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Favorite team:LSU 
Location:Washington, DC
Biography:
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Occupation:Computer Engineer
Number of Posts:601
Registered on:11/28/2011
Online Status:Not Online

Recent Posts

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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]Well that's a little scary b/c Hillary will inherit this as well as all the AA voting names and numbers in Philly and Columbus and Cleveland. The more I think about it the more I realize that her outstanding ground game may allow her to not only preserve Obama's African American turnout, but...
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]If you looks at the last presidential election 38% were democrats, 32% Republicans and 29% independents. The independents will decide this election. Most of these independents are very anti-Hillary. Add to the fact that democratic turnout will be lower for Hillary than Obama, and you have you...
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
From Nate Silver on getting Trump wrong: [quote]The big mistake is a curious one for a website that focuses on statistics. Unlike virtually every other forecast we publish at FiveThirtyEight — including the primary and caucus projections I just mentioned — our early estimates of Trump’s chances w...
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]this is the better projection model Clinton 210 Trumpy 164 Toss Up 164 RCP Electoral Map[/quote] :lol: So you link me to a place that based on current polling, show's HRC winning bigly? :rotflmao: Ok, thanks for the comedy....
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]I admit that Nate's swing state record with Obama elections is outstanding. But Hillary v's Trump is potentially a LOT more fluid than Obama v's McCain or Obama v's Romney.[/quote] Please point me to a non-cuck based alternative so that we may evaluate based on math. I'll be waiting......
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]People actually still listen to (((Nate Silver))).[/quote] Show me a better projection model. Ok, since I know you won't be able to find one, I know that it's just bitterness....
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]A) his "weighting" system is deeply flawed IMO. The inclusion of these polls that skewed overly Democratic (D+12 ABC/WashPo for example) is questionable, to say the least. I was surprised that RCP included that poll in their nat'l average mix, but I'm not surprised that Biased Nate Silver i...
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]Was it? He didn't use any math in saying Trump wouldn't be the nominee?[/quote] He said that IN SPITE of the math showing otherwise. That's why you can believe what you want, but I'll be going with math....
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[link=(http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/uk-european-union-referendum)]http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/uk-european-union-referendum[/link] This talking point about people getting Brexit wrong is so insane. Remain led by .5% !!!!...
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]While I think this is an accurate reflection on the current race, given the current data, Silver himself would caution against extrapolation given the time before the election. In addition, the state-level polling just really just getting started so it's still somewhat minimal at this time. ...
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]Not really (compared to everyone), but midterms and Presidential elections aren't close to the same thing re: demographics.[/quote] Right, people complain about weather men but predicting the future is hard. Using science we can have some confidence in whether or not it will rain at you...
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]He is 99/100 on state by state predictions over the past 2 elections. [/quote] Right, and for those who have taken probability in school, the odds of him being wrong in each state needed to flip the Electoral College right now are miniscule. But, he's a liberal hack/ cuck. So that make...
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re: Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[quote]The same Silver that said Trump had a 5% chance of being the nominee?[/quote] As I anticipated this retort, I noted in the OP that was a punditry guess, not math. When the state projections actually came out, he was right almost every time....
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Nate Silver Out with State by State Projections, HRC sweeps swing states - tigerinDC09
[link=(http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=navlink)]http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=navlink[/link] I know he was wrong about Trump but that was his pundit hat talking. On poll analysis alone, he got almost all of the primaries righ...
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re: Trump Silent on SCOTUS abortion ruling - tigerinDC09
[quote]WTF is he supposed to do? The USSC has spoken on it. Any time a state tries to pass legislation that in any way limits access to abortion, the USSC shoots it down. You guys are getting laughable in your Trumpsession. "look, DJT said this, or look DJT didn't say that." Get real guys.[/quote...
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Trump Silent on SCOTUS abortion ruling - tigerinDC09
[link=(http://www.redstate.com/joesquire/2016/06/27/donald-trump-silent-scotus-abortion-ruling/)]http://www.redstate.com/joesquire/2016/06/27/donald-trump-silent-scotus-abortion-ruling/[/link] [quote]The man who is supposed to represent the values of the Republican Party as their nominee, Donald ...
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Battleground Bloodbath, New poll shows big HRC lead in all - tigerinDC09
[link=(http://www.politico.com/blogs/swing-states-2016-election/2016/06/clinton-trump-swing-state-poll-224923)]LINK[/link] [quote] Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump in seven swing states in a Ballotpedia poll. | AP Photo Hillary Clinton is polling higher than Donald Trump in seven swi...
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re: David Axelrod BTFOs WaPo over claim Trump donated only $10k since 2008 - tigerinDC09
[link=(http://freebeacon.com/politics/half-of-clintons-charitable-giving-in-2014-went-to-their-own-foundation/#)]LINK[/link] In 2014 alone, we know from her taxes that she gave 3 mil to charity. 1.8 of which went to CGI. Either way, that's more than this so called multi-billionaire has given o...
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re: David Axelrod BTFOs WaPo over claim Trump donated only $10k since 2008 - tigerinDC09
[quote]Trump has every right to claim any money from companies he owns.[/quote] So with your logic, his company bankruptcies are his own personal bankruptcies. Got it. :lol:...
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re: David Axelrod BTFOs WaPo over claim Trump donated only $10k since 2008 - tigerinDC09
[quote]Look at the financial statements of the Clinton Global Initiative and start counting up how much money went into charitable activities. Then start comparing those totals to the amounts spent on salaries, overhead, etc. Organizations which rate charities for how much they spend on charitabl...
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