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Message
Trying to make sense of this polling data
Posted on 6/29/22 at 8:37 pm
Posted on 6/29/22 at 8:37 pm
Real Clear Politics average
First of all, I am going to have to accept the premise that these polls are even accurate, which I question heavily.
But none the less, Biden's average approval rating is at 38 right now which obviously isn't great, and to be honest I think accurately captures the mood of the country at the moment.
But how in the hell did he have a 56% approval rating just last year? Then when looking at Senate races in GA and PA, the polling looks really bad for Republicans (bad candidates isn't helping).
What I fear in what I am seeing, is alot of the country is simply isolating Biden as the reason for all the disfunction. And in many ways, right wing and conservative media is feeding into this narrative. When the truth is, it is progressive politics that is inflicting the damage, and it's not because they are doing it wrong. It is quite the opposite, it's actually that they are doing it right.
First of all, I am going to have to accept the premise that these polls are even accurate, which I question heavily.
But none the less, Biden's average approval rating is at 38 right now which obviously isn't great, and to be honest I think accurately captures the mood of the country at the moment.
But how in the hell did he have a 56% approval rating just last year? Then when looking at Senate races in GA and PA, the polling looks really bad for Republicans (bad candidates isn't helping).
What I fear in what I am seeing, is alot of the country is simply isolating Biden as the reason for all the disfunction. And in many ways, right wing and conservative media is feeding into this narrative. When the truth is, it is progressive politics that is inflicting the damage, and it's not because they are doing it wrong. It is quite the opposite, it's actually that they are doing it right.
This post was edited on 6/29/22 at 8:39 pm
9
Posted on 6/29/22 at 8:41 pm to burger bearcat
quote:
Biden's average approval rating is at 38 right now which obviously isn't great, and to be honest I think accurately captures the mood of the country at the moment.
His real approval rating is much lower than 38%.
"Biden sucks but he's still better than Trump."
^That's the best defense any idiot liberal will say about Biden.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 8:47 pm to burger bearcat
Never underestimate the stupidity of the average 20-30 year old American, and off year elections are hard to predict. If Biden were on the actual ballot, I think you would see more of an impact but since he isn’t candidates can theoretically distance themselves
Posted on 6/29/22 at 8:48 pm to burger bearcat
polls are polls....trust none
Posted on 6/29/22 at 8:58 pm to burger bearcat
quote:
Then when looking at Senate races in GA and PA, the polling looks really bad for Republicans
What did those two states have in common in 2020? That's your answer.
The fix is already in.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:01 pm to burger bearcat
PA and GA are blue states where Biden’s approval/disapproval doesn’t matter. Combine that with the 2 worst GOP opponents and you have 2 lost races. There’s no way the GOP pulls those out. In the end the Dems will expand their majority and Schumer will be in power for awhile.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:04 pm to FlyingTiger1955
quote:
GA are blue states
Ga isn’t blue until you add in all of the illegal votes.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:06 pm to FlyingTiger1955
quote:
PA and GA are blue states where Biden’s approval/disapproval doesn’t matter. Combine that with the 2 worst GOP opponents and you have 2 lost races. There’s no way the GOP pulls those out. In the end the Dems will expand their majority and Schumer will be in power for awhile.
It's weird. I almost think we have a better chance in Nevada or New Hampshire than PA or GA which should be shoe ins. GA just seems completely toast right now, and PA is too corrupt. The 17th Ammendment was an abomination.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:18 pm to FlyingTiger1955
Expanding their majority is a bit of a stretch, 4 of the 7 toss up senate seats are held by Democrats with 47 safe/likely Republican and 46 safe/likely Democrat
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:36 pm to Rip Torn
quote:
Expanding their majority is a bit of a stretch
I hope you're right. If the dems add 2 more seats, then you can bet your house on them packing the SCOTUS. We are lucky that Machin & Sinema are standing in their way or they'd already have done it.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:39 pm to burger bearcat
quote:
Trying to make sense of this polling data
All polls are bullshite.
Hope this helps.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:40 pm to burger bearcat
Ask Sammy Tiger if he approves of Biden.
That age group has been lost.
That age group has been lost.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:42 pm to Rip Torn
quote:
Expanding their majority is a bit of a stretch, 4 of the 7 toss up senate seats are held by Democrats with 47 safe/likely Republican and 46 safe/likely Democrat
I'm generally pessimistic when it comes to elections. But I am pretty confident then Republicans take the house. The senate is more questionable to me, mostly because of apparently weak candidates in PA and GA, which are 2 states that should be locks this fall as well as the fraud machines ran in those states.
This post was edited on 6/29/22 at 9:43 pm
Posted on 6/29/22 at 9:58 pm to burger bearcat
quote:
But how in the hell did he have a 56% approval rating just last year?
It's all fake.
Posted on 6/29/22 at 10:59 pm to TigerAxeOK
quote:
The fix is already in
That, my friends, is a ready-made cop out for Republicans when they select candidates who can't beat their way out of a paper bag.
"Da feex! Da feex!"-- let that chant resound from sea to shining sea, when the Dems retain the house and pick up a couple of Senate seats.
This post was edited on 6/29/22 at 10:59 pm
Posted on 6/30/22 at 12:03 am to burger bearcat
quote:
Then when looking at Senate races in GA and PA, the polling looks really bad for Republicans (bad candidates isn't helping).
Before you decide whether or not the poll is accurate, first ask yourself are people being honest with pollsters in todays political climate.. personally, there is no way I’m telling a pollster anything. Outside of select family members and posting here, I engage in political discussion absolutely no where. People are fricking crazy. Not just crazy want to argue with you in public but crazy and willing to cause harm to you, your property and your livelihood.
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