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Message

"...we were a bad kicker away from a locked up 14th national championship."
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:39 pm
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:39 pm
If Alabama had run more than 3 offensive plays in the red zone in the game, their kicker(s) would have had a better chance to make more kicks. It also didn't help that when Alabama was inside LSU's 30 yard line they "gained" a total of -17 yards.
Alabama FGs:
44 Missed
50 Missed
49 Blocked
34 Made
46 Made
52 Missed
According to a chart from the 2005 NFL season (link at the bottom of this post), FG attempts from 44 yards by NFL kickers were successful around 70% of the time. Percentages dropped sharply with increases in distance from there. FG attempts of 50 or more yards were successful only 52% of the time. NOTE: Those percentages are based on stats from the best FG kickers on the planet.
There are 9 teams in the NFL this season that have not made a FG from 50 yards or longer and 18 teams that have not made a FG from 52 yards or longer. This is in a year in which, as of October 27, NFL kickers were (and possibly still are) on pace for the best FG percentage in NFL history.
LSU FGs:
19 Made
30 Made
25 Made
On the other hand, FG attempts from 30 yards or less by NFL kickers were successful over 80% of the time according to the chart, with kicks inside 25 yards being a near guarantee.
The kickers weren't the biggest problem for Alabama.
Alabama achieved a 3-0 lead 26 minutes and 7 seconds into the game. Up until that point, they'd dominated LSU, but from there it was a different story. Over the next 33 minutes and 53 seconds of regulation and then overtime, it was Alabama who was dominated.
Game stats from 3:53 remaining 2nd qtr:
Total Yards
LSU 189
Alabama 114
Rushing Yards
LSU 123
Alabama 31
Trent Richardson is indeed the best player in college football, but LSU made halftime adjustments to limit him to 36 yards on 12 carries and 19 yards on 2 receptions in the second half. 16 of Richardson's 23 carries went for 3 yards or less.
LSU pinned Alabama deep in their own territory twice only to relinquish field position as a result of penalties.
BOTH teams were given short fields on offense as a result of turnovers.
LSU had the ball first and goal at Alabama's 2 yard line and was held to a FG.
My point is that Alabama did not lose because their kickers missed low percentage kicks. Halftime contests at basketball games would be much less interesting if 1 contestant was forced to shoot from half court while their competitor was allowed to shoot layups.
You can blame Alabama's inability to do anything on offense in the second half. Blame Maze for failing to field the punt (or Saban for having him in the game while injured). Blame the decisions to kick FGs rather than punting. Blame the replay officials for confirming an interception that WAS an interception on a trick play. Blame AJ McCarron's inability to play the quarterback position. Blame Alabama's inability to stop LSU's speed option late in the game.
Or, you can blame Les Miles. Blame John Chavis. Blame Brad Wing. Blame Eric Reid. Blame Jordan Jefferson. Blame Morris Claiborne. Blame Sam Montgomery. Blame Will Blackwell. Blame Chris Faulk...
Regardless of what you do, please make sure to blame yourself and the majority of the Alabama fan base for your incapacity to accept that Alabama is not the best team in the country.
I love the smell of corn dogs in the morning. They smell like, victory.
https://www.bookofodds.com/Daily-Life-Activities/Sports/Articles/A0153-Behind-the-Numbers-It-s-Easier-to-Kick-a-Field-Goal-Today
Alabama FGs:
44 Missed
50 Missed
49 Blocked
34 Made
46 Made
52 Missed
According to a chart from the 2005 NFL season (link at the bottom of this post), FG attempts from 44 yards by NFL kickers were successful around 70% of the time. Percentages dropped sharply with increases in distance from there. FG attempts of 50 or more yards were successful only 52% of the time. NOTE: Those percentages are based on stats from the best FG kickers on the planet.
There are 9 teams in the NFL this season that have not made a FG from 50 yards or longer and 18 teams that have not made a FG from 52 yards or longer. This is in a year in which, as of October 27, NFL kickers were (and possibly still are) on pace for the best FG percentage in NFL history.
LSU FGs:
19 Made
30 Made
25 Made
On the other hand, FG attempts from 30 yards or less by NFL kickers were successful over 80% of the time according to the chart, with kicks inside 25 yards being a near guarantee.
The kickers weren't the biggest problem for Alabama.
Alabama achieved a 3-0 lead 26 minutes and 7 seconds into the game. Up until that point, they'd dominated LSU, but from there it was a different story. Over the next 33 minutes and 53 seconds of regulation and then overtime, it was Alabama who was dominated.
