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re: Who's the best duo of all time? (NBA)
Posted on 6/6/17 at 4:39 pm to shel311
Posted on 6/6/17 at 4:39 pm to shel311
quote:But a person who uses more possessions should have a higher PER. I just regressed the current season and the 2005-2006, but for each point increase in usage, PER increases by ~0.619. So Kobe's 7.5 point higher usage should have about a 4.6 higher PER.
There are only so many possessions in a game. If you're using a higher % of posesssions at a 28 PER, that is more impressive IMO than someone doing it without using as many possessions.
For example, LeBron's highest PER was 31.7 and his usage is 33.8. MJ's highest PER was 31.7 and his usage was 34.1. Last season Steph 31.5 PER with a usage of 32.6.
Obviously, there are probably diminishing returns and the regressions towards the mean will make the difference between usage and PER greater at the extemes, but a 28.0 PER on a 37.5 usage is about in line with expectations.
And as a comparison, Kobe used about 34 possessions per game in 05-06, and between his points and assists, he accounted for about 44.9 points per game (1.24 points per possession used). In 2012-2013. When LeBron had a PER of 31.6 on a 30.2 usage, he used about 24 possessions per game, and between points and assists, accounted for 43.2 points per game (1.88 points per possession used).
Despite only a 13% higher PER, his points per possession was 51% higher. Now that's efficiency.
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