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Message
UNO poll: Landrieu down 8 in runoff
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:03 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:03 pm
University of New Orleans
Vote for Senate in November Primary (Likely Voters):
38-33-7-1-21 Landrieu
Vote for Senate in December Runoff (Likely Voters):
51-43-2-4 Cassidy
LINK
Vote for Senate in November Primary (Likely Voters):
38-33-7-1-21 Landrieu
Vote for Senate in December Runoff (Likely Voters):
51-43-2-4 Cassidy
LINK
12
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:07 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
God, I hope this proves true.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:09 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
O God o god o god....
Please make this happen
Please make this happen
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:14 pm to lsuroadie
Santa, please!
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:15 pm to lsuroadie
I wouldn't be shocked if the GOP finds a way to screw this one up.
Especially if the Senate is still in the balance, in which case the DNC will flood the state with money from its fat cat cronies.
Especially if the Senate is still in the balance, in which case the DNC will flood the state with money from its fat cat cronies.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:18 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Did they include the dead and illegals voters for Landrieu in the runoff?
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:46 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
21% still undecided just 11-14 days before the election seems questionable
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:47 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Landrieu has almost zero chance of winning. I'm not sure why its even that hyped in the media.
eta: Nate Silver gives Landrieu a 23% chance of winning which seems high to me. He is smarter than I am, so I'll just go with that.
eta: Nate Silver gives Landrieu a 23% chance of winning which seems high to me. He is smarter than I am, so I'll just go with that.
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 10:55 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 10:56 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
21
Undecided? Tha frick?
ETA: That's like a May number for undecided - 21 percent in an October survey in a race with 3 or 4 candidates is shady as frick...
This post was edited on 10/30/14 at 10:58 pm
Posted on 10/30/14 at 11:00 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Posted on 10/30/14 at 11:14 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
i recently started following this Senate race. how does Landrieu keep getting elected?
Posted on 10/30/14 at 11:22 pm to mtheob17
quote:
i recently started following this Senate race. how does Landrieu keep getting elected?
Louisiana didn't start going solidly deep red republican unil recently in the last several years. It's a strange state compared to the rest of the south and the most progressive IMO.
Mary managed to win with the strangest coalitions ever and she would've lost in 2008 if not for the historic African American turnout for Obama.
Here's a very good article on why kept getting reelected and why she's in so much trouble now.
LINK
Posted on 10/30/14 at 11:33 pm to Sentrius
thanks.
Posted on 10/30/14 at 11:34 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Landrieu down 8 in runoff
Thank God.
Posted on 10/31/14 at 8:22 am to Wild Thang
Man she is a disgusting count.
Posted on 10/31/14 at 8:29 am to yattan
I really want Cassidy to win on Tuesday. The longer this lingers the more chance for Piggy to find a way to be creative.
Posted on 10/31/14 at 8:30 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
From 538..
quote:
The Democratic incumbent, Mary Landrieu, has held the plurality in most polls of the primary ballot, usually with numbers in the low 40s. It’s a long way to get from the low 40s to 50 percent, especially with so many candidates on the ballot, but there are a fair number of undecided voters. With all votes allocated our model projects Landrieu to get about 45 or 46 percent of the vote on Nov. 4. It has Republican Bill Cassidy at 41 or 42 percent, another Republican, Rob Maness, at about 10 percent, and the other candidates at 3 to 4 percent of the vote combined.
Posted on 10/31/14 at 8:32 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
My concern is that once the republicans take the Senate next Tuesday, Mary will lean heavy on the argument that you can have your cake and eat it too. IOW , you republicans got what you wanted so why not keep her clout. That will sway those undecideds.
Posted on 10/31/14 at 8:38 am to yattan
quote:Really insightful post. I know far more about you because of it than I do her.
Man she is a disgusting count.
Posted on 10/31/14 at 9:01 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
What sort of turnout do you think there will be for a runoff? There will be a large number of anti-Edwards voters who will also likely vote against Landrieu that will work to the benefit of whoever faces Landrieu in the runoff. But what will get out the vote for Landrieu? Personally, I don't see Landrieu coming within 8% in a runoff election.
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