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LSU-Iowa Game Review (Long); Full Jennings Analysis

Posted on 1/3/14 at 11:38 am
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24121 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 11:38 am
Now that the reactionary talk begins to subside, I decided to re-watch the entire game to get a better idea of how LSU performed.

Background: I sat in the first row in the LSU end zone for the first half and was on the field for the entire second half. Recorded the game at home and watched it again.

I'll start with the 600-pound gorilla - Anthony Jennings. Like most of the LSU fans, I was disappointed leaving the game with how AJ had performed. However, after rewatching the game, I am much happier with the performance. It is amazing how much perspective changes when you know the outcome of the game and don't let your emotions get caught in the mix.

AJ's stat line looks miserable. 7/19 for 82 yards, 0 TDs and 1 INT. Toss in 4 or 5 sacks and it was a terrible stat line.

However, let's break that down a bit more. Here are the incompletions:

First Half:

1 - Hill slipped and fell on a short pass out of the backfield. Throw was fine.
2 - Major pressure off a playaction. LB comes unblocked and AJ throws the ball away barely avoiding a safety.
3 - Low throw to OBJ on a 5 yard hitch route. Tight coverage but poor throw.
4 - Deep throw over the middle to OBJ into the endzone. This was his second worse throw of the game (behind the INT). This was an easy TD if he leads OBJ. Beckham had separation and there was no safety help. Really poor throw.
5 - Tough throw to make to Connor Neighbors. Connor was free past two defenders along the sideline but a safety had coverage over the top inside. This forced AJ to throw the ball towards the sideline which was not the shoulder CN was looking over. If AJ throws it over CN's left shoulder, then the Iowa safety has a great chance for an INT. AJ threw it to the right spot.
6 - Threw it away. No one was open, he scrambled right and tossed it out of bounds.
7 - Terrible throw to Travin Dural. Third worst throw of the game. He short-armed it and the ball landed 10 yards to the left and about 15 yards short of where it needed to be to lead Travin into the endzone. It would have been a tough play for Travin, but he had a little separation.

Second Half:
8 - Deep ball down the left side. AJ underthrew the ball by a few yards because JL had a step. Great defensive play by King the CB.

The next play is the OBJ one handed catch. It was actually a perfect throw but the CB holds Odell which slows his route and forces him to make the acrobatic catch. More of an FYI. Very good throw though.

9 - JL's right hand is held and he tried to make a one-handed catch deep down the left side of the field. Solid throw.
10 - Interception. Airmailed it. Dickson was wide open (the guy he was throwing it to). And yes, there were multiple holding penalties not called on the return. Worst throw of the game.
11 - 3rd and 17, long comeback route to OBJ where AJ threw the ball a little too low. Not a terrible throw but definitely could have been better. Coverage was excellent and AJ needed to make a great throw to get the completion.
12 - Threw the ball away; dropped 8 in coverage and no one was open.

End of game.

Takeaways:
I came away from this review with a much brighter picture for next year than I originally was believing. There were three really poor throws in the game: The deep ball to OBJ where he would have caught a TD, the interception that he airmailed a wide open TE and the ball he short-armed at the end of the first half to Travin Dural.

Yes, AJ could have executed a few passes a bit better (threw a few too low for the WR to make the catch), but overall he made good decisions when throwing the ball. He didn't ever force the ball into double coverage or fail to see a safety over the middle. In short, he threw the ball better than his stat line would suggest, IMO.

On the sacks, Elliot Porter completely whiffed on two of them. On another one, Hill missed the blitzing LB. Yes, AJ held the ball a little too long and I think he could have scrambled better, but those three weren't his fault when I rewatched.

The OL had issues with what Gruden loved to refer to as the "Amoebe" package where Iowa put a lot of speed on the field and all of the DL and LBs played standing up. We had trouble on our pass protections with this defensive approach which led to multiple sacks.

On the defensive side of the ball, LSU played well the entire game. Welter had his best game as a Tiger. He was in on almost every play and held his own.

Loston played very well and was up in the box a ton. He was a sure tackler and played intelligently in coverage when he was needed.

Jalen Mills was terrific at FS. He got the boneheaded personal foul at the beginning of the game, but I was really impressed by Mills' willingness to step up in 1-v-1s vs TEs and RBs and make sure tackles.

Ricky Jefferson had multiple good plays when we went into our dime packages. I am very interested to see him competing for a starting position next year. Nonetheless, he has talent and as long as he doesn't make mental mistakes, he has the physical talent. Seems as though he gets forgotten as one of our young talents.

Kwon was great - he is going to have a breakout year next year.

I don't want to beat a dead horse on the defensive side of the ball. The entire team played well.

Enjoy and look forward to your thoughts.
This post was edited on 1/3/14 at 2:26 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98123 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 11:39 am to
Posted by T
Member since Jan 2004
9889 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 11:40 am to
Its ridiculous that you typed out that much to review the outback bowl.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
42318 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 11:44 am to
But we only got 2/5 recruits
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24121 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 11:44 am to
quote:

Its ridiculous that you typed out that much to review the outback bowl.


