- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Is there any reason for "professional" polls to exist anymore?
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:03 pm
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:03 pm
They have been proven to be false "science".
They should be viewed as legitimate as palm readings....
They should be viewed as legitimate as palm readings....
4
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:15 pm to TigerBait1971
It gives "the press" something to talk about?
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:19 pm to TigerBait1971
quote:Well many of us followed them closely, and found it interesting. So if there is a demand for them, then they will exist.
They have been proven to be false "science".
They should be viewed as legitimate as palm readings....
And as far as the science, there is some clear issues pollsters will have to deal with moving forward (technology being a major change), but save for some systematic errors in the Midwest, they were pretty accurate overall.
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:25 pm to TigerBait1971
The average of the national polls had Clinton ahead by a little over a point. That's pretty much dead on.
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:28 pm to TigerBait1971
quote:
They have been proven to be false "science".
Have they? Or maybe you never understood how probability works in the first place.
ETA: This is like when the weatherman gets his forecasts right 9 days out of 10, but everyone judges him by the 1 day that he gets wrong saying that he is completely unreliable and never gets anything right.
This post was edited on 1/18/17 at 8:31 pm
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:30 pm to Peazey
quote:Some were saying that it was a cop-out that 538's model was giving Trump a chance. As if the world works in absolutes.
Or maybe you never understood how probability works in the first place.
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:32 pm to Haughton99
quote:
The average of the national polls had Clinton ahead by a little over a point. That's pretty much dead on.
Because the only poll that matters to them is the last one. That's when they actually did they job and used legit samples.
The polls from the beginning to mid-October were made to push their agenda which was to depress and suppress Trump support. Hillary was up double digits consistently. And the samples used were a higher D skew than either of Obama's elections.
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:34 pm to The Boat
The world is not static. Information is not perfect. This shouldn't be a shocking revelation.
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:37 pm to Peazey
Information is even more imperfect when it's made under false pretenses.
Posted on 1/18/17 at 8:37 pm to The Boat
quote:The polling margins were rather consistent from about a month out with one brief widening in mid-October. In fact, they were more accurate the week before the election than the day before it.
Because the only poll that matters to them is the last one. That's when they actually did they job and used legit samples.
This post was edited on 1/18/17 at 8:42 pm
Page 1 of 1
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News