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re: Official Senate Results Thread R 52(+7) D 45(-7) Surfs Up-GOP Wave

Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:23 pm to
Posted by TN_Tigers
West Tennessee
Member since Feb 2013
7193 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:23 pm to
quote:

Not sure if it's been said, but I've appreciated your updates and insights the past few weeks. I'm a lurker on here mostly but I'm a political junkie through and through. Election night is my Super Bowl.




No problem I'm a political junkie too. If I get my computers to behave I'll be crunching data all night.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
32857 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

I love election night so much. 


Ordered takeout. Opened a bottle of wine.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164014 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:29 pm to
I popped popcorn and got out the whiskey.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
56001 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:29 pm to
trying to balance studying for a test and watching election results. This is going to be difficult.
Posted by Sentrius
Fort Rozz
Member since Jun 2011
64757 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:30 pm to
I'm right there with you bro.

I'm gonna follow Michelle's suggestion and get some Popeyes soon.
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
32857 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:30 pm to
Either I'm more optimistic than you or you're skipping straight ahead to the celebration
Posted by TN_Tigers
West Tennessee
Member since Feb 2013
7193 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:35 pm to
I expect the Dems and Warner's ground game will see them through(too much Fairfax County) but if I had a surprise of the night it might be the margin of this race.

Could maybe be 3-5 point race.
This post was edited on 11/4/14 at 5:36 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:36 pm to
I love election night.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
56001 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:39 pm to
what website do you use to follow results, I like the NYtimes. Yeah I know it's very bias, but their results page is easy to follow you can get (county by county results) and it seems pretty up to date.
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76633 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:40 pm to
If VA gets that close, the GOP will win pretty much anything close. The one outlier may be Roberts in Kansas, who would be the biggest loser of the night under the circumstances.
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53140 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:40 pm to
quote:

Cameron is the place to watch. Mary got 50%, a lot of white catholics.


Posted by TN_Tigers
West Tennessee
Member since Feb 2013
7193 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:41 pm to
McConnell overperforming his baselines early..might point to a larger victory than the 5-6% expected.

Grimes thought she would 61-62 in Jeff Co. and probably 58 in Fayette.

I think coal country might force her to need a point or 2 more in each of those counties. Lexington and Louisville will have to come in big for her just to make it close.
Posted by NHTIGER
Central New Hampshire
Member since Nov 2003
16188 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

what website do you use to follow results,


Here are two other good ones that stay very up-to-date:

Politico:

LINK /



CNN online election center:

LINK

Posted by TN_Tigers
West Tennessee
Member since Feb 2013
7193 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

The one outlier may be Roberts in Kansas, who would be the biggest loser of the night under the circumstances.


I could see this happening. It has been a perfect storm in Kansas with the Dem dropping out and Roberts being awful.
Posted by carbola
Bloomington, IN
Member since Aug 2010
4308 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

what website do you use to follow results, I like the NYtimes. Yeah I know it's very bias, but their results page is easy to follow you can get (county by county results) and it seems pretty up to date.



I love CNN's honestly
Posted by LSUGrrrl
Frisco, TX
Member since Jul 2007
32857 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:43 pm to
Megs got hair extensions.
Posted by NHTIGER
Central New Hampshire
Member since Nov 2003
16188 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:43 pm to
51, 51, 51, 51, 51, 51, 51, 51, 51 ................................
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
76633 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:44 pm to
Think about what Maddow would do if she could get Megyn Kelly alone.
Posted by Sentrius
Fort Rozz
Member since Jun 2011
64757 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:45 pm to
quote:

Megs got hair extensions.


I'll never understand how other women can notice this.
Posted by TN_Tigers
West Tennessee
Member since Feb 2013
7193 posts
Posted on 11/4/14 at 5:47 pm to
Exit polls can tend to be wrong or not exactly right but here are a few things that the preliminary data is giving us so far:


biggest GOP turnout IASEN in 30 years of exit polls, per prelim data

49 percent of voters in #IASen think that Joni Ernst’s (R) positions on the issues are “about right” ideologically, prelim data says.

Dem turnout also at 30-year low NCSEN per prelim exit polls

GOP turnout at 20-year low in KSSEN. 2/3 say Roberts away from state too much, in prelim numbers

So far only Henry and Perry counties showing more than 3% in. McConnell over-performing his 2008 margins there so far
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