FEMA is concerned with science, models, math, and money. Other geographies (i.e. Lakeview or anywhere else) are analyzed in complete isolation from each other. FEMA doesnt care what happened in Lakeview when studying Plaquemines. FEMA is basing these decisions on their computer models and what keeps the nationwide program solvent.
Dont pull the Al Gore shite with me. I am not debating WHY the earth is getting warmer, or WHY sea level is rising, but there is no debate that these things are happening. Humans have been measuring water levels for over 100 years continuously and the water is getting higher. The land beneath Plaquemines parish is sinking faster than anywhere else in the state. There is less marsh between the levees and the gulf now than there was 40 years ago. There are fewer and smaller barrier islands now than there were 40 years ago to knock down surge. All of this combines to prove my statements about different climates, environments, and conditions true. These are all inputs into FEMA's storm surge models. FEMA isnt calculating flood risk based on inputs from 40 years ago...it is pretty simple.
To understand storm frequency, you have to understand statistics. Our sample size of Katrina or worse events is relatively small since humans have only been recording them for roughly 200 years. Each storm in fact slightly changes the frequency of occurrence, changes what is indeed a "100-yr storm". FEMA, LSU, the state CPRA, anyone studying surge behavior uses data to create hundreds of synthetic storms which they model over hundreds of synthetic tracks to aggregate likely surges in an area...they arent concerned with a specific event from the past, they are concerned with likely future scenarios.
Part of me does sympathize with people who built to code, only to have code revised, and possibly these people should be shown assistance. I disagree with what the code was set at and the morons in government who set it. I also am not a fan of everyone leaning on the government for everything...why should the government have to exercise common sense for people instead of the citizenry seeing the changing nature of their surroundings on their own? The government doesn't stop people from building beyond code. Up until now, building at minimum code in lower Plaquemines was a reflection of lack of judgement.
This post was edited on 1/29 at 11:43 pm