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Posted on 9/15/23 at 9:00 am to Shexter
quote:
Now do delinquencies on mortgages.
Its coming. Credit cards and auto loans always are the first to go. Mortgages will be next. Same pattern in 2007 but for different reasons and before anyone says anything I am not saying 2007-08 will happen again.
More Than 30 U.S. Metros Post Increase in YoY Delinquency Rates
quote:
CoreLogic has released its monthly Loan Performance Insights Report for June 2023 showing that an estimated 2.6% of all mortgages in the U.S. were in some stage of delinquency—defined as 30 days or more past due, including those in foreclosure—representing a 0.3 percentage point decrease compared with 2.9% in June 2022 and unchanged from May 2023.
CoreLogic examined all stages of delinquency and found that in June 2023, the U.S. delinquency and transition rates and their year-over-year changes, were as follows:
Early-Stage Delinquencies (30 to 59 days past due): 1.3%, up from 1.2% in June 2022
Adverse Delinquency (60 to 89 days past due): 0.4%, up from 0.3% in June 2022.
Serious Delinquency (90 days or more past due, including loans in foreclosure): 1%, down from 1.3% in June 2022 and a high of 4.3% in August 2020.
Foreclosure Inventory Rate (the share of mortgages in some stage of the foreclosure process): 0.3%, unchanged from June 2022.
Transition Rate (the share of mortgages that transitioned from current to 30 days past due): 0.6%, down from 0.7% in June 2022.
MS and LA leading the way yet again
Posted on 9/15/23 at 10:01 am to Shexter
quote:People will generally pay for shelter before transportation and transportation before other consumer credit. I would expect credit card delinquencies to lead auto and auto to lead mortgage. However, a sharp rise in auto delinquencies indicates to me a high probability of a similar rise in mortgage delinquencies.
Now do delinquencies on mortgages.
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