Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
ESPN is predicting that LSU will go 11-1 during the 2019 regular season with the only loss coming against Alabama in Tuscaloosa on Nov 16, according to the latest Football Power Index.

Aug 31 vs. Georgia Southern 96.7% chance to win
Sept 7 at Texas 74.4% chance to win
Sept 14 vs. Northwestern State 99.8% chance to win
Sept 21 at Vanderbilt 84.0% chance to win
Oct 5 vs. Utah State 97.9% chance to win
Oct 12 vs Florida 70.3% chance to win
Oct 19 at Mississippi State 65.3% chance to win
Oct 26 vs Auburn 71.8% chance to win
Nov 9 at Alabama 25.2% chance to win
Nov 16 at Ole Miss 82.7% chance to win
Nov 23 vs. Arkansas 94.2% chance to win
Nov 30 vs. Texas A&M 73.4% chance to win

Filed Under: LSU Football
54 Comments
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DVinBR58 months
that's not an 11-1 prediction, that's just odds of winning
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nycajun58 months
"tat's not an 11-1 prediction, that's just odds of winning" Correct. Think of it this way:Take 3 cards--2 aces and 1 deuce. Shuffle them face down, then turn one over. Odds are 66.7% it will be an ace. Do this 12 times, shuffling each time. Each time you do it represents a game in which you have a 66.7% chance of winning (turning up an ace) and a 33.3 chance of losing (turning up the deuce). But overall, you're likely to win 8 times, not 12.
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deuce98558 months
Some of those odds are way too high. Yeah, I get it, LSU is athletically much superior to those out of conference teams but almost all those teams are pretty solid. I wouldn't sleep on those out of conference teams. Texas is definitely capable of beating LSU. 74% seems a little high but LSU is the better team overall.
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Keeble914558 months
Texas lost like 3/4ths of their starters (a lot on their lines). That game should be a blood bath but Herman seems to coach well as underdogs so we will see I guess
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Tiger4life580358 months
We better not sleep on Vandy man. Am I the only one who most scared of that game?
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Lsu10120558 months
This isn't baseball.
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Disgeaux Bob58 months
chirp chirp chirp
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tigerMike58 months
Yeah I am not worried about Bama, Florida, Auburn, or Texas. It's Vandy that's in our way!
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FournetteForEver758 months
We need to fly under the radar
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NASA_ISS_Tiger58 months
I just hope we fly under the radar, avoid injuries, and keep our heads right through the rest of the summer with no legal issues.
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Lsu10120558 months
LSU returns 16 starters, with as talented as they are to begin with, this number is huge. We get Chaisson back too. This dude is a big deal and makes us A LOT harder to scheme against. I am high on this team too.
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Space Cowboy58 months
Not to mention that Tyler Shelvin and Apu Ika are going to be studs as well. Plus Jacoby Stevens back there in addition to Delpit at safety and quarters is going to be awesome as well.
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LSU61558 months
Don't forget Stingley and Emery. Those boys will battle for SEC FOY.
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abitaman636358 months
Someone did not take statistics. ESPN is not predicting LSU to go 11-1. Just because the % of 11 games is higher than 50% does not mean ESPN thinks LSU will win 11 games. In fact based on ESPN’s numbers the chances are very low.
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abitaman636358 months
Someone did not take statistics. ESPN is not predicting LSU to go 11-1. Just because the % of 11 games is higher than 50% does not mean ESPN thinks LSU will win 11 games. In fact based on ESPN’s numbers the chances are very low.
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lsutigermall58 months
Exactly - four games at 75%, means we’re likely to lose one of those four. Let’s just stick it to Bama.
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NOLATiger16358 months
Exactly! If you crunch those numbers, I think the corresponding prediction is for a 9-3 or 10-2 regular season.
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GumplandTiger58 months
LSU has a zero percent chance of winning in Tuscaloosa on Nov.16. Smh
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Space Cowboy58 months
LSU has beaten Bama in Tuscaloosa in recent history more than it has in Baton Rouge. Gump.
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cooter_brown58 months
He's right. LSU won't even BE in Tuscaloosa on Nov 16. We will be in Oxford.
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castorinho58 months
Space Cowboy, define "recent" :(
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BayouBengal9958 months
The defense will be tough. What I’ll be looking at is how the offense attacks and how efficient they are in the first game of the season. I think we’ll start out fast and over match Ga Southern. We will load up the middle of the DL and have our LB and S ready to attack the edges. This game should play well to our strengths but I hope they have a very good defense so we have to actually game plan and fight hard to move the ball but we still get it done. I’m expecting a 52-10 type of game. I think this will be Joe Burrows coming out party with his WRs and the passing attack. I expect to see balance also. We may not have crazy numbers on offense simply because of our defense giving us short fields and possibly scoring some points for us as well. 2 TOs minimum lots of YFL.
