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So trump tax plan the law of the land for 10 years, correct?

Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:43 am
Posted by jb4
Member since Apr 2013
12640 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:43 am
Only needs to pass congress with majority vote than it last for 10 years before it reverts back to today's tax rates. So the question is will the GOP in congress f over trump and not pass it? Pretty funny when anybody in congress talks about the debt.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35361 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Only needs to pass congress with majority vote than it last for 10 years before it reverts back to today's tax rates. So the question is will the GOP in congress f over trump and not pass it? Pretty funny when anybody in congress talks about the debt.
Pretty sure it would need more than a simple majority vote. No?
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118636 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:45 am to
quote:

Only needs to pass congress with majority vote than it last for 10 years


That doesn't make sense. You don't need a majority vote if you put a timeline on fiscal policy.

IIRC this is how the Bush tax cuts worked. They expired under Obama.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
66997 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:45 am to
Reconciliation in the senate
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118636 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:49 am to
Fiscal policy can be passed with a simple majority in the senate if the policy remains revenue neutral simply by reshuffling existing policy and/or by expiration. Otherwise it takes a majority (60) in the Senate to pass cloture.
Posted by Haughton99
Haughton
Member since Feb 2009
6124 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:52 am to
quote:

Fiscal policy can be passed with a simple majority in the senate if the policy remains revenue neutral


I can't wait for the math gymnastics that they try to show this massive tax cut as being revenue neutral.
Posted by jb4
Member since Apr 2013
12640 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:52 am to
Or they just kill the fillbuster
Posted by Haughton99
Haughton
Member since Feb 2009
6124 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:54 am to
quote:

Or they just kill the fillbuster


Senator's can be short sighted but this would extreme even for them. They know that their majority isn't permanent and may only last a couple more years.
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
29645 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:54 am to
quote:

Or they just kill the fillbuster


would be a bad idea & unprecedented in US history

using it for judicial nominations was a fairly modern invention
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90479 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:55 am to
quote:

can't wait for the math gymnastics that they try to show this massive tax cut as being revenue neutral.


Only way I can see it working is by increased tariffs and increase tax on wealthy but lowering tax on middle class and business. It would be more economically friendly at least.

Can spending cuts be added to make it revenue neutral?
Posted by jb4
Member since Apr 2013
12640 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:57 am to
reasons the senate is different from the house

terms are 6 years instead of 2
Every state has 2 senators whereas the house is based on states pop


The fillbuster is a result of an error historu not some great constitutional thing, see Aaron burr farewell advice to the senate speech
This post was edited on 4/27/17 at 11:59 am
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
101266 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 11:58 am to
quote:

quote:
Or they just kill the fillbuster


would be a bad idea & unprecedented in US history


One could argue, the way it's currently being utilized is also unprecedented.

I'm not necessarily arguing to "kill" the rule. I'm just saying.
Posted by FearlessFreep
Baja Alabama
Member since Nov 2009
17273 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 12:20 pm to
quote:

IIRC this is how the Bush tax cuts worked. They were scheduled to expire under Obama, but he extended most of them in 2010, then made them permanent in 2013, with the exception of the cut in the highest marginal bracket, which returned to its pre-Bush rate of 39.6%.
FIFY.
Posted by BeefDawg
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2012
4747 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Fiscal policy can be passed with a simple majority in the senate if the policy remains revenue neutral simply by reshuffling existing policy and/or by expiration. Otherwise it takes a majority (60) in the Senate to pass cloture.


This man gets it.

Trump's budget plan, by the way, won't come close to qualifying for Reconciliation.

They may be able to claim revenue-neutral, but there are mandates in it, like the wall and ACA/AHCA changes, that are going to require it to be a new full bill.

IF... they eventually do it with just Reconciliation, it will be a mere shell of what Trump really intended to do.
Posted by ctalati32
Member since Sep 2007
4060 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 12:30 pm to
quote:

Or they just kill the fillbuster



Killing the filibuster would be terribly shortsighted and in the long run I think it would benefit Dems more so than Repubs


Once the Dems have a majority in both houses and the presidency (or a supermajority) they would just pass more laws and increase social welfare. Once the general population gets a taste of more social welfare people will want more and it will be unpopular to get rid of things
For example look at social security. We all know it needs to be reformed and fixed; but most legislators don't want to mess with it because it is bad politics. You'd get more and more of these programs that will be hard to take away..
Posted by SoulGlo
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

last for 10 years


WTF.

Posted by stuntman
Florida
Member since Jan 2013
9081 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 12:40 pm to
"Revenue"

That term, in the context of tax collections, grinds my gears.

Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89476 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

I can't wait for the math gymnastics that they try to show this massive tax cut as being revenue neutral.


You know that tax rate cuts can generate more money than confiscatory rates that freeze money/activity, right? Taxpayers don't operate in a vacuum.
Posted by CalTiger53
California
Member since Oct 2011
9034 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 12:45 pm to
It is a good plan for everybody.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89476 posts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

IF... they eventually do it with just Reconciliation, it will be a mere shell of what Trump really intended to do.


They did Obamacare with reconciliation. What difference at this point does it make? Landmark, significant, generational legislation passed with reconciliation when one side had the will to do it. The other side can't even bring itself to reverse THAT thing with reconciliation.

"Just wait 'til next year!" - said every Republican lawmaker ever.
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