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Message

Turning the corner on election anxiety
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:29 am
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:29 am
Not that anybody cares, but My last two weeks have been like this:
I started out in mid-October seeing The political landscape start shifting towards Trump and was elated. Everyone in the country could see the shine had worn off of Harris and I felt like we had this in the bag for the first time.
Like most of you, I watched the betting markets and was encouraged to see Trump rising every day.
Starting last week there started to be a shift. Not sure if it was the Puerto Rico joke or a concerted media effort or what but I started getting more and more nervous about the outcome. I considered all the cheating and the fact that Trump has to defeat not only the Democrats but big tech, the media, the entertainment industry and precinct level fraud. I found myself less and less confident each day. It was starting to affect my mood a little bit.
But finally I worked my way through the unnecessary and unwarranted anxiety. Like any analytical person should do, I went back to the data. I looked at the early voting totals in Nevada, NC, AZ, PA and Virginia. I looked at the enthusiasm gap. I looked at the polls and how much better off we are then we were in 2016 or 2020. When that garbage Iowa poll came out yesterday I realized we had this. I could smell the desperation.
For the first time in a few weeks I'm relieved. Now I'm just excited and can't wait until Tuesday night when the Democrats are forced to see what they've refused to consider- Trump is winning this in a landslide. I really don't think it's going to be that close. When the Virginia and Georgia polls close And we start seeing real return numbers on election night no amount of copium will be able to have them.
I started out in mid-October seeing The political landscape start shifting towards Trump and was elated. Everyone in the country could see the shine had worn off of Harris and I felt like we had this in the bag for the first time.
Like most of you, I watched the betting markets and was encouraged to see Trump rising every day.
Starting last week there started to be a shift. Not sure if it was the Puerto Rico joke or a concerted media effort or what but I started getting more and more nervous about the outcome. I considered all the cheating and the fact that Trump has to defeat not only the Democrats but big tech, the media, the entertainment industry and precinct level fraud. I found myself less and less confident each day. It was starting to affect my mood a little bit.
But finally I worked my way through the unnecessary and unwarranted anxiety. Like any analytical person should do, I went back to the data. I looked at the early voting totals in Nevada, NC, AZ, PA and Virginia. I looked at the enthusiasm gap. I looked at the polls and how much better off we are then we were in 2016 or 2020. When that garbage Iowa poll came out yesterday I realized we had this. I could smell the desperation.
For the first time in a few weeks I'm relieved. Now I'm just excited and can't wait until Tuesday night when the Democrats are forced to see what they've refused to consider- Trump is winning this in a landslide. I really don't think it's going to be that close. When the Virginia and Georgia polls close And we start seeing real return numbers on election night no amount of copium will be able to have them.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:32 am to ClientNumber9
quote:
But finally I worked my way through the unnecessary and unwarranted anxiety. Like any analytical person should do, I went back to the data. I looked at the early voting totals in Nevada, NC, AZ, PA and Virginia. I looked at the enthusiasm gap. I looked at the polls and how much better off we are then we were in 2016 or 2020. When that garbage Iowa poll came out yesterday I realized we had this. I could smell the desperation.
How I've been all election season. I keep telling y'all to stop watching the news.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:37 am to ClientNumber9
We need to make it too big of a win to steal. The only way of doing that is winning states we never thought we could win, like Virginia, Nevada, Michigan, Maine, and possibly New Mexico.
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 6:14 am
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:39 am to ClientNumber9
You are putting too much into this and that’s not healthy. Just always assume that Kamala will win. She probably will.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:40 am to ClientNumber9
Trump said it himself on the Rogan podcast that polls would begin releasing closer to ED that would be favored towards her to sow deceit. Gotta stay strong and vigilant!
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:44 am to ClientNumber9
I feel ya, but 2020 was such a gut punch. Call me a pussy but I'm not setting myself up for that again. I'm preparing for more frickery Tuesday night. Bristle boards, water main breaks, 3am truck loads of ballots from Rhode Island...
Ill just have to be pleasantly surprised if they don't steal it
Then we have to worry ab getting 14th Amendment'd all the way to certification. They'll also try to take him out again.
Ill just have to be pleasantly surprised if they don't steal it
Then we have to worry ab getting 14th Amendment'd all the way to certification. They'll also try to take him out again.
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 5:45 am
Posted on 11/3/24 at 5:46 am to The Boat
Yea the news is working hard to surprise the movement and we have a lot of doomers about cheating.
When you look at data available and use some common sense it looks much better.
I actually would bet that our Nevada EV lead is larger, how many Dems didn’t switch party over and instead just voted for Trump. I also don’t see how anyone could justify Kamala winning independents when none of the actual independent candidates are with her.
Then I look at PA and the Dems claiming to need only a 500k firewall makes zero sense considering they had 1M last time and nearly lost. You have same issue there how many Dems are going trump but just never switched party. Then you have whatever number of Amish that never voted before voting. The insane message of the left turns off Hispanics and illegals have made the black vote mad.