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BayouBengal9958 months
The Texas game will be a good one. Their QB is good enough to keep them in any game. I think who ever wins the TO battle here wins it. I could see LSU getting all over in the face of the QB and it being hard for Texas to settle in being how their defense is brand new. They have talent though so anything can happen. I’m expecting a 44-27 type of game. Our defense being the factor here and helping us to score 2 TDS. I think we can get 30 points out of our offense driving the ball and the other 14 coming from short fields. If we can start the year like this then we’ll be top 4 headed into the home game with Florida and LSU really dominated them on the field last year, we simply had some bad luck with injuries and in the game period. Things just didn’t go our way. That will change in this game and they lost a lot from that team last year. Mullen hasn’t recruited all that well. We had their QB all bottled up in the first half and then let them gain confidence and momentum for a come back and we still almost beat them. I don’t think it’s as close this time. 34-13 LSU. We will kill Miss State even at their place. 51-14 LSU. Auburn will be our toughest game simply bc they want some pay back. This will be one we will have to hold our breath for. I think it’ll be close. 29-27 LSU blocks their game tying extra point in dramatic fashion and brings it back for an extra point lol. At this point it’ll be #2 VS #3 and LSU will be confident AF but with the addition of the HOF coach we’ll stay grounded but know this is it, it’s our time. LSU wins it 34-31 on a last second FG similar to Auburn in 2018. We slaughter OM 56-17. We handle up on Arky 50-10. The A&M game will be another close one. They just make plays when they need them. 35-33 LSU. We go 12-0 with Ed O and he puts a huge smelly proverbial sock in the mouths of all LSU fans that have hated on him the last two seasons. National recruits take notice, see the offense has changed, the defense when talent and depth is there can be lots of fun and we finished the class strong and off to the races for 2020. Now LSU is in the conversation as one of the premier schools in the country again. One can dream can’t he? Really I think we slip up somewhere but I honestly believe this offense will be loads of fun to watch. If you look at all the things that played against us last year and we still almost beat Florida and A&M at their place with Burrow saying himself that he was just making plays within this offense plus the injuries that plagued us all year and the depth we will be adding. I’m telling you guys, this will be a special season. I think Ed O sees it and is why he brought a HOF mentor to help him with the possible success and possible let downs we may have because it’s football and things happen.
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Lsu10120558 months
My man, the comment section is not the place for a novel.
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BayouBengal9958 months
I really don’t care now do I. This is what I wanted to say and it was said. Hate it if you like. I give two fingers up to all you haters.
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oleheat58 months
Isn't "favoring us to win in 11 games" the same as "favoring us to go 11-1"? LOL this common core math is making some people neurotic.
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StadiumDormRat'7258 months
there are 5 games with at least a 25% or more chance of losing...so think about it - you roll the dice 5x with a 1-in-4 chance of losing, the laws of probability says you probably lose at least 1 of those.
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cam_cam58 months
That indicates a 2.8% chance of going undefeated, 8.3% to go 11-1 with the one loss to Alabama.
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cam_cam58 months
Undefeated: 2.8% One Loss: 15.5% Two or more losses: 81.7%
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Mahootney58 months
I don't care what ESPN says. What does Vegas say?
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Mahootney58 months
I don't care what ESPN says. What does Vegas say?
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LSUsince7458 months
But the Gumps only have a 75% chance of winning also
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cypresstiger58 months
“TD Staff Reporter” must be Larry Leo
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LSU61558 months
I don't think so. The grammar is impeccable and none of the words in the article are misspelled.
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Celery58 months
I’ll take 11-1 any day
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CGSC Lobotomy58 months
ESPN picked 6 wins last year and was dead wrong. If you're an LSU fan, you should not be happy about this.
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SmackDaniels58 months
Why? We should go undefeated if they always underestimate us.
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gerkin58 months
so i understand this article is not predicting LSU to go 11-1. However, if they were to go 11-1 with their only loss to Bama, im curious if this means a playoff birth? I guess it depends alot on Notre Dame and Pac 10 champ quality, etc.
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SuckFickNaban58 months
Yep and notre dame looks decent with a cupcake schedule
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CanebreakCajun58 months
12-0 regular season, book it
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NPComb58 months
I'll have what he's drinking
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