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Started By
Message
Macron loses 4 pts and Le Pen gains 4 pts
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:05 pm
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:05 pm
LINK /
.....“The popularity of Macron is diminishing, that of Le Pen climbs,” writes BFMTV. “Emmanuel Macron, down 4 points, remains the political personality that attracts the most support. The candidate has the advantage over his opponent of the second round of the presidential, Marine Le Pen, which climbs for its part 4 points, according to an Odoxa poll broadcast Thursday.”
Additionally, a PresiTrack poll by Opinionway reveals that Macron has slipped below 60% for the first time since March.....
.....“The popularity of Macron is diminishing, that of Le Pen climbs,” writes BFMTV. “Emmanuel Macron, down 4 points, remains the political personality that attracts the most support. The candidate has the advantage over his opponent of the second round of the presidential, Marine Le Pen, which climbs for its part 4 points, according to an Odoxa poll broadcast Thursday.”
Additionally, a PresiTrack poll by Opinionway reveals that Macron has slipped below 60% for the first time since March.....
9
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:10 pm to notsince98
They call me Mr. Brexit
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:11 pm to notsince98
Means Le Pen has really gained 8pts.
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:12 pm to notsince98
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:14 pm to notsince98
Viva Le Pen!
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:44 pm to Seldom Seen
quote:
Means Le Pen has really gained 8pts.
Correct, it is an 8 pt swing.
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:45 pm to notsince98
Wait, I thought this board didn't believe in polls since they were wrong all along about Trump and Brexit???
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:47 pm to cameronml
quote:
Wait, I thought this board didn't believe in polls since they were wrong all along about Trump and Brexit???
What a CNN-like attempt you made here. We should use this as an example of logical fails to help prevent future ones from happening..
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:49 pm to notsince98
I mean, I'm not Einstein when it comes to math but that's an 8 point swing in a very short period of time. Le Pen just might have a shot.
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:53 pm to GumboPot
quote:Only 18 more points to make up.
I mean, I'm not Einstein when it comes to math but that's an 8 point swing in a very short period of time. Le Pen just might have a shot.
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:54 pm to cameronml
quote:
Wait, I thought this board didn't believe in polls since they were wrong all along about Trump and Brexit???
Or the original polls were ridiculous, and there is now a Trumpesque correction occurring?
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:55 pm to notsince98
quote:
What a CNN-like attempt you made here. We should use this as an example of logical fails to help prevent future ones from happening..
What's the example? This board only trusts polls when they show as favorable to their preferred agenda?
Posted on 4/27/17 at 2:58 pm to notsince98
I think it's time for Macron to get his grandma on the campaign.
Ooops, I meant to say his wife.
Ooops, I meant to say his wife.
Posted on 4/27/17 at 3:03 pm to cameronml
quote:
What's the example? This board only trusts polls when they show as favorable to their preferred agenda?
Skewed polls can show incorrect numbers but provide correct trends. You try to convolute a few different issues into one blanket statement and doing so is a logical fallacy.
Posted on 4/27/17 at 3:03 pm to Zach
More like his beard
Posted on 4/27/17 at 3:19 pm to notsince98
quote:But you can't really infer a trend from one poll.
Skewed polls can show incorrect numbers but provide correct trends.
Posted on 4/27/17 at 3:21 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
But you can't really infer a trend from one poll.
You can't get a change in polling numbers from one poll. I don't think you thought that post through very well. A change in numbers requires at least a minimum of 2 data points (old and new).
Posted on 4/27/17 at 3:26 pm to notsince98
quote:But you would still need one more data point to establish any trend, so 3 total.
I don't think you thought that post through very well. A change in numbers requires at least a minimum of 2 data points (old and new).
Posted on 4/27/17 at 3:33 pm to The Boat
Posted on 4/27/17 at 3:34 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
But you would still need one more data point to establish any trend, so 3 total.
Oh look, you said you can't infer anything from one poll, now it is up to 2. I made no claims of getting a "trend" from 2 polls. You work for CNN?
Yes, there have only been two polls. the campaign season just started in france. The last year was just exhibition.
This post was edited on 4/27/17 at 3:36 pm
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