This morning I was thinking the main reason people screamed we can’t win Michigan and Minnesota was the Muslim/Somali vote. Well for over a month the top Muslim community in Michigan endorsed Trump, recently you had Muslims in MN now come out behind Trump, even stating they have always been Dems and now they are going trump. So if the key reason we were going to lose those states is now backing Trump does it make any sense we would lose.
Those communities that have those leaders vote in a much more solid block than your average white voter. So I feel like you have the leader saying vote and vote Trump it’s going to happen.
You also have the hidden union vote, those guys might have voted Trump 2:1 in internal polls but you think that number wasn’t surpressed and they aren’t going to be outwardly Trump.
When you look at data available and use some common sense it looks much better.
I actually would bet that our Nevada EV lead is larger, how many Dems didn’t switch party over and instead just voted for Trump. I also don’t see how anyone could justify Kamala winning independents when none of the actual independent candidates are with her.
Then I look at PA and the Dems claiming to need only a 500k firewall makes zero sense considering they had 1M last time and nearly lost. You have same issue there how many Dems are going trump but just never switched party. Then you have whatever number of Amish that never voted before voting. The insane message of the left turns off Hispanics and illegals have made the black vote mad.
This morning I was thinking the main reason people screamed we can’t win Michigan and Minnesota was the Muslim/Somali vote. Well for over a month the top Muslim community in Michigan endorsed Trump, recently you had Muslims in MN now come out behind Trump, even stating they have always been Dems and now they are going trump. So if the key reason we were going to lose those states is now backing Trump does it make any sense we would lose.
Those communities that have those leaders vote in a much more solid block than your average white voter. So I feel like you have the leader saying vote and vote Trump it’s going to happen.
You also have the hidden union vote, those guys might have voted Trump 2:1 in internal polls but you think that number wasn’t surpressed and they aren’t going to be outwardly Trump.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:20 am to ClientNumber9
quote:
Starting last week there started to be a shift. Not sure if it was the Puerto Rico joke o
I am not kidding, I stopped reading right here as you can't be taken seriously.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:22 am to Big4SALTbro
I understand what you are saying and agree. However, if you know this, they damn sure know this, and will adjust their gameplan accordingly. Win at all costs.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:25 am to Honkus
quote:
2020 was such a gut punch
That's an understatement. Went to bed around midnight half drunk from celebrating a Trump re-election and awakened to piss around 0300 to a much different and horrifying reality.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:27 am to ClientNumber9
The racist Puerto Rico joke will backfire bigly. Look @ the polling data.
Infuriating because it wasn’t even Trump who said it (for once). But the media really ran with it, and it was just fuel for moderates who were still undecided.
Combine that with white women massing support for Harris and I don’t see how she won’t sneak by.
This may be the closest EC in history - my tally has Kamala winning by 6 EV votes.
Infuriating because it wasn’t even Trump who said it (for once). But the media really ran with it, and it was just fuel for moderates who were still undecided.
Combine that with white women massing support for Harris and I don’t see how she won’t sneak by.
This may be the closest EC in history - my tally has Kamala winning by 6 EV votes.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:29 am to BigApple
quote:
You are putting too much into this and that’s not healthy. Just always assume that Kamala will win. She probably will.
I know, right? I mean the only thing at stake is our country and our childrens’ futures. No one should take it too seriously.
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 6:30 am
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:33 am to RFK
As of Friday afternoon the campaign is basically done. All that’s left for the campaigns is getting out the vote. From Friday afternoon until after the weekend most people pay little attention to the news.
The media is putting out these last minute polls because they understand a Trump win puts the final nail in the coffin of the legacy media. Not that he will do anything, it would just demonstrate their irrelevance.
Stop watching the news at this point, there’s nothing to see. Go vote and make sure your friends and family go vote.
The media is putting out these last minute polls because they understand a Trump win puts the final nail in the coffin of the legacy media. Not that he will do anything, it would just demonstrate their irrelevance.
Stop watching the news at this point, there’s nothing to see. Go vote and make sure your friends and family go vote.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 6:41 am to corndawg85
quote:
Gotta stay strong and vigilant
Especially if you have ED!
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:04 am to ClientNumber9
quote:
Turning the corner on election anxiety
Man mine is just starting to really rev up this morning. I am praying that it gets blown wide open and we know before midnight eastern on Tuesday, but I will never forget or forgive 2020.
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:09 am to ClientNumber9
I usually don't give two shits about it but this year has gotten to me.
The crooked Democrats and the crap they pull has gone too far.
All the cancel culture stuff, WOKE, freaking Gay, Trans, LBTGHE bullshite is disgusting.
Now they are trying to populate all the swing states with third world idiots and have open borders but gates around their communities.
I'm Mad Eddy --- MAGA
The crooked Democrats and the crap they pull has gone too far.
All the cancel culture stuff, WOKE, freaking Gay, Trans, LBTGHE bullshite is disgusting.
Now they are trying to populate all the swing states with third world idiots and have open borders but gates around their communities.
I'm Mad Eddy --- MAGA
Posted on 11/3/24 at 7:24 am to Sizzle_DAWG
We have a lot of older loser republicans. They like being the Washington generals
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