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re: Saints playoff odds are brighter than advertised.
Posted on 11/23/12 at 9:56 pm to BayouFann
Posted on 11/23/12 at 9:56 pm to BayouFann
It boils down to 3 things:
1) Win out and odds are the Saints are in.
2) Lose 1 and the Saints will need a lot of help (<50% chance)
3) Lose 2 and the Saints are done (always a slim chance but <5%).
1) Win out and odds are the Saints are in.
2) Lose 1 and the Saints will need a lot of help (<50% chance)
3) Lose 2 and the Saints are done (always a slim chance but <5%).
2
Posted on 11/24/12 at 4:00 am to DoubleDown
quote:
2) Lose 1 and the Saints will need a lot of help (<50% chance)
Nah, your odds are too low. 1 loss a bunch of those 4 loss teams will still drop 2 more games on the schedule.
2 losses and the odds are still over 5%, the only hiccup would be Seattle losing 3 more games, when they only have 2 on the schedule that they wouldn't be favored in.
Posted on 11/24/12 at 9:46 pm to DoubleDown
quote:
1) Win out and odds are the Saints are in.
Yes
quote:
2) Lose 1 and the Saints will need a lot of help (<50% chance)
No. Would say that 10-6 gives about a 80% chance looking at the remaining schedules of other contenders.
quote:
3) Lose 2 and the Saints are done (always a slim chance but <5%).
Once again, tough schedules for teams fighting for playoff spots. This scenario would have to involve a lot of help, but I'd give this about a 15% chance.
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