Game stats from 3:53 remaining 2nd qtr:
Total Yards
LSU 189
Alabama 114
Rushing Yards
LSU 123
Alabama 31
Trent Richardson is indeed the best player in college football, but LSU made halftime adjustments to limit him to 36 yards on 12 carries and 19 yards on 2 receptions in the second half. 16 of Richardson's 23 carries went for 3 yards or less.
LSU pinned Alabama deep in their own territory twice only to relinquish field position as a result of penalties.
BOTH teams were given short fields on offense as a result of turnovers.
LSU had the ball first and goal at Alabama's 2 yard line and was held to a FG.
My point is that Alabama did not lose because their kickers missed low percentage kicks. Halftime contests at basketball games would be much less interesting if 1 contestant was forced to shoot from half court while their competitor was allowed to shoot layups.
You can blame Alabama's inability to do anything on offense in the second half. Blame Maze for failing to field the punt (or Saban for having him in the game while injured). Blame the decisions to kick FGs rather than punting. Blame the replay officials for confirming an interception that WAS an interception on a trick play. Blame AJ McCarron's inability to play the quarterback position. Blame Alabama's inability to stop LSU's speed option late in the game.
Or, you can blame Les Miles. Blame John Chavis. Blame Brad Wing. Blame Eric Reid. Blame Jordan Jefferson. Blame Morris Claiborne. Blame Sam Montgomery. Blame Will Blackwell. Blame Chris Faulk...
Regardless of what you do, please make sure to blame yourself and the majority of the Alabama fan base for your incapacity to accept that Alabama is not the best team in the country.
I love the smell of corn dogs in the morning. They smell like, victory.
https://www.bookofodds.com/Daily-Life-Activities/Sports/Articles/A0153-Behind-the-Numbers-It-s-Easier-to-Kick-a-Field-Goal-Today
This post was edited on 11/10/11 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:41 pm to gbalsamo4
They were lucky when cody blocked 2 kicks in 09.
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:42 pm to gbalsamo4
That was too long to read. But no one here will argue that FGs are part of the game and no one should just xclude the kicking game when discussing a team.
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:43 pm to gbalsamo4
quote:Skewed because of jefferson and the option. not like it was just pounding it at us all game. Jefferson was THE difference in the game period. No jefferson, bama wins AT LEAST 6-3
Rushing Yards
LSU 123
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:44 pm to gbalsamo4
You don't need all the stats...bammer's complaints make NO common sense. We had short, easy FG attempts....they had long bombs (two into the wind). Very low percentage stuff. Like it or not...we simply penetrated deeper...and whipped that arse!

This post was edited on 11/10/11 at 8:52 pm
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:44 pm to gbalsamo4
you can't play the "if" game by changing 1 or 2 plays and keeping the rest of the game constant, although most sports fans think you can...
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:44 pm to RammerJammerBammer
quote:
Jefferson was THE difference in the game period. No jefferson, bama wins AT LEAST 6-3
You don't know that.
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:45 pm to RammerJammerBammer
quote:
Rushing Yards LSU 123 Skewed because of jefferson and the option. not like it was just pounding it at us all game
What difference does it make who ran the ball?
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:46 pm to gbalsamo4
frick Bama. That game is over. We won. I'm moving on to the Hilltoppers.
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:46 pm to RammerJammerBammer
quote:
Skewed because of jefferson and the option
I had no idea running the option was not part of rushing yards.
You would think a defense as great as Bama's could stop a simple option play.
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:48 pm to biglego
The % of makes from the far hash marks have to be much less than NFL where thew hash marks are lined up with the goal post.
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:48 pm to gbalsamo4
quote:
You were 3/4 busted plays away from having your teeth kicked, in in your joke of an intimidating stadium.
FIFY
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:49 pm to Chimlim
Anybody who watched that game should have clearly seen that the only difference in the 2 teams was Jordan Jeffersons mobility. I dont know why yall are taking that as an insult, its a damn compliment. (besides FG kicking) but w/o jefferson we wouldnt have needed a kicker
This post was edited on 11/10/11 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:49 pm to RammerJammerBammer
quote:
Skewed because of jefferson and the option.
skewed would not be the proper word there yo....
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:49 pm to RammerJammerBammer
quote:
Skewed because of jefferson and the option. not like it was just pounding it at us all game.
That's like saying passing yards are skewed with screen passes......LOL
Posted on 11/10/11 at 1:49 pm to gbalsamo4
it's not like the NCAA sprung it on Bama right before the season that potentially they'd need to kick field goals this year. Recruit a better kicker. it's part of the game.
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