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re: Analysis of Polls vs. Actual Results

Posted on 9/21/20 at 10:57 am to
Posted by RICHIE APRILE
Essex County, NJ
Member since Aug 2020
791 posts
Posted on 9/21/20 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Apparently the city of Detroit is an excellent indicator of election day turnout.

I knew a DNC strategist when I lived in DC during the last election. He said he knew Trump was going to win when he got a report that lines in Detroit's most populated polling places were nearly non-existent at 4pm on election day.

Of course, it is going to be hard to predict voter turnout with mail-in voting, but we should have a good idea of who will win by mid-afternoon on November 3rd based on the turnout in Detroit.



People's Pundit guy said Trump won Michigan only because the turnout for Hillary was terrible. He said every other state Trump won, Trump simply won by beating Hillary straight up, except Michigan, where it was the lack of turnout on Hillary's end. I don't see them being caught flat footed this time.
Posted by fjlee90
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2016
8004 posts
Posted on 9/21/20 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

I don't see them being caught flat footed this time.


Toss up here IMO.

Trump has made serious head way when it comes to Michigan voters.

I do not see an exemplary turn out for a generic old man (Biden). Especially one who has been racist as the day is long.
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