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re: Larry Holder's Mock Draft 4.0

Posted on 4/16/15 at 4:45 pm to
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

There's no reason to take Waynes at 13, much less any CB in the first round.

That's your opinion, and youre entitled to it, but Waynes is legit, and fits very well for our defense.
Posted by LosLobos111
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
45385 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 4:46 pm to
Yeah I just want a guy with size

I wouldn't hate it,just not entirely sold.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
115394 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 4:53 pm to
quote:

Yeah I just want a guy with size

Posted by metryboy
Member since Oct 2008
654 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 4:58 pm to
Argh! So frustrated that almost everyone has fallen for the "draft hype" of edge rushers. I have been onboard for drafting one if not two very high round Olineman and a lot of other people were too. At first at least. Now, the "sexier" picks are all taking over everyone's mocks. This team is at its best when the offense is blasting 30-40 points on people like we used to do and all the defense has to do is slow down a one dimensional team. You don't need superstars for that!
Add to that the fact that a lot of these edge rush guys are boom/bust type of guys and it makes it worse.
Has everyone already forgotten what the Cowboys did by investing in their Oline?
Posted by PurpleDrank18
Houston, TX
Member since Oct 2011
4508 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

Waynes is legit


This, here, is also an opinion.

Any CB we draft isn't even going to start. You don't spend a top 15 pick, or really a first for that matter, on depth. I'm not against a CB in this draft but more in the third round, 44 at the very earliest. There are other, bigger needs where we can get players of equal value who will come in a contribute/compete for starting jobs immediately.
Posted by Bear Is Dead
Monroe
Member since Nov 2007
4696 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 5:09 pm to
Surely you don't believe we have three (3) legit corners now huh? Cause you need 3 solid corners in the NFL.
Posted by PurpleDrank18
Houston, TX
Member since Oct 2011
4508 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 5:37 pm to
quote:

I have been onboard for drafting one if not two very high round Olineman and a lot of other people were too. At first at least. Now, the "sexier" picks are all taking over everyone's mocks. This team is at its best when the offense is blasting 30-40 points on people like we used to do and all the defense has to do is slow down a one dimensional team. You don't need superstars for that! 


This team was also at it's best when the defense was forcing turnovers, and getting pressure on the QB. The year we won the SB we were top-15 in sacks and top two in turnovers.

Now I'm not saying a high potent offense wasn't a big part of that too, but you need both sides firing efficiently to make a deep run. It's not going to happen with just one facet of the game.

Plus, and this is a big thing, our offense was top 5 last year anyway and look where it got us. #1 in total offense and #9 in scoring offense and we won 7 games...

With how poor our defense was last year, no matter how great we can make our offense next year, if the defense doesn't improve with it we're going nowhere. It may win us 10 games in the regular season, but come playoff time it doesn't make for a winning recipe.

I hate this notion that a high-potent offense is just going to magically cure everything. You need defense too, and last year's was not even close to championship-caliber.


quote:

Has everyone already forgotten what the Cowboys did by investing in their Oline?


Yeah and where did that get them? Not even the conference championship game. Plus they actually had a very improved defense. It was about in the middle of the NFL in scoring and yards. So it's not like an offense just turned them into a contender, they got more efficient on defense too. And they still didn't even make it too far. It takes both sides playing at a high level at the same time, plus fate to make things fall your way to actually make a run.
Posted by PurpleDrank18
Houston, TX
Member since Oct 2011
4508 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 5:45 pm to
quote:

Surely you don't believe we have three (3) legit corners now huh? Cause you need 3 solid corners in the NFL.


Maybe a solid nickel guy, which we can easily get at 44 or later. We have enough safety depth to use one of those guys in the hybrid role when we go 5 DBs. Lewis, Browner, Bryd, Vaccaro, Bush and then depth. No need for a CB that early IMO. Especially considering that position is one of the hardest transitions to make from NCAA to NFL and has one of the higher bust rates. Much safer to take an EDGE guy or OL.
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
18962 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

So it's not like an offense just turned them into a contender, they got more efficient on defense too. And they still didn't even make it too far. It takes both sides playing at a high level at the same time, plus fate to make things fall your way to actually make a run.


