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re: 10 game season...Myles TD passes over/under...let's start at 35

Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:13 pm to
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126951 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:13 pm to
quote:

Myles TD passes over/under...let's start at 35

Under.
Posted by DeafVallyBatnR
Member since Sep 2004
16817 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:16 pm to
He will throw a lot of TD passes. I think the better question is how many interceptions will he throw.

If he throws 1 its going to be a great season. If he throws 10 he better throw 50 TD's
Posted by Vanilla Ice
2018 Saints Talk Poster of the Year
Member since Apr 2013
5455 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:24 pm to
frick you Jody
Posted by St Jean The Baptiste
Laredo, TX
Member since Aug 2015
5828 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:15 pm to
Under
Posted by Tigergoose77
Lake Charles
Member since Jul 2017
1389 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:39 pm to
During a normal season, I would still take the under. Anything over 20 would be great. I say 18-24 is realistic.
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
32624 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:42 pm to
10 games his O/U at a legit better would be 21.5
Posted by Zamperini2014
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2018
567 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:44 pm to
Under- Zero meaningful game reps.
Posted by Lsufandave
Zachary, Louisiana
Member since Dec 2019
98 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:46 pm to
okay obligatory 3.50 answer :-) yet realistically 22 touchdowns by air. So under.
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
19804 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:50 pm to
Under
Posted by Gus007
TN
Member since Jul 2018
11958 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:55 pm to
Over!

with Chase, Marshal, McMath, Gilbert, and a running back I don't believe anyone can stop us, unless he gets injured.

That is a risky prediction I know because we don't yet know the schedule.
Posted by aqross5054
Member since Aug 2019
23 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 8:41 pm to
Under but not a pessimistic under. I think 28-31 and with a better defense, more stops means he is throwing less than Joe last year.
Posted by Scoob
Near Exxon
Member since Jun 2009
20305 posts
Posted on 8/1/20 at 9:13 pm to
Under-

Joe Burrow was the greatest QB any of us have seen at LSU, and probably in college. He averaged 4 TDs a game in SEC regular season games, which would translate to 40 over 10 games.

Not to make light of Brennan, but I don't expect him to be about 90% as good as Burrow, against teams that now know what our offense is.


Posted by OTIS2
NoLA
Member since Jul 2008
50090 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 6:54 am to
350
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
77345 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 7:10 am to
Under, season is cancelled before he gets to 15
Posted by Griffmanjoe
Kemah, Texas
Member since Dec 2003
3450 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:23 am to
Under.

35 touchdowns? Jesus man. Relax.

Anything Over 20 would be a good start for this year. I imagine they’ll run the ball quite a bit more especially in the red zone.

If Myles has a solid year, then I can see him gaining confidence and slinging it more down the field his SR year and getting 30+.
Posted by moock blackjack
Member since Apr 2008
96127 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 9:40 am to
Under
Posted by Gallant_Gringo
Member since Mar 2013
1760 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 10:04 am to
30 TD’s. So under.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
26613 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 7:43 pm to
Last year Burrow had 29 TD passes in 7 games, but they were against 6 arse pass defenses (the 7th was Florida who was ranked 31st in pass defense). Group of 5 and Vandy aside, Texas was the worst pass defense he and LSU in general, played by a long shot with Miss St knocking on 100th best pass defense themselves. Also on the opposite end of the spectrum, he was deadly against better pass defenses too. Versus 5 top 41 pass defenses, he had 18 TD passes (damn near 4 TD passes per game ).

If we go purely by pass defense, UF, and Bama should finish in the top 30 again this year. UK and Mizzu had top 10 passing defenses, but those are deceptive because they barely played anybody with a decent passing game, but they did shut down anybody that had a mediocre or worse passing game. Technically, they should both be in the top 40 range as well this year as they should have plenty seniors and their defenses weren't built on turnovers. Tennessee was another overrated team pass defense, but should finish top 40 as well this year. TAMU will no doubt be top 30

That's my reasoning behind the stat line. I think LSU will throw enough to keep him at 3k (35 passes per game at at least 8.6 per pass will net him 300), but the redzone is key in his TD passes. Last year 35 of Burrow's 60 TDs were in the redzone. If you rewatch the games, he was pretty much an assassin inside the 10 yard line minus the Auburn game. Brady also drew up some great plays there that I hope Ensminger keeps up with. Brennan's skill in the redzone and Ensminger's play calling there will be the difference between 20-23 TD passes or 28-31 TD passes in the regular season.

Season prediction

225/350 3150 yards 27 TD 10 int
This post was edited on 8/2/20 at 7:54 pm
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
13061 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 7:50 pm to
Under. More like 22.

Inexperienced qb with inexperienced OL is NOT a recipe for 35 TD passes.

A very inexperienced team with no cupcakes to practice on is a recipe for some losses.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
26613 posts
Posted on 8/2/20 at 8:03 pm to
quote:

Inexperienced qb with inexperienced OL is NOT a recipe for 35 TD passes.

A very inexperienced team with no cupcakes to practice on is a recipe for some losses.


Gotta look at that differently while Brennan is inexperienced, he's a 4th year junior, it's no different than Burrow stepping in as a transfer. The good thing about that is not only does Brennan have the best receiving corps in the nation, he knows the offense, has chemistry with the players, learned behind a capable QB and learned from multiple NFL minds. He also got in the game va TAMU enough to know how it feels so he isn't going into the season straight blind there. OL isn't THAT inexperienced either. Hines, Ingram, and Deculus all have good experience, and the two inexperienced guys are Uber talented.

On your second note, LSU is just like everybody else in regards to that.
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