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re: Analysis of Polls vs. Actual Results
Posted on 9/21/20 at 10:54 am to anc
Posted on 9/21/20 at 10:54 am to anc
quote:
I also do not believe that Democrats will come out like they did for Hillary.
Apparently the city of Detroit is an excellent indicator of election day turnout.
I knew a DNC strategist when I lived in DC during the last election. He said he knew Trump was going to win when he got a report that lines in Detroit's most populated polling places were nearly non-existent at 4pm on election day.
Of course, it is going to be hard to predict voter turnout with mail-in voting, but we should have a good idea of who will win by mid-afternoon on November 3rd based on the turnout in Detroit.
1
Posted on 9/21/20 at 10:57 am to Bluefin
quote:
Apparently the city of Detroit is an excellent indicator of election day turnout.
I knew a DNC strategist when I lived in DC during the last election. He said he knew Trump was going to win when he got a report that lines in Detroit's most populated polling places were nearly non-existent at 4pm on election day.
Of course, it is going to be hard to predict voter turnout with mail-in voting, but we should have a good idea of who will win by mid-afternoon on November 3rd based on the turnout in Detroit.
People's Pundit guy said Trump won Michigan only because the turnout for Hillary was terrible. He said every other state Trump won, Trump simply won by beating Hillary straight up, except Michigan, where it was the lack of turnout on Hillary's end. I don't see them being caught flat footed this time.
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