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Hollinger's Rankings on ES (shitspin)
Posted on 3/5/14 at 12:40 pm
Posted on 3/5/14 at 12:40 pm
Does anyone on here ever take a look at those rankings that are supposedly based on analytics?
LINK
For the life of me I not only can't figure out why Minnesota has been either just outside or just inside the top 10 ALL SEASON, or why things like when the Houston Rockets (#3 yesterday in Hollinger rankings) beat the Miami Heat (#2 in Hollinger rankings) not only drop in rating, but are the only team inside the entire Hollinger top 10 to drop in their ranking.
I understand strength of schedule, home games vs. away games etc, but you can't sit here and tell me Minnesota is a top 10 team in the entire NBA, and has been the entire season.
LINK
For the life of me I not only can't figure out why Minnesota has been either just outside or just inside the top 10 ALL SEASON, or why things like when the Houston Rockets (#3 yesterday in Hollinger rankings) beat the Miami Heat (#2 in Hollinger rankings) not only drop in rating, but are the only team inside the entire Hollinger top 10 to drop in their ranking.
I understand strength of schedule, home games vs. away games etc, but you can't sit here and tell me Minnesota is a top 10 team in the entire NBA, and has been the entire season.
Posted on 3/5/14 at 1:01 pm to tiggerthetooth
Minnesota has been good statistically. They have a good defense based on points per possession, opponent fg%, etc? and they have a good offense based on the same stats.
And they have a +4.1 point differential, which is comparable to good teams like Houston (+4.5), Portland (+4.8), Golden State (+4.4), etc.
It's actually pretty crazy how mediocre their record is.
It's because they've lost almost every close game they've played where teams like Houston and Portland win most of their close games.
They are much better than their record reflects.
And they have a +4.1 point differential, which is comparable to good teams like Houston (+4.5), Portland (+4.8), Golden State (+4.4), etc.
It's actually pretty crazy how mediocre their record is.
It's because they've lost almost every close game they've played where teams like Houston and Portland win most of their close games.
They are much better than their record reflects.
This post was edited on 3/5/14 at 1:02 pm
Posted on 3/5/14 at 1:25 pm to tiggerthetooth
Those are the only things that bother you?? Not the fact that the Clippers are at the #1 spot while being the 3rd or 4th best team in their own conference?
Posted on 3/5/14 at 2:47 pm to PrimeTime Money
quote:
And they have a +4.1 point differential, which is comparable to good teams like Houston (+4.5), Portland (+4.8), Golden State (+4.4), etc.
I understand that's a big reason for their position, but it's not just a stroke of luck or coincidence if you can obliterate bad teams but consistently lose to quality teams. That's my issue with the rankings. The rankings give credit for close losses to good teams, but if you consistently do that how do you measure that lack of ability for a Minnesota, and that strength with the better teams?
Miami had plenty of close wins in the playoffs, but they consistently can win those games, and thats why they come out on top. Its not like its a pinch difference.
Just go look at some of the wins Minnesota has
Some of the MEGA-blowouts that skew their point diff
23 point win over LAL
29 point win over Clev.
30 point win over Brklyn. (1st half Brklyn)
28 point win over Det.
22 point win over Milw.
31 point win over Phila.
27 point win over Charl.
27 point win over Denv.
18 point win over Boston
All teams with .500 or worse records.
10 wins against teams with a winning record.
Rockets have 19 wins against teams w/ winning record.
Rockets are barely even 1 whole rating pt ahead of Minnesota.
For comparison, Indiana is only 0.6 rating pts ahead of Minnesota.
Are you really telling me Minnesota is as good as the Pacers? Thats what these rankings are basically saying.
And like I said Rockets beat Miami, Houston rating goes down, Miami rating goes up. I understand its Houston at home, but I dont think that should result in a penalty.
Posted on 3/5/14 at 2:48 pm to Dr. Shultz
quote:
Those are the only things that bother you?? Not the fact that the Clippers are at the #1 spot while being the 3rd or 4th best team in their own conference?
No those are not the only things. Yes, that was one of the off things as well, but certainly not near as ridiculous as the Minnesota standing.
Posted on 3/5/14 at 3:50 pm to tiggerthetooth
Someone doesn't understand how the whole algorithm thing works
Posted on 3/5/14 at 11:19 pm to RTR America
quote:
Someone doesn't understand how the whole algorithm thing works
Someone does, but that someone doesn't see the numbers equating to reasonable ratings/team rankings. Numbers can lie believe or not if used with particular things in mind. Btw, great job by Minnesota with their loss against the Knicks.
Oh they dont exactly give you the formula unless you're an insider, and at this pace I see no way the T'Wolves finish outside of the top 10 or close to it even if they finish slightly under .500 and end the season as the 12/13 best team in the West.
Top 10 team in the NBA.
This post was edited on 3/5/14 at 11:24 pm
Posted on 3/5/14 at 11:37 pm to tiggerthetooth
Hollinger's rankings are not power rankings. The formula may not be perfect, but he is not going to fudge the output numbers. If someone wanted to do that, then just look at regular power rankings.