The second half of your statement is correct but the first part isn't. The efficiency of the Cowboys offense went hand in hand with the improvements on the defensive side of the ball. The Cowboys were first in time of possession. The Saints on the other hand were 14th. When a team can control time of possession, they limit the snap count of defense. Less defensive snaps equals fewer points allowed & lower yardage numbers given up.

Team Time of Possession Statistics
Rank Team Per Game Total Time % of Possession
1 Dallas Cowboys 32 525 54.69%
2 Pittsburgh Steelers 32 518 53.96%
3 Seattle Seahawks 32 517 53.85%
4 Carolina Panthers 31 516 53.75%
5 Indianapolis Colts 31 510 53.13%
6 San Francisco 49ers 31 507 52.81%
7 Detroit Lions 31 507 52.81%
8 Houston Texans 30 497 51.77%
9 New York Jets 30 496 51.67%
10 San Diego Chargers 30 495 51.56%
11 Denver Broncos 30 492 51.25%
12 Washington Redskins 30 492 51.25%
13 New York Giants 30 491 51.15%
14 New Orleans Saints 30 489 50.94%

LINK

Not only were the Cowboys first in time of possession, they also ranked 4th in team points per possession. The Saints on the other hand ranked 21st.

Team Points Per Drive Statistics
Team Points Per Drive Points Per Drive Against Point Differential
1 Green Bay Packers 2.88 1.99 0.89
2 New England Patriots 2.59 1.72 0.87
3 Seattle Seahawks 2.25 1.49 0.77

4 Dallas Cowboys 2.61 1.97 0.64
5 Denver Broncos 2.43 1.82 0.62
6 Baltimore Ravens 2.25 1.68 0.57
7 Kansas City Chiefs 2.04 1.58 0.46
8 Philadelphia Eagles 2.34 1.89 0.45
9 Pittsburgh Steelers 2.51 2.11 0.39
10 Indianapolis Colts 2.23 1.85 0.38
11 Houston Texans 1.92 1.54 0.37
12 Buffalo Bills 1.74 1.46 0.28
13 Detroit Lions 1.79 1.55 0.24
14 Arizona Cardinals 1.71 1.59 0.12
15 Miami Dolphins 2.14 2.07 0.07
16 San Diego Chargers 2 1.94 0.06
17 Cincinnati Bengals 1.91 1.87 0.04
18 Minnesota Vikings 1.85 1.92 -0.07
19 New York Giants 1.97 2.05 -0.08
20 Cleveland Browns 1.55 1.7 -0.15
21 New Orleans Saints 2.3 2.48 -0.17

LINK

When an offense is able to control the pace of the game as well as maximize their scoring per possession, it's puts a ton of pressure on the opposing offense to have to squeeze every bit out their own possessions & that's where mistakes (turnovers) occur. The Cowboys were +6 in turnovers last season which in large part had to do with the pressure their offense put on other defenses.

LINK

The Saints themselves were -13 in the turnover category in large part because of an inconsistent running game & a ton of pressure on Drew.

LINK


Because of these factors, the offense couldn't control the pace of the game. They couldn't keep the defense on the sidelines more. They couldn't apply pressure on opposing offenses to have to maximize their own possessions & make mistakes along the way. It lead to Brees forcing passes & putting the team in a bigger hole they were already in.
This post was edited on 4/17/15 at 12:31 am
Posted by PurpleDrank18
Houston, TX
Member since Oct 2011
4508 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 6:50 pm to
Ok I fully understand the ball control aspect, but you still have to have a defense worth it's weight who can capitalize and shut down your opponents' limited chances. And my point still remains; he said "look at the Cowboys". Yeah let's look at them. Sitting at home after winning just one playoff game(one they probably shouldn't have Even won). Not too mention, sure their o-line was beastly, but they also had a better RB than we've had in a long time and a better WR than we've ever had.

