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3 Scenarios for making the playoffs
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:45 pm
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:45 pm
Scenario 1 (Win SECCG with 1 loss) = (LSU beats Arky/OM/A&M/UF) AND (Bama loses to MSU or Auburn)
Scenario 2 (finish season as only SEC team with 1 loss) = (LSU beats Arky/OM/A&M) AND ([UF loses to USC or FSU] AND [UF beats Bama])
Scenario 3 (finish season with 1 loss and get help) = (LSU beats Arky/OM/A&M) AND ???
By my calculations, there is a 16.83333333 (repeating, of course) % that we make it.
Scenario 2 (finish season as only SEC team with 1 loss) = (LSU beats Arky/OM/A&M) AND ([UF loses to USC or FSU] AND [UF beats Bama])
Scenario 3 (finish season with 1 loss and get help) = (LSU beats Arky/OM/A&M) AND ???
By my calculations, there is a 16.83333333 (repeating, of course) % that we make it.
15
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:46 pm to gizmoflak
so you're saying there's a chance?!?!
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:47 pm to gizmoflak
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:48 pm to gizmoflak
quote:
By my calculations, there is a 16.83333333 (repeating, of course) % that we make it.
The probability is much lower than that
We probably have about a 25% chance of winning out and would likely still need some help.
I'd give us less than a 10% chance of making it in. That being said it obviously goes to 0% with one loss. It can climb to probably 30-40%% with us winning out.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:49 pm to gizmoflak
LSU is going to melt and lose 2 of 3. I say Arky and Ole miss. they will be up for taking on the chief.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:49 pm to YouAre8Up
quote:
well, duh
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:50 pm to gizmoflak
Just let it go. Want to get beat even worse by Bama a second time?
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:50 pm to Powerman
quote:
We probably have about a 25% chance of winning out
I have it in the 35-ish% range
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:51 pm to Hawkeye95
LSU could easily go 4-4 in SEC play AGAIN this year...
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:53 pm to White Tiger
quote:
LSU could easily go 4-4 in SEC play AGAIN this year.
that's approximately 17.625% to happen
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:54 pm to gizmoflak
quote:
Scenario 2 (finish season as only SEC team with 1 loss) = (LSU beats Arky/OM/A&M) AND ([UF loses to USC or FSU] AND [UF beats Bama])
This is really the only realistic one at this point.
Maybe if UNC upsets Clemson and wins the ACC, LSU would be in because of UNC's disastrous loss.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:55 pm to gizmoflak
I can't believe what idiots are on this site! We lose to one of the best teams in the country, who yes, is better than us and kicked our arse; so now we can't play football and will lose every game??? Grow a pair!
Yes the Bacon will be a tough game if our heads aren't on straight, but if we are focused we will grind them into the ground and LF gets back into the Heisman race by getting 175 to 200 yrds +
As for the Bears and Collies, I haven't seen them stop the run yet this season. The Bears are done! They won't win another game and aTm is our bitch!
We go 10-1 and anything could happen.
Yes the Bacon will be a tough game if our heads aren't on straight, but if we are focused we will grind them into the ground and LF gets back into the Heisman race by getting 175 to 200 yrds +
As for the Bears and Collies, I haven't seen them stop the run yet this season. The Bears are done! They won't win another game and aTm is our bitch!
We go 10-1 and anything could happen.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:55 pm to White Tiger
quote:
LSU could easily go 4-4 in SEC play AGAIN this year...
if by literal you mean .0000002% chance...then yes, I agree.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:56 pm to White Tiger
quote:
Want to get beat even worse by Bama a second time?
Nut up you son of a bitch. I'd rather get beat again in the playoffs than be sitting at home twiddling my fingers after playing Duke in the chicken bowl.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 12:59 pm to Tiger n Austin
I think scenarios 1 and 3 are what's left of our chances.
Scenario 2 is an SEC gets left out of the playoffs scenario.
Scenario 2 is an SEC gets left out of the playoffs scenario.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:00 pm to White Tiger
quote:
LSU could easily go 4-4 in SEC play AGAIN this year...
the only thing that helps is it doesn't appear that ole miss, arky or texas a&m has much of a run defense. So LSU can play its game of grind out, 3 yards and a cloud of dust.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:06 pm to gizmoflak
If we win out, we'll be in competition with the winner of ND/Stanford and possibly Iowa.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:08 pm to LSUDonMCO
quote:
I can't believe what idiots are on this site! We lose to one of the best teams in the country, who yes, is better than us and kicked our arse; so now we can't play football and will lose every game??? Grow a pair!
Yes the Bacon will be a tough game if our heads aren't on straight, but if we are focused we will grind them into the ground and LF gets back into the Heisman race by getting 175 to 200 yrds +
As for the Bears and Collies, I haven't seen them stop the run yet this season. The Bears are done! They won't win another game and aTm is our bitch!
We go 10-1 and anything could happen.
That BEST team in the country has already lost to a team we have yet to play and struggled against a mediocre TN. You are delusional. This is a down year for Bama. Everyone knew that. This coaching staff couldn't give a game to a below average Bama team. That is a problem.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:12 pm to sabanisarustedspoke
quote:
That BEST team in the country has already lost to a team we have yet to play and struggled against a mediocre TN. You are delusional. This is a down year for Bama. Everyone knew that. This coaching staff couldn't give a game to a below average Bama team. That is a problem.
THANK YOU!
Alabama lost almost ALL of their offensive production from last year. Their secondary still isn't very good. This was our chance to run the damn table and Miles fricked it up.
Posted on 11/10/15 at 1:17 pm to gizmoflak
quote:
Scenario 1 (Win SECCG with 1 loss) = (LSU beats Arky/OM/A&M/UF) AND (Bama loses to MSU or Auburn)
If MSU wins @ 2:30 EVERYTHING is still left to play for by the time we kickoff our night game against Arkansas... SEC Championship, NC, etc.
Dear God, please catch Bama off guard, Dak!! They have two extra days rest and Bama is coming off an emotional win.
quote:
By my calculations, there is a 16.83333333 (repeating, of course) % that we make it.
FPI says there is a 42% chance MSU pulls the upset so I say that means there is a 42% chance that by the time our game starts that the sun is out again and we can go on pumping for the rest of the season!
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