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NFL schedule: divisional vs. interdivisional matchups
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:11 pm
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:11 pm
Does anyone know whether there's a certain formula for which weeks NFL teams play divisional games as opposes to non-divisional and interdivisional games?
I ask because I'm doing some research on NFL concussions using weekly totals. One (suspect) argument for why concussion rates might rise over the course of the season is that the games are 'more meaningful' and therefore players play and hit harder. A little bit of a stretch I know, but this is the type of stuff econometricians have to test.
It seems like there are more divisional rivalries the final few weeks of the season, but its hard to tell for the rest of the season. Anyone know if there's a consistent scheduling formula for this?
I ask because I'm doing some research on NFL concussions using weekly totals. One (suspect) argument for why concussion rates might rise over the course of the season is that the games are 'more meaningful' and therefore players play and hit harder. A little bit of a stretch I know, but this is the type of stuff econometricians have to test.
It seems like there are more divisional rivalries the final few weeks of the season, but its hard to tell for the rest of the season. Anyone know if there's a consistent scheduling formula for this?
2
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:21 pm to Santa Clause
I'm not sure if there is a formula , but it's definitely become much more of a fixture the last 4- 5 years.
This post was edited on 4/27/14 at 1:22 pm
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:39 pm to Santa Clause
I believe the thinking in the old days was a lot of interconference games late in the season, to guarantee each game would have playoff ramifications for as many teams as possible
That has essentially been replaced by division matchups
That has essentially been replaced by division matchups
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:43 pm to Kafka
so basically there's consistently more divisional matchups at the end of the season now? (though there might be some exceptions)
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:48 pm to Santa Clause
quote:it seems that way to me
so basically there's consistently more divisional matchups at the end of the season now?
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:49 pm to Santa Clause
quote:
so basically there's consistently more divisional matchups at the end of the season now?
Yes, that's been the trend as of late. I am skeptical though if playing in more meaningful games leads to more concussions. Maybe a batter comparison would be to compare the 4 weeks of the playoffs vs the preseason?
Posted on 4/27/14 at 1:52 pm to WarmBubble
Also, perhaps there are more diagnosed concussions towards the end of the year because players have had so many small blows throughout the season (undiagnosed), and towards the end of the year, they receive the hit that ultimately is the straw that broke the camels back.
Posted on 5/7/14 at 3:46 pm to WarmBubble
quote:
Yes, that's been the trend as of late. I am skeptical though if playing in more meaningful games leads to more concussions. Maybe a batter comparison would be to compare the 4 weeks of the playoffs vs the preseason?
As am I. I'm having more trouble getting playoff and postseason data on concussions, so that's why I focused on the regular season. But it's a very valid point. I'm just trying to identify some proxies for effort, although I realize that's a slippery thing to pin down.
quote:
Also, perhaps there are more diagnosed concussions towards the end of the year because players have had so many small blows throughout the season (undiagnosed), and towards the end of the year, they receive the hit that ultimately is the straw that broke the camels back.
This is the main point is run with in the paper. The medical evidence seems to confirm it. Like a boxer who isn't KO'd on one substantial blow but is rather KO'd due to a long succession of steady hits to the head, I think players tend to have more concussions over time due to the steady accretion of hits they take throughout the season.
It's just important in these papers to test alternative factors to control for omitted variables, etc. I'll probably dig back into the topic later in my studies when I have some time. But for the record, there is a fairly large statistically significant trend of more concussions over the course of the season.
Thanks for the help, guys.
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