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re: Do republicans have egg on their faces right now in regards to taxation?

Posted on 12/26/14 at 10:33 am to
Posted by Arksulli
Fayetteville
Member since Aug 2014
25159 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 10:33 am to
Well the question is whether or not the current uptick in the economy is a dead cat bounce or not. Are we entering a period of sustained growth or this a one time thing before the Great Economic Terlet flushes us back into a recession?

I am still concerned that a lot of the hidden costs of the ACA will make their presence known in the coming year and stall the economy out.
Posted by TrueTiger
Chicken's most valuable
Member since Sep 2004
67527 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 10:34 am to
quote:

I still think taxes need to be raised to pay down debts and try and keep social security and Medicare around.


I'll trade you higher taxes for a simpler system (FairTax), deal?
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35351 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 10:37 am to
quote:

I'll trade you higher taxes for a simpler system (FairTax), deal?
By "Fair" Tax you mean "Flat" tax, no? Any exemptions? Does it need a national sales tax like the pizza guy asked for?
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 10:39 am to
Sure. Won't ever happen, but whatever.

Guess you should describe the fair tax system as I don't know what it is. I do favor a progressive system but don't really care that much. Just know social security and medicare won't be around in the future or will see huge cuts to benefits sooner rather than later the way we are going.
Posted by constant cough
Lafayette
Member since Jun 2007
44788 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 10:48 am to
quote:

In fact, the economy has sped up.

Not saying taxation helps an economy, but it sure hasn't hurt it the past year.



Wow. Downvoted.
Posted by Poodlebrain
Way Right of Rex
Member since Jan 2004
19860 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 10:53 am to
Do you know what the economy would be doing without tax increases? If not, then your assertion that tax increases haven't hurt is baseless. The only issue for discussion should be how much it hurt, and whether the hurt is acceptable.
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 11:04 am to
What is your opinion then?

I will contend the very modest and minimal increases on the upper incomes and primarily investment income has had very little to no measurable impact.

I contend this is because those additional taxes paid were on money that would not have gone into consumer spending and mostly would have simply been saved - moved around in different portfolio accounts.

Do you contend the small increases on the upper incomes slowed the economy?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
420873 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 11:12 am to
quote:

I contend this is because those additional taxes paid were on money that would not have gone into consumer spending and mostly would have simply been saved - moved around in different portfolio accounts.

isn't "saving" how our companies have investment capital used to expand?

and our economic resurgence is on the back of the energy industry and a recovery from a recession. tax policy affects this, but isn't the cause of the recovery. we don't know how our recovery would be if companies had more money to invest/spend within their domain

linking individual policies or, even worse, presidents, to economies is foolish. blaming obama or bush for our economy is stupid
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 11:17 am to


Your investment capital contention is so silly right now.

I'm always amazed at your inability to see the forrest for the trees honestly.

Actually I think you just try to hard to make the facts fit your beliefs and preconceived notions. I don't think you are necessarily dumb. Just lacking in some critical thinking areas.

Btw, don't disagree about presidential policy in general. Board has done a 180 on that one though.
This post was edited on 12/26/14 at 11:21 am
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
420873 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 11:23 am to
this board doesn't like government fricking with the economy. they didn't like bush doing it, and tehy don't like obama doing it

quote:

Actually I think you just try to hard to make the facts fit your beliefs and preconceived notions.

well i don't think looking just as consumer spending is a way to create policy, so i don't see why you think i'd accept it

it's not making facts fit anything. it's having a belief system
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 11:35 am to
Yeah, belief system is a way to describe it as well.

This is just my opinion from your posts I have read, I think yours is a bit to principled without enough malleability to situations.

I don't have much of a belief system at all. I see very little black and white ever and think EVERYTHING is situational. Even morals.

So stuff like regulation bad, free market good is one of those things I see as silly.

Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
420873 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 11:41 am to
regulation has its place, typically with finite resources. i'm not an absolutist. if you want an example of regulation being great for the sustainability of the regulated product, look no further than wildlife

the environment can play into that as well

one major issue is federal v. state, though.

