The only problem with this analysis is that I've heard it from Muslims about once a month since 1960. But it never happens. After a while I'd think they'd feel rather stupid for being wrong 10,000 times.
They most notably tried in 1948 (right after Israel declared independence), 1967 (Six-Day War), and 1973 (Yom Kippur War). And went 0 for 3.
But then again they're supported by a madman from Iran who denies the Holocaust. If you've got somebody with that thinking calling the shots, logic never comes into play.