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In 2018, which seats are up for grabs?

Posted on 3/21/17 at 8:11 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
80760 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 8:11 pm
How many R and D seats for both the Senate and House are up for grabs?
Posted by The Baker
This is fine.
Member since Dec 2011
16160 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 8:12 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 7:35 pm
Posted by ForeLSU
The Corner of Sanity and Madness
Member since Sep 2003
41525 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 8:13 pm to
quote:

House


all of them are technically up for grabs...about 15% or so in reality
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
15108 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 8:24 pm to
Here is a wiki link that gives the rundown for the Senate seats: LINK

There will be 9 Republicans and 25 liberals (23 Dems + 2 Ind) Senators.

I believe liberals have 10 seats up in states that Trump won, and Republicans have 1 seat up in states Hillary won.
This post was edited on 3/21/17 at 8:27 pm
Posted by Quidam65
Q Continuum
Member since Jun 2010
19307 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 8:27 pm to
Nelson of Florida is vulnerable.

Florida GOP is asking voters to call his office in support of Gorsuch's nomination. If he votes party line and the Florida GOP runs a strong candidate he could well lose his seat.
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
15108 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 8:49 pm to
Tester, Heitkamp, McCaskill, and Manchin (if he doesn't flip side before the election) are all most likely going to lose out. And I just can't see an Democratic Senator keeping the Indiana seat, so I'd assume that Donnelly is in trouble as well. Throw in Wisconsin's seat, a state which just elected a Republican Governor, Senator, & President in the last election. Then they'd need at least three more (two if Nelson loses) to gain the filibuster proof 60 seats.
This post was edited on 3/21/17 at 8:50 pm
Posted by montanagator
Member since Jun 2015
16957 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 8:57 pm to
I wouldn't bet against Tester- he won re-election in 2012 with relative ease despite any drag Obama may have had at the top of the ticket.

Similarly, Manchin is well liked in WV.
This post was edited on 3/21/17 at 8:58 pm
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
13063 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 9:16 pm to
I wouldn't count on any "Trump" state kicking a Dem out in 2018. Trump is not that popular and I think he may be even less popular in November, 2018 than now.

Better watch out for the House in 2018. Dems have already raised more money for the House campaign in 2018 than they spent in 2016 and 2014 combined. Repubs will keep the Senate easily in 2018, but the House MIGHT be another question altogether.
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
52762 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 9:19 pm to
You know, Hillary also raised record $ in her campaign
Posted by Bamatab
Member since Jan 2013
15108 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 9:42 pm to
quote:

I wouldn't bet against Tester- he won re-election in 2012 with relative ease despite any drag Obama may have had at the top of the ticket.

I just don't see Tester winning again in Montana. The Republicans will be focusing on Montana, and they would have to run a pretty bad candidate not to give Tester a real run for his money.

quote:

Similarly, Manchin is well liked in WV.

Manchin was ready to flip to Republican this year if the Dems would've won the Senate majority. Hell, I believe the only reason he hasn't flipped yet is because he'd go from the Senior Senator to a Junior Senator once he flips parties. I don't think it'll take much of a threat from the Republicans to cause him to flip before his next election.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 9:45 pm to
Are all dem senators vermin now like schumer and feinstein and liawatha and leahy?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164042 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 9:45 pm to
I always smh and weep when people ask how many house seats are up.
Posted by GeorgeWest
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2013
13063 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 11:12 pm to
Tester is very popular in Montana even among many Republicans.
Posted by montanagator
Member since Jun 2015
16957 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 11:40 pm to
quote:

I just don't see Tester winning again in Montana. The Republicans will be focusing on Montana, and they would have to run a pretty bad candidate not to give Tester a real run for his money.




Tester is popular in the state. Montana isn't as red as people think in terms of its Federal legislative delegation. Remember Trump may have won MT in 16 but so did Bullock. Similarly, Romney won the states electoral votes easily in 2012 and in that year the GOP had a strong opposition candidate with as much pull and name recognition as Tester in Dennis Rehberg, Tester won by 4 points.

Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69249 posts
Posted on 3/21/17 at 11:42 pm to
It's far too early (IMO) to be making any sort of judgement regarding 2018.

As of now, the only thing you can say is the likely outcome is the senate remains GOP and the democrats will gain seats in the house.
Posted by SmithsAuFan
San Diego, CA
Member since Jul 2013
1658 posts
Posted on 3/22/17 at 1:54 am to
quote:

I wouldn't count on any "Trump" state kicking a Dem out in 2018. Trump is not that popular and I think he may be even less popular in November, 2018 than now.

Better watch out for the House in 2018. Dems have already raised more money for the House campaign in 2018 than they spent in 2016 and 2014 combined. Repubs will keep the Senate easily in 2018, but the House MIGHT be another question altogether.


Most Democrats only vote in Presidential elections.
Posted by mindbreaker
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2011
7632 posts
Posted on 3/22/17 at 3:25 am to
quote:

25 liberals (23 Dems + 2 Ind) Senators. 


So anyone who isn't a Republican is automatically a libetal. And some republicans are liberal too. This board .... jeez
Posted by Loserman
Member since Sep 2007
21856 posts
Posted on 3/22/17 at 3:47 am to
quote:

I always smh and weep when people ask how many house seats are up.


Public Schools don't teach people anymore
Posted by Eurocat
Member since Apr 2004
15035 posts
Posted on 3/22/17 at 4:03 am to
I didn't take his post to mean "up for election" I took it to mean "up for a surpise, up for a party switch, up for an upset, etc".

Everyone knows every House seat is up every two years.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123779 posts
Posted on 3/22/17 at 5:05 am to
quote:

I wouldn't count on any "Trump" state kicking a Dem out in 2018. Trump is not that popular and I think he may be even less popular in November, 2018 than now.

Better watch out for the House in 2018. Dems have already raised more money for the House campaign in 2018 than they spent in 2016 and 2014 combined. Repubs will keep the Senate easily in 2018, but the House MIGHT be another question altogether.
All this will depend on GOP SOBs actually getting their butts in gear and passing legislation. If they do, in 2018 they may well be given a filibuster-proof senate. If they don't, they will lose the House.
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