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Mortgage rates trend for the rest of the year?

Posted on 9/3/14 at 12:21 am
Posted by saintforlife1
Member since Jul 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 12:21 am
Where do you guys see mortgage rates go as we head towards December? Do you guys expect it continue going down? What are some things that might affect the rates here in the short term?

Posted by iAmBatman
The Batcave
Member since Mar 2011
12382 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 12:23 am to
Hang on...let me hop into the DeLorean and cruise to December and I'll let you know in a minute.
Posted by Chris4x4gill2
North Alabama
Member since Nov 2008
3092 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 8:20 am to
Local Mortgage company was running a radio add this morning for 2.75% 15yr fixed. So it certainly seems like the rates are coming back down, but what it does after November? Your guess is as good as mine.
Posted by hawkeye007
Member since Feb 2010
5844 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 8:43 am to
normally rates tend to trend up during the winter.
Posted by saintforlife1
Member since Jul 2012
1321 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 7:41 pm to
We are planning to refinance our home. We are currently at 4.5% on a 30-yr fixed and want to switch to an ARM. This is a starter home and we don't expect to stay here for more than 6-7 years. In this situation would you rather go for a 5/1 or a 7/1 ARM? Obviously the rates are better for the 5/1, but I fear it might be a little to aggressive. But when I look at the rates for 7/1 vs our current 30-yr fixed, the 7/1 will only be about $225 less per month and I begin to wonder if that is enough of an incentive to switch to an ARM. It is so hard to decide what is the right thing to do and I have come to the MB for help.
Posted by AndyJ
Member since Jul 2008
2753 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 10:04 pm to
Well, just crunch the numbers. You would save $225 x12 months x 7 years at best ($18,900). 5 years would save you $13,500. How much would the refinance cost? That's the critical remaining question?
Posted by cjared036
Houston, tx
Member since Dec 2009
9569 posts
Posted on 9/8/14 at 10:31 pm to
The biggest predictor of rates right now is the threat of war.

If terrorists attack or Russia goes apeshit in Ukraine then rates will go down.

I will expect rates to be stagnant or edge just a bit down until until mid November. That is when retailers begin to hire for Christmas season as this offers a bullshite positive jobs report.
Posted by hawkeye007
Member since Feb 2010
5844 posts
Posted on 9/9/14 at 12:18 pm to
back out your closing cost and you stand to save 10k on the refinance. the 7/1 arm isnt worth the cost the rate on the 7/1 arm isnt low enough to make you move. the 5/1 is 1% lower than your current rate.
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