Posted by Poodlebrain
Way Right of Rex
Member since Jan 2004
19860 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 11:43 am to
In the past economic expansion has been accompanied by spurts in new enterprises. We are not seeing that. We are seeing older enterprises performing more efficiently. They have been able to do this with lower than historic requirements for capital investments. And the capital they have required has been available as credit due to the low interest rates the Federal Reserve has supported.

The money that has been extracted from the economy would have been almost exclusively used for capital investments rather than consumer spending. Since that money for capital was effectively replaced by cheaper capital from the Federal Reserve, it hasn't been missed much in the short-term. But what will be the intermediate and long-term effects when the Federal Reserve has to allow interest rates to rise?

Also, the demand for equity investments, or money looking to be invested, has been increasing, but the supply of equity investments hasn't been keeping pace. Thus, the prices of the available equity investments have gone up. Do you think the productivity of the underlying investments has increased in proportion to the increase in price? I don't. And I think there need to be a redeployment of capital from existing enterprises to new ones. But that will be retarded by the increased tax costs to the investors on long-term capital gains. Thus, capital will be tied up in less productive enterprises longer than it would otherwise.

So my answer is, yes. The tax increases have slowed the economy, and they will continue to do so.
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 11:53 am to
I agree with your points. However I don't think they really support the contention of the tax increases slowing the economy to any noticeable or measurable extent. You even seem to acknowledge this in pointing out the low cost of capital right now and too many dollars chasing too few opportunities.
This post was edited on 12/26/14 at 11:56 am
Posted by Poodlebrain
Way Right of Rex
Member since Jan 2004
19860 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

You even seem to acknowledge this in pointing out the low cost of capital right now and too many dollars chasing too few opportunities.
Isn't too few opportunities all the evidence you need to realize economic growth is not where it could be? While there are multiple causes for too few opportunities, onerous regulatory environment being a huge one, higher tax rates can not be dismissed as one of the causes.
Posted by Tom288
Jacksonville
Member since Apr 2009
20967 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 12:10 pm to
When do Republicans, or Democrats for that matter, not have egg on their faces?
Posted by Tiger n Miami AU83
Miami
Member since Oct 2007
45656 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 12:17 pm to
No, too few opportunities has nothing to do with taxes. There isa massive amount of capital looking for somewhere to land. It is a topic for another day but hedge funds and private equity and the masssive management fees and carried interest payouts is a good topic for discussion here.
Posted by germandawg
Member since Sep 2012
14135 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

It proves your thesis.
The more taxation, the more AWESOME.
Taxing ourselves into Prosperity works every time.
Who can even argue.


No, what it proves is what anyone with any sense who is also honest knows already....that we are and always have been on the left hand side of the laffer curve...we are not now nor have we ever been close to the point where increased taxation would send the economy into a negative tail spin. Of course Laffer only applies when you are cutting taxes...I am sure ya'll have an answer for the fact that small incremental adjustments in tax rates do not have any real positive nor any real negative impact on the economy overall. As we all know the only good tax is one that has ended.....and there are dammed few of those!
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69215 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 1:17 pm to
germandawg, if taxes don't alter behavior, why do have sin taxes?
Posted by The Spleen
Member since Dec 2010
38865 posts
Posted on 12/26/14 at 1:18 pm to
There are so many moving parts that make up the total economy, I just don't think the tax rates have as much of an impact as some think they do. Sure, if they were 100% it would impact it, but the ideal tax rate is a moving target that is virtually impossible to hit. At times, it's better to have lower tax rates, while at other times it's better to have higher tax rates.

This is one area I think Republicans have done themselves a disservice. In a lot of ways, they've backed themselves into a corner where an elected Republican can even mention the possibility of supporting a tax increase, even when all studies support a tax increase. They know if they support it, they'll be voted out of office. The state of Alabama is about to have an interesting legislative session as the general fund budget is short by several million dollars, cause both by low revenues and out of control spending. The GOP governor has spun every discussion on the upcoming impasse by talking about eliminating some tax deductions as a way of avoiding saying "raise taxes."
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