Posted on 3/6/14 at 3:15 am to tiggerthetooth
LINK /
Wayne Winston also has the Clips as numero uno
Rank Team offense defense rating
1 Los Angeles Clippers 7.12 0.15 6.97
2 Indiana Pacers -1.78 -8.67 6.90
3 Oklahoma City Thunder 4.45 -2.33 6.78
4 San Antonio Spurs 3.47 -3.04 6.50
5 Miami Heat 3.83 -1.71 5.54
6 Portland Trail Blazers 7.21 1.78 5.44
7 Golden State Warriors 2.76 -2.33 5.09
8 Houston Rockets 5.80 0.90 4.90
9 Minnesota Timberwolves 5.07 0.28 4.79
10 Phoenix Suns 4.35 1.63 2.72
11 Toronto Raptors -0.05 -2.75 2.70
12 Dallas Mavericks 3.80 1.39 2.41
13 Memphis Grizzlies -5.55 -6.51 0.96
14 Chicago Bulls -7.67 -8.04 0.37
15 Washington Wizards -0.34 -0.66 0.31
16 Atlanta Hawks 1.55 2.20 -0.65
17 Sacramento Kings 1.18 2.88 -1.70
18 New Orleans Pelicans -1.48 0.50 -1.98
19 Denver Nuggets 1.72 3.85 -2.13
20 Charlotte Bobcats -5.59 -3.42 -2.18
21 Brooklyn Nets -2.87 -0.60 -2.27
22 New York Knicks -2.82 0.31 -3.13
23 Detroit Pistons 0.35 3.93 -3.58
24 Boston Celtics -5.22 -1.14 -4.08
25 Utah Jazz -5.82 -1.22 -4.61
26 Los Angeles Lakers 0.97 5.74 -4.77
27 Cleveland Cavaliers -3.54 1.47 -5.01
28 Orlando Magic -3.66 1.94 -5.60
29 Milwaukee Bucks -6.79 2.52 -9.31
30 Philadelphia 76ers -0.47 10.91 -11.38
Wayne Winston also has the Clips as numero uno
Rank Team offense defense rating
1 Los Angeles Clippers 7.12 0.15 6.97
2 Indiana Pacers -1.78 -8.67 6.90
3 Oklahoma City Thunder 4.45 -2.33 6.78
4 San Antonio Spurs 3.47 -3.04 6.50
5 Miami Heat 3.83 -1.71 5.54
6 Portland Trail Blazers 7.21 1.78 5.44
7 Golden State Warriors 2.76 -2.33 5.09
8 Houston Rockets 5.80 0.90 4.90
9 Minnesota Timberwolves 5.07 0.28 4.79
10 Phoenix Suns 4.35 1.63 2.72
11 Toronto Raptors -0.05 -2.75 2.70
12 Dallas Mavericks 3.80 1.39 2.41
13 Memphis Grizzlies -5.55 -6.51 0.96
14 Chicago Bulls -7.67 -8.04 0.37
15 Washington Wizards -0.34 -0.66 0.31
16 Atlanta Hawks 1.55 2.20 -0.65
17 Sacramento Kings 1.18 2.88 -1.70
18 New Orleans Pelicans -1.48 0.50 -1.98
19 Denver Nuggets 1.72 3.85 -2.13
20 Charlotte Bobcats -5.59 -3.42 -2.18
21 Brooklyn Nets -2.87 -0.60 -2.27
22 New York Knicks -2.82 0.31 -3.13
23 Detroit Pistons 0.35 3.93 -3.58
24 Boston Celtics -5.22 -1.14 -4.08
25 Utah Jazz -5.82 -1.22 -4.61
26 Los Angeles Lakers 0.97 5.74 -4.77
27 Cleveland Cavaliers -3.54 1.47 -5.01
28 Orlando Magic -3.66 1.94 -5.60
29 Milwaukee Bucks -6.79 2.52 -9.31
30 Philadelphia 76ers -0.47 10.91 -11.38
This post was edited on 3/6/14 at 3:16 am
Posted on 3/6/14 at 3:17 am to Vicks Kennel Club
quote:
ollinger's rankings are not power rankings. The formula may not be perfect, but he is not going to fudge the output numbers. If someone wanted to do that, then just look at regular power rankings.
Clearly.
quote:
2013-2014 Hollinger Power Rankings
fricking moron. What does that even mean: "they aren't power rankings". Are you fully retarded?
Posted on 3/6/14 at 7:15 am to kidbourbon
quote:
8 Houston Rockets 5.80 0.90 4.90
9 Minnesota Timberwolves 5.07 0.28 4.79
Yep, Rockets are 2-0 against the T'Wolves, and 22 games over .500, while the T'Wolves are a game under .500 and hold an 0-2 record against the Rockets yet they are basically at the same exact rating.
I know for a fact Hollinger's Ratings give more value to a blowout win over a shitty team than to a win against a quality opponent. Which is completely horeshit because your competition only gets better in the playoffs. I dont give a shite how bad you blow out bad teams. It proves nothing if you can kill every bad team but never beat any good teams.
Posted on 3/6/14 at 7:18 am to Vicks Kennel Club
quote:
Hollinger's rankings are not power rankings. The formula may not be perfect, but he is not going to fudge the output numbers. If someone wanted to do that, then just look at regular power rankings
I dont understand what constitutues "power rankings" or not, I just thought it was a title, and the title of these rankings are "Hollinger POWER RANKINGS". Idgaf what they're called, I just know they have some serious flaws.
Posted on 3/6/14 at 7:49 am to Dr. Shultz
quote:
Not the fact that the Clippers are at the #1 spot while being the 3rd or 4th best team in their own conference?
The Clippers are underrated...I wouldn't put them at #1, but it isn't as much of a stretch as you are making it out to be.
Posted on 3/6/14 at 7:54 am to kidbourbon
quote:
fricking moron. What does that even mean: "they aren't power rankings". Are you fully retarded?
Jeez, take some prozac bud.
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