Quarterbacks sans the "Big 3"

I think Brady looks much better this year. Cam definitely falls of a bit.

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Andrew Luck

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Love him. Absurd ceiling, runs in his scores, and I think his weapons are improved. I would rather take him a round or two lower over Stafford.

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RGIII

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Hard to know, but top 5 ceiling like his rookie year if he keeps running. I probably want a safer QB.

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Cam Newton

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I think the value is there this year, but I expect fairly similar fantasy numbers despite his receivers leaving town. I would buy because I think his ADP could be solid, but I think we could see Cam drafted all over the place. Depends on your league.

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Colin Kaepernick

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Could be nasty with a healthy Crabtree. I have never looked too deeply at Kaepernick, but I would guess he is a top 10 QB this year.

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Tom Brady

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I really do not know. Probably worth the risk, but he was legitimately average last season. Tom Brady may no longer be an elite QB - real or fantasy. I will probably go elsewhere unless he costs the price of shite like Cutler or Wilson.

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Matt Ryan

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All aboard. Ryan should be back to top seven as long as Julio and Roddy stay healthy. The value is there. Again, just see when he is available.

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Nick Foles

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Too risky for me. This dude could win you the league or be on waivers by week 6.

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Tony Romo

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Should be a back end of the top 10 type of guy. You will be safe and have strong combo of RB/WR, but you can almost never ride your QB to victory. Romo will do enough to not kill you.

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Russell Wilson

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Almost the same as Romo, but probably a little bit worse. I prefer Tony for their prices, but you better have all your other started drafted first before you think of going with Wilson.

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Jay Cutler

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lol. I will never get the hype. Everyone says this is Cutler's year, but it never is. Since 2011, Cutler has finished out of the top 20 QB's every season. In 2011, he finished at 15th. Why would you ever start a guy like that voluntarily?

My top 12 QB's that could really change:

Manning
Rodgers
Brees
Stafford
Luck
Ryan
Cam
Rivers
Romo
Kaepernick
Wilson
RGIII

Ryan and Cam over Rivers and Romo? Lol, ok.

..........Ryan....Cam...Rivers...Romo
2013...14th.....5th......4th......8th
2012...5th.......6th......21st....8th
2011...8th.......5th......9th......7th
2010...7th.......N/A.....4th......29th

Look at the numbers before you make your statements.

Cam is the best of all probably. He should finish like top 6. Good Rivers could be the best of all, but what if 2011-2012 Rivers shows up. Romo is overrated in fantasy. He will finish 8th as usual. Ryan will return to just above Romo in fantasy with Julio and Roddy back.

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Some different sites on their QB's. Since some people just rely on ADP, then you can find value in some leagues. I bolded some of the better values and italicized the bad ones.

12 Manning, Peyton (DEN)
22 Brees, Drew (NOR)
29 Rodgers, Aaron (GNB)
44 Foles, Nick (PHI)
47 Stafford, Matthew (DET)
54 Ryan, Matt (ATL)
56 Luck, Andrew (IND)
64 Brady, Tom (NWE)
65 Dalton, Andy (CIN)
76 Rivers, Philip (SDG)
79 Romo, Tony (DAL)
81 Cutler, Jay (CHI)
87 Kaepernick, Colin (SFO)
88 Griffin III, Robert (WAS)
89 Roethlisberger, Ben (PIT)
90 Newton, Cam (CAR)
93 Wilson, Russell (SEA)

1 Peyton Manning, DEN $49
2 Aaron Rodgers, GB $43
3 Drew Brees, NO 6 $39
4 Matthew Stafford, DET $21
5 Cam Newton, CAR 12 $17
6 Andrew Luck, IND $14
7 Robert Griffin III, WAS $8
8 Nick Foles, PHI $8
9 Colin Kaepernick, SF $6
10 Russell Wilson, SEA $2
11 Matt Ryan, ATL $2
12 Tom Brady, NE $2
13 Tony Romo, DAL $1
14 Philip Rivers, SD $1
15 Jay Cutler, CHI $1
16 Ben Roethlisberger, PIT $1
17 Andy Dalton, CIN $1

Peyton Manning Den - QB
Drew Brees NO - QB
Aaron Rodgers GB - QB
Cam Newton Car - QB
Matthew Stafford Det - QB
Matt Ryan Atl - QB
Robert Griffin III Was - QB
Andrew Luck Ind - QB
Nick Foles Phi - QB
Tony Romo Dal - QB
Tom Brady NE - QB
Jay Cutler Chi - QB
Colin Kaepernick SF - QB
Philip Rivers SD - QB
Russell Wilson Sea - QB
Ben Roethlisberger Pit - QB
Andy Dalton Cin - QB

I hate Cam Newton, but his value might be too good to pass up this year.

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Andrew Luck
RGIII
Cam Newton
Colin Kaepernick
Tom Brady
Matt Ryan
Nick Foles
Tony Romo
Russell Wilson
Jay Cutler

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IMO, all of these, along with Rivers, have similar value. Therefore, the only correct answer is to pick RBs and WRs until everyone else thins the herd, then grab whomever is left. I like to wait until there are only 2 or 3 left from this group, then grab 2 of them quickly. I'd rather use a 9th/10th rounder and get a combo of Romo/Cutler than to use a 5th or 6th rounder to pick from the lot.

Luck - Probably about the same production or slightly better than last year. A healthy Reggie Wayne and a stronger focus on the passing game will help him a lot. Plus, he'll probably run a few in.

RGIII - Like him a lot. Tons of weapons around him. Despite the Redskins' train wreck last year compared to 2012, his numbers weren't terrible.

Cam - Step back from last year for sure. Not drafting him.

Kaepernick - Slightly better than last year. Closer to 2012 form if they let him run the ball more. Risky pick in my view, compared to some others.

Brady - Gronk will miss some time, regardless of how he starts the season. Without Gronk, Brady is a different QB. Not sure I like him much considering Edelman is about all he has to work with otherwise.

Ryan - I think he will produce at an adequate level if you wait on a QB until the 7th round or later. Not much of a run game in ATL so they will throw a lot to some pretty good receivers.

Foles - Love Foles but I would expect a slight dip in production simply due to the league having the offseason to prepare for both him and Chip Kelly's offense. Tons of weapons everywhere though and he should have a good year.

Romo - Same as always. See Matt Ryan. He will produce just fine for a middle-round pick.

Wilson - Don't like him much. Lynch will be a ground machine there as that defense is not going to let the 'Hawks fall behind a whole lot, I would suspect. Percy Harvin is made of glass and there's not much else for Wilson to use.

Cutler - I like Cutler over a lot of these guys, especially if he can keep the picks in check. Barring injury, I think you're probably looking at his best fantasy season coming up.

If I were to rank these guys, I'd go:

Luck
Foles
RGIII
Cutler
Romo
Ryan
Kaepernick
Brady
Newton
Wilson

jay cutty