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Recruiting is about to be fundamentally changed for all schools

Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:07 pm
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26634 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:07 pm
With the no eligibility lost for this season, transfers on-demand with no sit out plus the already existing grad transfer rule, it's about to be the Wild West in recruiting.

I would assume this will benefit the major schools, as most rule changes do, but these are uncharted waters and who knows the ultimate affect it will have on recruiting and ultimately on the field.

It will be interesting how schools approach this, since the 25 initial counter rule will still exist.

Potentially a school's overall numbers could be greatly impacted and they could get well below the 85, depending on how many defections they have.

Will be fun to watch.
Posted by 1BIGTigerFan
100,000 posts
Member since Jan 2007
49078 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:08 pm to
Let's ride.
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
57575 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:10 pm to
I think they’ll have to change the hard 25 rule. Schools will get cornholed by players leaving whenever they want and not being able to sign more players to fill the scholarship void left.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26634 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:16 pm to
The 25 limit will still exist for all schools, which will limit potential destinations as well.

We found this out with the current Transfer Portal. A large percentage of players entered, but never found a destination because no schools had spots.

Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26634 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:18 pm to
And also Name/Image/Likeness (NIL). No one yet knows the details of this or how this will affect all of college athletics.
Posted by RadarTiger
Member since Dec 2018
3297 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:30 pm to
quote:

think they’ll have to change the hard 25 rule. Schools will get cornholed by players leaving whenever they want and not being able to sign more players to fill the scholarship void left.


Honestly I feel like they need a more drastic change.

I think you should drop football scholarships per team from 85 to 65 because at 85 it is making the sport uncompetitive. The rich get richer and the poor get poorer. With 65 per team talent will disperse in P5, G5, and FCS.

And the argument that it is taking away opportunities from kids is not true because those 20 scholarships can go towards another sport for a school like men’s soccer that can’t currently be played because of title IX.

I’m as big as a college football fan as anyone but it’s getting very boring in its current format.

ETA: no limit to how many you can sign. Fill your roster.
This post was edited on 10/29/20 at 1:34 pm
Posted by Captain Crown
Member since Jun 2011
50632 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Wild West in recruiting.


Almost like a meat market...
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69590 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:43 pm to
As a G5 fan, I'm not as concerned as most. Yes, our elite players will leave to taking starting jobs at SEC schools when the opportunity presents itself. However, that is maybe one or two players per year at a school like Louisiana Tech. Even if the SEC has 85 scholarships G5 players (starters) are not going to transfer to a P5 just to ride the bench or be a backup. At the same time, G5 programs should be able to land P5 players that don't land the playing time they were looking for.

Ultimately, the transfer rule will lead to more quality G5 teams. Maybe not elite, as the top players will transfer, but as a complete starting unit this will improve schools like Louisiana Tech.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26634 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 1:57 pm to
I think they need to do the following:

1. Get rid of the redshirt and give everyone 5 years of playing eligibility. This takes away all the medical and waiver issues. You get 5 years to play 5, that's it. Regardless of injuries, transfers, etc.
2. This would spread the scholarships over 5 years, so reduce the signees to 20, and the total to 80. This would allow 100 signees over 5 years, which accounts for attrition.

You could tweak these numbers, but the basic premise is good.
Posted by psybj
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
176 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 2:29 pm to
"And also Name/Image/Likeness (NIL). No one yet knows the details of this or how this will affect all of college athletics."

Can see Sage family now, talking to the Marketing Agencies that will represent bama and LSU players, asking them about signing bonus and guaranteed monthly payments.
Posted by lsufanva
sandston virginia
Member since Aug 2009
12369 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 3:31 pm to
The conundrum is for schools like us and Kansas. We are so far below 85 that with the upcoming changes we may never get back.
I agree with keeping the 25 initial counter number but with the caveat that it's looked at again down the road to perhaps eliminate transfers from counting against those, strictly the 85. It's gonna be so wild initially that the 25 number helps reign it in some but down the road they have to enable teams to be able to stay close to the 85 number or there's no sense having it that high. There's no recourse for schools that lose 30+ in a single year to get back. Those losses are many times not the fault of the current coaching staff so I see no need punishing them with lowered numbers they can't make up because of another staffs pitfalls. Is gonna be very interesting to see the strategies of programs. I'd imagine new coaches will use the transfer market more initially to build teams with players of their choosing.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
26634 posts
Posted on 10/29/20 at 3:44 pm to
Your numbers can be built back quickly through signing full classes and redshirting.

25 X 4 = 100 which gives you allow attrition of 3.75 players per year to stay at 85.

25 X 5 = 125 which gives you 7 players per year of attrition.

Of course no one redshirts everyone, so a mixture is best.

A quality PWO program that can add 1 player a year that is scholarship worthy is crucial as well, as these don't count against the 25.
Posted by JohnnyU
Florida
Member since Nov 2006
12350 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 12:21 pm to
quote:

I would assume this will benefit the major schools


It's going to cut both ways. Perhaps some guys at G5 who blow up will want to transfer to a P6 program who has a need. Perhaps a lot of 4 stars who are not seeing playing time at P5 programs that stack up elite recruits, will switch to other P5 or G5 programs with the opportunity for more playing time.
Some programs will adapt and have the foresight to keep "recruiting" players already on their rosters plus keep their antennae up for possible defectors from other programs. Obviously they can't "tamper" with another team's players but they can find ways to gauge interest, etc.
It's also going to affect everyone to some degree, good and bad.
Posted by Locoguan0
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Nov 2017
4220 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 1:38 pm to
The rich will get richer in this system. The elite schools will be like IMG. JRs from mid tier schools will be transferring into starting roles at top tier school to boost draft stock. Players at those schools will have to defend their scholarships.
Posted by tenderfoot tigah
Red Stick
Member since Sep 2004
10382 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 2:35 pm to
Rosters will get down to the 60s. Oh wait, that's already LSU.
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