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re: Saints at Cleveland early line // Saints at Falcons prop bets

Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:56 am to
Posted by 1609tiger
Member since Feb 2011
3308 posts
Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:56 am to
Saints win by 22 or more is +500 No way 5000 maybe. These bets are easy house money.
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 10:59 am
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
87109 posts
Posted on 9/5/14 at 10:59 am to
It's actually correct. Think about it... you get the entire range of 22-infinity points of victory (obviously only 22-35 or so is realistic but still).

The other options you only get 3-4 point range.

Also, the Falcons are only +1000 to beat New Orleans by 22 or more. That meshes with liklihood.

My favorite play is the "Saints win by 11-13" because that's where I have this game capped and the payoff seems unusually high for this range - Saints 28, Falcons 17.
This post was edited on 9/5/14 at 11:01 am
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
87109 posts
Posted on 9/5/14 at 11:08 am to
quote:

These bets are easy house money.


I agree for the most part. I bet 99% on sides and money line. But some of the plays (which I asterisk'd) are good value like J. Rodgers or K. Robinson or M. Ryan scoring the first TD.
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