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Attn: R2R - Matt Cain question

Posted on 4/30/13 at 8:18 am
Posted by RollDatRoll
Who Dat. Roll Tide.
Member since Dec 2010
12245 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 8:18 am
I was offered Cain overnight in my league for Gallardo. Normally I wouldn't be able to click accept fast enough. Cain has been bad though. His hr rate has spiked. Do you think he will be fine or is he possibly injured? I was burned by Timmy Jim all last season so I don't want to deal with that again.

Anyone else buying or selling Matt Cain right now? What is your opinion of him going forward?
Posted by reddman
Member since Jul 2005
78186 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 8:21 am to
He'll be fine. Accept immediately.
Posted by RollDatRoll
Who Dat. Roll Tide.
Member since Dec 2010
12245 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 8:23 am to
Thanks. Wanted to make sure I wasn't over-thinking this.
Posted by Chadaristic
Member since Jan 2011
40766 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 8:58 am to
I have Matt Cain and have been disappointed with him so far.


Don't have any plans to get rid of him though.
Posted by UltimateHog
Oregon
Member since Dec 2011
65761 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 9:04 am to
Buy.

He will be fine.
Posted by Brian Wilson
Member since Mar 2012
2016 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 9:48 am to
I agree. Take the deal. He will work it out.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 10:28 am to
Why not just hold Gallardo?
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 10:56 am to
Cain vs Gallardo since 2009

ERA- 2.93 vs 3.69 (Cain)
WHIP- 1.10 vs 1.29 (Cain)
K/9- 7.35 vs 9.40 (Gallardo)
WINS- 55 vs 60 (Gallardo)


Why not keep the one who pitching better this season?
Posted by RollDatRoll
Who Dat. Roll Tide.
Member since Dec 2010
12245 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 11:00 am to
In general, I think Cain is better pitcher(see ERA and WHIP). I'll take that guy. His k's may end up being lower but I don't think the difference will be much. I think Yovanni's big sell is his strikeouts, but he isn't striking anyone out so far this year.
Posted by MrWiseGuy
Member since Dec 2009
27419 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 11:05 am to
Since Cain has been in the big leagues, his xfip has been about a run higher than his era for the year (excluding this year).

Maybe it's just finally catching up to him?

2007 - 3.65 era, 4.47 xfip
2008 - 3.76, 4.46
2009 - 2.89, 4.16
2010 - 3.14, 4.00
2011 - 2.88, 3.78
2012 - 2.79, 3.82
This post was edited on 4/30/13 at 11:15 am
Posted by The White Lobster
Member since Jul 2009
16764 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 11:11 am to
He'd have a lot more catching up to do than that

he'll be fine
This post was edited on 4/30/13 at 11:12 am
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 11:25 am to
Meh. There are like 10 guys who will K 200 year in and year out. While Cain's ERA/WHIP are nice, Gallardo's big K numbers and decent ERA/WHIP level them off a bit for me. Couple that with Cain's slow start and you really are better off just staying put.

Gallardo routinely underachieves in April throughout his career. August ERA obviously sucks.

April- 4.13 and K/9 of 7.3
May- 2.77 and 9.1
June- 2.97 and 9.9
July- 3.40 and 8.6
August- 4.83 and 9.7
September- 3.64 and 9.9

Im not saying Cain is bad at all. I just dont see the need for the risk.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 3:30 pm to
I'd pull the trigger on that in a heartbeat. Perhaps speaking from a biased perspective but I think Cain has a larger upside going forward and I'll take two pitching cats for Cain (ERA & WHIP) over one for Gallard (K's). They're about even on wins/QS .. if your league uses those.

I think this bad start is an anomaly and he'll be fine. Also you can do what I do which is use SP with moderate K's but solid on ERA and WHIP and supplement them with high K relief pitchers.
Posted by RollDatRoll
Who Dat. Roll Tide.
Member since Dec 2010
12245 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 3:38 pm to
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