You switch our defense, injuries and all, with Dallas' last year and they probably don't make it as far. Even with their great offense.


ETA: I guess an easier way to say what I'm saying is that having a great offense and a bad defense (or vise versa) will get you to the playoffs. Having good units on both side will get you deep runs in the playoffs.

Also one unit helping another being more efficient(Dallas ball control example) is a two-way street. In 2009 the Saints had the 6th best average starting field postion at about the 31-yard line, not to mention the plethora of defensive touchdowns. That's huge
This post was edited on 4/16/15 at 7:11 pm
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
18962 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

And my point still remains; he said "look at the Cowboys". Yeah let's look at them. Sitting at home after winning just one playoff game(one they probably shouldn't have Even won).


Do you not remember the amount of holes the Cowboys had going into last season because of injuries? The talent on their defense was not good & many people expected them to have a defense that would be awful.

quote:

The Cowboys came into camp with deficiencies on the defensive line and things have only gotten worse since they arrived in Oxnard.

Second-round pick DeMarcus Lawrence broke his foot, defensive tackle Terrell McClain has a sprained ankle and defensive end Ben Bass is dealing with a hamstring injury. On top of that, Anthony Spencer and Amobi Okoye are on procedural lists that bar them from practicing.


LINK

That article doesn't even mention the loss of Sean Lee & Morris Claiborne.

quote:

The preseason suggests the Cowboys will be just as bad, if not worse on defense, and all those glaring numbers have been incessantly thrown at you, probably beating you into submission. Now, I am not suggesting this defense will be better or even good enough to absolve this offense from having to score more than 30 points a game to give the Cowboys a chance to win. Not at all.
But I am here to tell you, we just don’t know.


LINK

quote:

Yeah let's look at them. Sitting at home after winning just one playoff game(one they probably shouldn't have Even won).


Yep because just like the Saints this offseason, they had entirely too many holes to try to plug in just one offseason. Still in all, the drafting of Zach Martin pay bigger dividends because they were able to mask some of their holes by winning in time of possession & maximizing their points per possession. Everyone thinks that we can fill every hole in just one offseason but that simply isn't realistic. The Cowboys weren't perfect in 2014 & chances are the Saints won't be either. We will be much better with the right draft selections though.

quote:

Not too mention, sure their o-line was beastly, but they also had a better RB than we've had in a long time and a better WR than we've ever had.


Put Brees & Ingram behind that line & Ingram finishes the year as a top 5 rusher. Brees doesn't throw as many picks as he ended up throwing & he would have had more time in the pocket to dissect coverages.

quote:

You switch our defense, injuries and all, with Dallas' last year and they probably don't make it as far. Even with their great offense.


Give us their offensive line & the Saints win the NFC South last year & probably win a home playoff game.

quote:

In 2009 the Saints had the 6th best average starting field postion at about the 31-yard line, not to mention the plethora of defensive touchdowns. That's huge


You don't think the pressure the '09 offense put on opposing teams had anything to do with that? The defense had a boatload of turnovers during that Super Bowl run but outside of the turnover stat, that defense was middle of the road statistically.
This post was edited on 4/16/15 at 7:23 pm
Posted by Rand AlThor
Member since Jan 2014
9373 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 7:19 pm to
Do not want Dupree.
Posted by PurpleDrank18
Houston, TX
Member since Oct 2011
4508 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 7:32 pm to
I'm not saying a good offense/offensive line doesn't help big time. It's not like our line is shite tho. The only "hole" for next year would he Lelito and you could argue he could be serviceable at RG.

Don't forget the Rolando McClain could have very well won comeback player of the year and played like many people thought he would when he was drafted. That was big for them, especially after losing Sean Lee.

You're kind of proving my point tho. Dallas had a "bad" defense the year before, got some help in the offseason(especially coordinator) and it was helped by a powerhouse, ball-controlling offense and STILL didn't do anything in the playoffs. You just won't win anything of merit with ONLY a great offense. It might win you a game or two in the regular season, but come time when it matters, you need at least solid units on both sides to have any success.

