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Strategy for NCAA tourney knockout pool

Posted on 3/16/15 at 8:09 pm
Posted by kbro
North Carolina, via NOLA
Member since Jan 2007
5014 posts
Posted on 3/16/15 at 8:09 pm
First time entering one of these and I'm interested to hear your thoughts on Thursday picks.

For the games on Thursday, you have to pick 2 winners, just outright winners, no spread involved. Once you pick a team, you can't use them again.

Lose and you're out

For the Thursday games I figure:

1. You want to pick teams that you think will win this round but lose the very next round.

2. In the Thursday games it makes sense to pick double digit seeds that you think have the best shot at winning so that the lower seeds are saved for later rounds.

With that as the strategy, I'm looking at:

Texas
Ohio State
E. Washington
SFA


Anyone in one of these pools? Which 2 teams would you go with on Thursday?

Appreciate it
Posted by TheWalrus
Member since Dec 2012
40345 posts
Posted on 3/16/15 at 8:14 pm to
I've never entered one of those pools, but my strategy would be totally different. I'd pick 3-6 seeds I felt good about early, but didn't think would go far. Or I would pick the 7-10 or 8-9 match ups I felt best about. Your odds of hitting on 2 double-digit seeds seem to be low.

I would pick for Thursday:

Georgetown
SMU
Posted by kbro
North Carolina, via NOLA
Member since Jan 2007
5014 posts
Posted on 3/16/15 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

I'd pick 3-6 seeds I felt good about early, but didn't think would go far.


This makes sense if you think SMU and G'town will lose in the 2nd round.

Posted by TheWalrus
Member since Dec 2012
40345 posts
Posted on 3/16/15 at 8:20 pm to
Yip, I do think that and even if I still had them on board, I wouldn't feel confident enough to pick them in later rounds against better teams unless I literally had no other choice.
Posted by rockchlkjayhku11
Cincinnati, OH
Member since Aug 2006
36448 posts
Posted on 3/16/15 at 8:40 pm to
Haven't done this pool before but I'd say that you are going to be bad at this if you are picking 2 of those 4 to win

You should be picking like 4-7 seeds IMO
This post was edited on 3/16/15 at 8:42 pm
Posted by Lsubaseball2000
Member since Mar 2015
256 posts
Posted on 3/16/15 at 9:51 pm to
So it's 2 until when? Then 1 until when?
Posted by kbro
North Carolina, via NOLA
Member since Jan 2007
5014 posts
Posted on 3/16/15 at 10:30 pm to
2 on Thurs and 2 on Fri

If you win both days, it's 1 on Sat and 1 on Sun
Posted by drizztiger
Deal With it!
Member since Mar 2007
36672 posts
Posted on 3/17/15 at 12:01 am to
Is this throughout the entire tournament (I assume so, lol).

Can you link the rules?
Posted by Lsubaseball2000
Member since Mar 2015
256 posts
Posted on 3/17/15 at 12:06 pm to
Then what after Sunday? So I guess 10 teams total? 2-2-1-1-1-1

The 8 2's and 1's and 2 3's should work. Lol.
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