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LSU FPI Ranking
Posted on 11/19/19 at 5:06 pm
Posted on 11/19/19 at 5:06 pm
Comical
#3
#3
8
Posted on 11/19/19 at 5:06 pm to SoCalTigah
The FPI has Bama as #1 after we beat them.
It’s a severely flawed system
It’s a severely flawed system
Posted on 11/19/19 at 5:08 pm to SoCalTigah
fricked up
Power
Index
Power
Index
Posted on 11/19/19 at 5:08 pm to SoCalTigah
Obviously the main criteria is recruiting rankings
Posted on 11/19/19 at 5:09 pm to SoCalTigah
LSU was 4 on Sunday and Bama was 3. Their formula is bad.
Posted on 11/19/19 at 5:10 pm to SammyTiger
quote:
The FPI has Bama as #1 after we beat them.
It’s a severely flawed system
No they didn't. Ohio St has been sitting at 1. Bama was at 3, and LSU 4, after we beat them though.
Posted on 11/19/19 at 6:28 pm to oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
It’s so bad it’s funny.
Just like any value for CFB Rankings...just a way to profit on the subjectivity in College Football. Makes for good water cooler talk and social media banter. Cha Ching.
Just hope in the end we win out and are not at the mercy of the committee. Would hate to be a PAC12 team right now. Misery.
Just like any value for CFB Rankings...just a way to profit on the subjectivity in College Football. Makes for good water cooler talk and social media banter. Cha Ching.
Just hope in the end we win out and are not at the mercy of the committee. Would hate to be a PAC12 team right now. Misery.
Posted on 11/20/19 at 10:46 pm to SoCalTigah
i have been saying for years i can't for the life of me understand the fpi.
lsu is currently #4 with clearly the best resume in cfb. fine, fpi is a predictive measure according to espn. iow, where the teams will end up. again, this makes no sense according to fpi's own data.
espn has the proj w/l at 12.4-0.6. so are they including the seccg? if so, that means lsu is predicted to lose a game because the win out % is only 44.8%. fpi has lsu beating ark and aggie which means fpi has lsu losing to uga. but that makes no sense because uga's predicted finish is 11.3-1.7 with predicted wins over aggie and ga tech. so it has both lsu and uga losing the seccg.
and how in tarnation is bama ahead of lsu?!? the predicted finish is 10.7-1.3 which is worse than lsu's. so if it is a predictive measure, then lsu should be ahead of bama. and how is bama's win out % higher than lsu's when bama has auburn left which fpi only gives bama a 68% chance to win.
lsu is currently #4 with clearly the best resume in cfb. fine, fpi is a predictive measure according to espn. iow, where the teams will end up. again, this makes no sense according to fpi's own data.
espn has the proj w/l at 12.4-0.6. so are they including the seccg? if so, that means lsu is predicted to lose a game because the win out % is only 44.8%. fpi has lsu beating ark and aggie which means fpi has lsu losing to uga. but that makes no sense because uga's predicted finish is 11.3-1.7 with predicted wins over aggie and ga tech. so it has both lsu and uga losing the seccg.
and how in tarnation is bama ahead of lsu?!? the predicted finish is 10.7-1.3 which is worse than lsu's. so if it is a predictive measure, then lsu should be ahead of bama. and how is bama's win out % higher than lsu's when bama has auburn left which fpi only gives bama a 68% chance to win.
Posted on 11/20/19 at 10:48 pm to bfniii
quote:uhhh...Yeah, this isn't your thing
espn has the proj w/l at 12.4-0.6. so are they including the seccg? if so, that means lsu is predicted to lose a game because the win out % is only 44.8%. fpi has lsu beating ark and aggie which means fpi has lsu losing to uga. but that makes no sense because uga's predicted finish is 11.3-1.7 with predicted wins over aggie and ga tech. so it has both lsu and uga losing the seccg.
Posted on 11/20/19 at 10:50 pm to SoCalTigah
Verne designed the algorithm.
Posted on 11/21/19 at 8:42 am to castorinho
Then let's see your explanation genius. Multiple people are noticing that it doesn't make sense
Posted on 11/21/19 at 9:10 am to SoCalTigah
I thought it was pretty decent back when it first came out around 2013 or 2014. I used it in winning efforts in various fantasy games. Then it became increasingly biased toward a certain team around the same time that team also started getting multiple ESPN specials. I haven't paid much attention to it since.
Posted on 11/21/19 at 11:40 am to bfniii
quote:what multiple people? What doesn't make sense is why LSU is ranked so low. The numbers you are questioning, however, make perfect sense. They give LSU a 0.987 odds against Arkansas, 0.848 odds against A&M and if LSU beats either team OR Bama loses to Auburn, it gives lsu a 0.54 chance of beating Georgia. If you add those all up, you get 2.4 wins. Thus the 12.4-0.6 record projection.
Then let's see your explanation genius. Multiple people are noticing that it doesn't make sense
You can do the same math with Georgia and come up with the 11.3-1.7 projected record. So this conclusion of yours is false. The numbers add up.
quote:
so it has both lsu and uga losing the seccg.
This post was edited on 11/21/19 at 11:46 am
Posted on 11/22/19 at 4:42 pm to castorinho
quote:you mean other than the op and all the people who responded to it in this thread and every other thread every time this is brought up?
what multiple people?
quote:so you typed all that and didn't answer the questions i raised. good job
The numbers you are questioning, however, make perfect sense. They give LSU a 0.987 odds against Arkansas, 0.848 odds against A&M and if LSU beats either team OR Bama loses to Auburn, it gives lsu a 0.54 chance of beating Georgia. If you add those all up, you get 2.4 wins. Thus the 12.4-0.6 record projection.
You can do the same math with Georgia and come up with the 11.3-1.7 projected record. So this conclusion of yours is false. The numbers add up.
quote:precisely. that's what everyone has been asking about the fpi and sagarin
What doesn't make sense is why LSU is ranked so low
Posted on 11/22/19 at 4:49 pm to SoCalTigah
I don’t know... makes sense to me. As mentioned the rankings are predictive. What they’re getting at is that if on a neutral field Clemson and Ohio State would be favored against us. Vegas says the same.
Not saying they’re right. I’ve seen enough to know my money would be on LSU and would get great odds on the game, but that’s what Vegas and these metrics predict. Fellow degenerates should be celebrating we’re underdogs in these potential matchups, give our tigers a chip on their shoulder to boot!
Not saying they’re right. I’ve seen enough to know my money would be on LSU and would get great odds on the game, but that’s what Vegas and these metrics predict. Fellow degenerates should be celebrating we’re underdogs in these potential matchups, give our tigers a chip on their shoulder to boot!
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