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Ramblin Wreck
Georgia Tech Fan
Member since Aug 2011
3790 posts

Since Spirit shareholders will be paid $33.50 per share, why not load up now at $25?

Other than the possibility of the government not allowing the merger, I don't ever understand why stock prices don't get closer to the buy outs once they are approved by the shareholders. What is the risk of me adding a lot more SAVE to my portfolio? It would seem they at least have a back-up plan if it doesn't go through and Frontier is still interested.


Hayekian serf
Member since Dec 2020
1593 posts

People said the same thing about Twitter a few months ago


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270
UpstairsComputer
LSU Fan
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2017
1231 posts

The risk is the deal falls through... see TWTR


Decatur
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2007
27428 posts

What’s the risk with the Twitter deal falling through? Is it going to go lower than before Musk made his offer? What would be the basis of that?

Btw should be seeing Musk’s Answer today.


C
Atlanta Falcons Fan
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27462 posts

Twitter was in the low $30 when musk started having a position with them. And with the negative ad news from others I don’t see how it doesn’t go much lower without musk buying them.
This post was edited on 7/28 at 2:25 pm


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60
Mitlands
Member since Jun 2022
89 posts

quote:

What would be the basis of that?


The fact that they have been selling advertising based on false information?


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Member since 2001
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Tiger Prawn
Member since Dec 2016
20093 posts
 Online 

quote:

What’s the risk with the Twitter deal falling through? Is it going to go lower than before Musk made his offer? What would be the basis of that?
If the deal falls through, its likely because Elon was able to prove that Twitter was lying about how many of their supposed "active users" were actually bots.

If that happens, Twitter is going to be in a world of hurt because future advertising value will drop and previous advertisers are going to be looking for refunds because Twitter lied about how many real people the ads were reaching. Not to mention loss of trust.


AUHighPlainsDrifter
Auburn Fan
South Carolina
Member since Sep 2017
2179 posts

quote:

Not to mention loss of trust.


Not to mention a class action lawsuit from stock holders


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60
Decatur
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2007
27428 posts

quote:

its likely because Elon was able to prove that Twitter was lying about how many of their supposed "active users" were actually bots.


Twitter didn’t make any representations about this to Musk and you can drive a truck through the language in the SEC filings.


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Jag_Warrior
Virginia Fan
Virginia
Member since May 2015
2985 posts

quote:

Other than the possibility of the government not allowing the merger


You answered your own question right there. The market pricing of Spirit is essentially pointing to that possibility.


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Jag_Warrior
Virginia Fan
Virginia
Member since May 2015
2985 posts

Well, at least Jet Blue didn’t offer thirty “4:20”.

JBLU is the only airline or travel stock that I own in my investment account. I’m less than thrilled with this play, but having owned it for years, I’ll just sit here with my popcorn and see what happens.


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buckeye_vol
Ohio State Fan
Member since Jul 2014
34862 posts

quote:

its likely because Elon was able to prove that Twitter was lying about how many of their supposed "active users" were actually bots.
Judging by the arguments his lawyers submitted, he’s basing it on a misunderstanding of sampling and statistics. What they presented actually made me more confident in Twitter’s data, albeit with some methodological questions that need answered.


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