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247: LSU the safest darkhorse pick for Playoffs
Posted on 8/26/19 at 3:06 pm
Posted on 8/26/19 at 3:06 pm
LSU Tigers
Preseason AP Top 25 ranking: No. 6
Current odds to win national championship: 25/1
Why they could be a darkhorse threat:
This shouldn't take any convincing or links to recent recruiting rankings, but LSU is the most talented team nationally not ranked inside the Top 5 to being the season. At 25/1 odds to win it all, consider that price a bargain for the Tigers who won't have to go unbeaten in our estimation to reach the Playoff.
Ranked No. 6 in the preseason poll with its last SEC championship coming in 2011, LSU travels to Texas in Week 2, a barometer game for the selection committee. Win in Austin and the Tigers could theoretically finish 11-1, miss out on the conference title game in favor of Alabama, then have an opportunity at winning the rematch vs. the Tide in the final four.
Lots of hypotheticals here, yes, but those will always come into play when you're taking a team to be the last program standing in January at 25/1.
Determining CFB's darkhorse national title contenders
Preseason AP Top 25 ranking: No. 6
Current odds to win national championship: 25/1
Why they could be a darkhorse threat:
This shouldn't take any convincing or links to recent recruiting rankings, but LSU is the most talented team nationally not ranked inside the Top 5 to being the season. At 25/1 odds to win it all, consider that price a bargain for the Tigers who won't have to go unbeaten in our estimation to reach the Playoff.
Ranked No. 6 in the preseason poll with its last SEC championship coming in 2011, LSU travels to Texas in Week 2, a barometer game for the selection committee. Win in Austin and the Tigers could theoretically finish 11-1, miss out on the conference title game in favor of Alabama, then have an opportunity at winning the rematch vs. the Tide in the final four.
Lots of hypotheticals here, yes, but those will always come into play when you're taking a team to be the last program standing in January at 25/1.
Determining CFB's darkhorse national title contenders
This post was edited on 8/26/19 at 3:47 pm
8
Posted on 8/26/19 at 3:33 pm to Stingley Island
quote:
Win in Austin and the Tigers could theoretically finish 11-1, miss out on the conference title game in favor of Alabama, then have an opportunity at winning the rematch vs. the Tide in the final four.
Oh what sweet justice that would be.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 3:40 pm to Stingley Island
Might drop a game along the way...
But it won't be Bama. We're kicking that arse this year.
But it won't be Bama. We're kicking that arse this year.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 3:42 pm to Stingley Island
quote:
Win in Austin and the Tigers could theoretically finish 11-1, miss out on the conference title game in favor of Alabama, then have an opportunity at winning the rematch vs. the Tide in the final four.
LSU isn't going to be allowed in if they lose in Tuscaloosa
Posted on 8/26/19 at 3:48 pm to Nughuffer
quote:
LSU isn't going to be allowed in if they lose in Tuscaloosa
Depends on the score. 29-0? No. Tigers cover? Yes.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 3:54 pm to Stingley Island
quote:
Depends on the score. 29-0? No. Tigers cover? Yes.
Agreed. If Alabama goes undefeated and LSU loses by a razor thin margin on the road you have to like LSU's chances. We should especially root for Texas to win the Big12 in that scenario.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 4:09 pm to Stingley Island
quote:
quote:
LSU isn't going to be allowed in if they lose in Tuscaloosa
quote:many, many other factors in play.
Depends on the score. 29-0? No. Tigers cover? Yes.
Which two P5 conference champs will be left out? What if one or both of them have very good records?
What about Georgia, if they go 12-0 but lose a close one to Bama in the SECCG? What about Bama, if they go 12-0 but lose a close one to UGA in the SECCG?
We're getting in over those two, in either of those scenarios?
Posted on 8/26/19 at 4:24 pm to atltiger6487
quote:
We're getting in over those two, in either of those scenarios?
No, we won’t.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 4:30 pm to Nughuffer
.
This post was edited on 5/9/21 at 8:16 am
Posted on 8/26/19 at 5:01 pm to Stingley Island
quote:
Tigers could theoretically finish 11-1, miss out on the conference title game in favor of Alabama, then have an opportunity at winning the rematch vs. the Tide in the final four.
It ain't happen if the Tigers lose to Bama in the West. Win the West and we have a better chance to be in the CFP.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 5:18 pm to Stingley Island
quote:
247: LSU the safest darkhorse pick for PlayoffsPosted on 8/26/19 at 3:06 pm
The disparity is so great between the teams ranked first and second, and all the rest, that any team not named Alabama and Clemson could be considered a darkhorse.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 5:33 pm to Stingley Island
can a preseason top 6 really be considered a “dark horse”?
Posted on 8/26/19 at 5:43 pm to Stingley Island
Poetic Justice would be a 3 point loss @ AL then beat them by 21 points in the BCSNC game ..........
Posted on 8/26/19 at 7:32 pm to jlovel7
Can you imagine the pissy Gump fans if that do happen?
Posted on 8/26/19 at 7:47 pm to Nutriaitch
quote:
can a preseason top 6 really be considered a “dark horse”?
not really
25-1 is pretty high I'm kinda surprised Vegas has us that high
Posted on 8/26/19 at 7:48 pm to Stingley Island
We are kicking everyones asses this year! 15-0
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:30 pm to LSUminati
No way LSU is left out with a lone close loss on the road to Alabama. Now if they get beat soundly it’s a different story but no way if it’s tight.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:14 pm to Nutriaitch
quote:
can a preseason top 6 really be considered a “dark horse”?
Well, you figure the top 4 are the odds-on favorites, so anyone jumping into the playoffs outside of the top 4 would be a darkhorse. The most likely ones come from spots 5-10. So yeah, we're a darkhorse ... just not an "out of left field holy crap where did that team come from?!" type of dark horse.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:33 pm to SeanLSU
(no message)
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:47 pm to TigerAxeOK
Damn right????Bama
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