are slightly ahead of LSU (0-1).
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:05 pm to SoloTiger
quote:
LSU drops to #4 in NET...
fire everybody
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:09 pm to SoloTiger
quote:
Kind of hard to understand considering Houston has 1 more overall loss at 14-2 and is 0-2 in Quad 1 games and 4-0 in Quad 2. (4-2 combined)
LSU is 4-1 in Quad 1 and 2-0 in Quad 2. (6-1 combined)
It’s not just the records is also the score differential in those games. Winning or losing a Quad 1 game by 1 and by 10 are different according to NET. (10 is the max differential)
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:10 pm to SoloTiger
I guess chanting “overrated” does hurt your NET ranking after all
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:13 pm to Billder
In general though, LSU should have anywhere from 7 (on the very low end) and 10 Quad 1 opportunities left depending on the SEC tournament as well. Already having 4 wins they are in great shape. Double digit quad 1 wins gets you to that top 2 seed conversation.
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:20 pm to LSUminati
quote:
Florida on the road is a Quad 1.
and gonna have to do that very likely without our PG
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:21 pm to SoloTiger
damn, burn it all down. Maybe next year....
It's all O's fault.
It's all O's fault.
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:36 pm to Ampipe96
quote:
Good news is we have a quad 1 road opportunity on Wednesday and a quad 1 at home Saturday
Arkansas is definitely not quad 1, it's a quad 3 game right now with their NET at 92.
Quad 1 home games are vs. 1-30 NET
Quad 2 home games are vs. 31-75 NET
Quad 3 home games are vs. 76-160 NET
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:50 pm to SoloTiger
quote:
Only thing I can figure is they have 2 road wins to LSU's zero.
Probably in part. In the NET formula road wins are adjusted upwards by a margin of 1.4 in the winning % formula, whereas home wins are only adjusted 0.6. Basically, true road wins count for twice as much as a home win. As you said, Houston has 2 to LSU's 0.
In addition, the efficiency numbers are also taken into account. Now, the NCAA may have their own efficiency ratings, but in looking at KenPom Houston is ranked #3. LSU is ranked #9. For the first time ever in the Wade era the big anchor on LSU's efficiency rating is the offense (currently #77)
What is likely is the NET numerical margin between LSU and Houston is pretty slim. A win for LSU AT Florida on Wednesday would likely vault them over Houston.
It is great to beat teams like Kentucky and Tennessee at home. But LSU is going to need to put some road wins on the resume as well if they want to get a high seed come March.
Posted on 1/10/22 at 1:59 pm to thunderbird1100
Damn I didn’t realize they had fallen that much
Posted on 1/10/22 at 2:02 pm to Tiger Ugly
quote:You’re kidding yourself if you don’t think Wade knows this himself,
He has people for all that.
That dude is incredible.
We could be ranked 1 and net 1 and we’re looking at a 4 seed at best because they hate us
Posted on 1/10/22 at 2:02 pm to thunderbird1100
Thanks for the reminder on home game Quad numbers.
Do you remember road games off the top of your head?
Do you remember road games off the top of your head?
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