Updates to Senate health care bill now posted: CBO score sometime after 3 pm

Guys, the CBO IS the Swamp. It's wrong every time by massive margins.

Who cares? Dems will screech that it'll murder millions of innocent poors regardless of what's in the bill.

That's all they ever do anymore.

Small change to the first draft of the bill per the updated version.

Any person who has a lapse in coverage for more than 63 days over the past year will be put in a 6 month freeze from enrolling in a new plan.

We'll see if this is incentive enough for healthy individuals to maintain coverage, but doubt it moves the needle much with the CBO score.

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If the bill doesn't lower premiums and deductables I am vehemently against it.

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There is 0% chance this bill will lower premiums and deductibles. The protections for pre-existing conditions remain and the mandate is removed. This will guarantee increases in premiums and deductibles. It's math.

To be fair Doc, it did miss on some other predictions not related to the number of insured, such as enrollment rates and costs.

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We'll see if this is incentive enough for healthy individuals to maintain coverage

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if the tax didn't why would this?

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At least they are posting it online and not sneaking it in in the middle of the night like Ocare was...

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How can you be so divorced from reality. Obamacare had massive problems but it also went through massive debate in congress. Republicans offered tons of amendments. Many hearing were held. The Rs just didn't have the votes to stop it.

No reason to tell a giant lie to try to justify what the Rs are doing now.

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Guys, the CBO IS the Swamp. It's wrong every time by massive margins.

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this.

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if the tax didn't why would this?

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Ironically, they'd have to message it the same way Obamacare was messaged:

You never know what could happen and need coverage. Six months without being able to get insurance could be problematic.

It's not going to work, but I don't know how the CBO might perceive it.

with regard to coverage, CBO erred in estimating where the uninsured would get covered - they overestimated the number on the exchanges and underestimated the number enrolled through medicaid expansion (and would have underestimated this further if Republican states hadn't been allowed to opt out the enrollment by the first supreme court challenge).

Since Medicaid is cheaper insurance than the policies on the exchanges, it ended up being cheaper than predicted.

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Because there are fewer people on the exchanges, CBO overestimated how much the law's coverage provisions would cost overall. Originally, it expected the net cost would be $132 billion in 2016. However, it lowered that estimate to $110 billion in the estimate it released last year.

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CNN