On a scale of 1-10 with 1 being terrible and 10 being elite, let's say the Saints ranks last year were an 8 on offense and a 3.5 on defense(generous because of injuries).

I would rather move that defense to a 5-6 and the offense to only an 8.5 than move the offense to 9.5 and have the defense still at a 4.

ETA (again) : The whole point of my original argument was that some people think drafting an OG at 13 is going to magically turn us into SB contenders, like our defense isn't bad, citing the deep-playoff-run seasons when we had a strong offensive line. When in reality we had strong, opportunistic defenses too when we had those teams. It takes both to make a run, only having an offense isn't going to get it done. When was the last time a team won a SB with a below average defense, no matter how potent their offense was? IMO, other than an OG and WR(possibly) at some point, this draft needs to be defense-centric. At least for the early rounds.
This post was edited on 4/16/15 at 7:48 pm
Posted by LooseCannon22282
Mobile
Member since May 2008
33679 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 7:38 pm to
i hope we can land Strong in the 2nd round. I don't have anything against Parker but the only WR I'd really want in the 1st round is Cooper.

and he should be long gone. I guess Kevin White would get a good look if he slipped but I don't see him falling that much either(if he even slips).

it would be hard to picture us taking a WR in the 1st round two years in a row.

I think we'll go defense and honestly I won't have a problem with who ever they take at that spot. Except maybe Danny Shelton. We've never had the best fortune when it comes to taking a big D-lineman with our first pick.

I'd almost rather a corner over him.

another guy I like in the 2nd round potentially is Nate Orchard. But if we get OLB with the first pick, then hopefully we can follow up with a ILB at #31 or #44.

please on the ILB.

i've almost lost hope

Posted by adono
River Ridge
Member since Sep 2003
7307 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 8:43 pm to
quote:

Rd. 1, No. 13 – EDGE Alvin “Bud” Dupree, Kentucky
Rd. 1, No. 31 – ILB Eric Kendricks, UCLA
Rd. 2, No. 44 – WR Devin Smith, Ohio State
Rd. 3, No. 75 – G Ali Marpet, Hobart
Rd. 3, No. 78 – CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, Oregon
Rd. 5, No. 148 – OLB Alani Fua, BYU
Rd. 5, No. 154 – TE Nick O’Leary, Florida State
Rd. 6, No. 186 – T Sean Hickey, Syracuse
Rd. 7, No. 230 – ILB Jeff Luc, Cincinnati


I have to admit I haven't heard of over half of these guys....except for the O'Leary fellow. Isn't he the guy that resigned as coach at ND over a resume problem?????






Posted by Laaz2750
Los Angeles
Member since Aug 2008
8377 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 8:47 pm to
I think O'Leary is Will Farrell's left fist
Posted by Isaid
Member since Nov 2011
743 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 9:02 pm to
I honestly think that a solid ILB will help solve a lot of our defensive issues.
Posted by adono
River Ridge
Member since Sep 2003
7307 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 9:19 pm to
quote:

There's no reason to take Waynes at 13, much less any CB in the first round.


I agree. We've gone this route and it didn't work out. The LB corp has been the weak link for a long time. It's time to try our hand at that position...just for the shits and giggles of saying we did it.
This post was edited on 4/16/15 at 9:22 pm
Posted by GMoney2600
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2005
14088 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

There's no reason to take Waynes at 13, much less any CB in the first round.


I agree. I like him as a prospect, but it just doesn't make a whole lot of sense in the grand scheme of things.
Posted by htran90
BC
Member since Dec 2012
30080 posts
Posted on 4/16/15 at 10:28 pm to
Were you not watching last year? Both lines were absolute shite in the middle. It put a ton of pressure on brees to make plays and it gave opponents all the time in the world.

It starts in the trenches, fix it and you improve the team by cutting down sacks and turnovers.
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