I've written much longer posts on this board. Not apologizing for providing substance to the board rather than the bullshite that litters this place lately.
This post was edited on 1/3/14 at 11:54 am
Posted by tgerb8
Huntsvegas
Member since Aug 2007
5957 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

On the sacks, Elliot Porter completely whiffed on two of them. On another one, Hill missed the blitzing LB. Yes, AJ held the ball a little too long and I think he could have scrambled better, but those three weren't his fault when I rewatched.


I didn't think that he threw it TOO badly. I was most concerned with his pocket awareness.. There were at least 3 plays where he threw it away or took the sack where he could've easily scrambled 10+ yards had he not panicked.
Hopefully the Arkansas drive wasn't just a fluke..
Posted by taf
Kansas City, KS
Member since Dec 2003
751 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:01 pm to
FWIW, very good analysis. Thanks for doing it.

I also think AJ wasn't as bad as the stat line.
One thing is...I would have liked to see him run more. Maybe he was thinking too much about being a "passer first." Too much thinking.

But he will get better. A lot of that (maybe also the short arm and the airmail throw) may have been nerves.

D was very good. Even Welter. Far and away his best game. Johnson played very well. Makes me wonder if nagging injuries were a bigger factor than is known.
Rasco played very well too. Loston looked like an NFL player out there.
Like you said, the whole D was excellent.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24121 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

I didn't think that he threw it TOO badly. I was most concerned with his pocket awareness.. There were at least 3 plays where he threw it away or took the sack where he could've easily scrambled 10+ yards had he not panicked.
Hopefully the Arkansas drive wasn't just a fluke..


Yes, he could have scrambled better. I prefer seeing a young QB playing a little conservative as scrambling is something that he can easily learn to do.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166087 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:04 pm to
you came away from your analysis just believing whatever it was that you desired to believe internally.


AJ is a quarterback, passer of the ball. Dude made a lot of inaccurate throws.
Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:06 pm to


Great post, and great point.

I remember you before you took the professional gig. Glad that you are back and posting more often. Why now, if you don't mind me asking? Also, how did it go with, wasn't it, bbi?
Posted by Ghostfacedistiller
BR
Member since Jun 2008
17500 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

I've written much longer posts on this board. Not apologizing for providing substance to the board rather than the bullshite that litters this place lately.




...and FWIW I recognize the irony of commenting on the substance of your post with just an emoticon.
This post was edited on 1/3/14 at 12:09 pm
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24121 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

you came away from your analysis just believing whatever it was that you desired to believe internally.


What?

I already said I was really disappointed with AJ before rewatching. I think I was the exact opposite of what you are saying...I started rewatching with the thought of "he played poorly".

I called out all of his incomplete throws. If you want to disagree with me then go to the specific pass and we can discuss.
Posted by inthebr
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2010
875 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:09 pm to
Solid post. I'm glad you took the time to spell out how Jenning's played in black and white. The kid didn't play as well as one would hope, but it wasn't as bad as the box score indicated.

The one thing I'd add to what you wrote (and I agreed with everything, particularly that there were really only 3 bad throws) was that once Jennings got sacked a couple of times he started holding the ball too long and was extremely nervous. He tended to do a better job out of the 4-5 sets, yet the coaches kept going back to play-action passing where he seemed to have the most trouble making a quick decision with the ball.

I'm really just picking nits though. All of the play-action probably helped with the running game that ended up being the determining factor. The game plan worked really well.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24121 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

...and FWIW I recognize the irony of commenting on the substance of your post with just and emoticon.


I love these boards when we discuss specifics, but it is mindnumbing when the discussion revolves around "the program is in decline" and "LSU FOOTBALL IS TERRIBLEEEE".
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24121 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

I remember you before you took the professional gig. Glad that you are back and posting more often. Why now, if you don't mind me asking? Also, how did it go with, wasn't it, bbi?


Yes, I wrote briefly for BBI. Shea is also a great guy over at 247 and I try to meet up with him when I make it back to BR. I work in a completely different line of work post-graduation working 60+ hour weeks and traveling every week, so I don't post nearly as much now. I haven't had the free time, TBH.
This post was edited on 1/3/14 at 12:16 pm
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118604 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:14 pm to
Great break down.
Posted by Ghostfacedistiller
BR
Member since Jun 2008
17500 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:15 pm to
Agreed. I want to give more consideration to your post but have too much going on this second to respond with substance. Bookmarked for later.

I generally agree though, it wasn't as bad as I initially thought either.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118604 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Its ridiculous that you typed out that much to review the outback bowl.


That's understandable. Writing is hard for some people.
Posted by BillyBobBlitzkrieg
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2013
1352 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:19 pm to
Cool man.

Be forewarned, though the quality was scarce on this site before, even the recruiting board has dropped in caliber now.

You will see nothing, but hash tag ride for posts there, gifts of its happening and he gone on coaching changes, sweet melt on secrant and Secrb, and wayy too many mindless gifs on every board. It's like some strange cult I missed the memo on.

Welcome back. I appreciate other intellectual perspectives

Also there are a few commits fathers that post, and I'm sure they would appreciate your analysis and discussions
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155354 posts
Posted on 1/3/14 at 12:22 pm to
good post lynx. agree with eveyrhting. other than 3 poor throws and taking some sacks he did what they asked him to do. after spring and fall camp he should have a much better grasp of the playbook to where it doesn't look like les/crowton calling plays for JJ.
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