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Started By
Message
re: Final standings are on page 10: Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.
Posted on 1/13/14 at 9:17 am to Lsut81
Posted on 1/13/14 at 9:17 am to Lsut81
Shots in the dark....
DowJones 30 Average: 16,800
S&P 500 Index: 1,975
NASDAQ: 4,300
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,400
Apple Computer (AAPL): $615
Euro/$: $1.5
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.25
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.30%
Gold/Oz: $1,400
Silver/Oz: $22
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $96
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.75
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
DowJones 30 Average: 16,800
S&P 500 Index: 1,975
NASDAQ: 4,300
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,400
Apple Computer (AAPL): $615
Euro/$: $1.5
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.25
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.30%
Gold/Oz: $1,400
Silver/Oz: $22
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $96
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.75
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65
Posted on 1/13/14 at 9:25 am to Lsut81
I know it's past the deadline... but if you'll still take it... If not, no big deal
DowJones 30 Average: 17,237
S&P 500 Index: 1,992
NASDAQ: 4,296
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,042
Apple Computer (AAPL): $604
Euro/$: $1.485
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.30%
30 YR Bond Yield: 5.05%
Gold/Oz: $1,250
Silver/Oz: $19.75
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $97.50
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.40
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.75
DowJones 30 Average: 17,237
S&P 500 Index: 1,992
NASDAQ: 4,296
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,042
Apple Computer (AAPL): $604
Euro/$: $1.485
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.30%
30 YR Bond Yield: 5.05%
Gold/Oz: $1,250
Silver/Oz: $19.75
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $97.50
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.40
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.75
Posted on 1/13/14 at 9:25 am to Lsut81
You're in.
The contest is now closed.
I'm going to compile some stats on the predictions and post them in a little while.
The contest is now closed.
I'm going to compile some stats on the predictions and post them in a little while.
Posted on 1/13/14 at 9:27 am to kennypowers816
Kenny, were you a 10 month baby?
Okay, I'll add you, but just this once.
Okay, I'll add you, but just this once.
Posted on 1/13/14 at 9:37 am to LSURussian
Yeah, my bad. Just in the nick of time I suppose
I wasn't really planning on doing it again, but I figured... what the heck, why not? I have absolutely no basis for why I made those predictions...
Thanks
I wasn't really planning on doing it again, but I figured... what the heck, why not? I have absolutely no basis for why I made those predictions...
Thanks
Posted on 1/13/14 at 9:41 am to LSURussian
These 3 late entries need asterisks by their name in the standings.
Posted on 1/13/14 at 9:47 am to OnTheBrink
Good idea. Like Roger Maris, right?
Posted on 1/13/14 at 10:27 am to LSURussian
Please check your numbers below. I don't claim to be the world's best Excel input typist. Please post any corrections in a new post. Thanks.
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
rmc...... 17,135.50 1,910.23 4,323.12 18,000.00 $450.66 $1.2500 2.875% 3.875% $1,300.00 $23.160 $100.00 $4.7300 $3.02
HtownTiger 17,154.14 1,914.14 4,314.14 16,814.14 $577.14 $1.2914 3.414% 4.314% $1,177.14 $18.140 $88.14 $5.014 $2.9140
Hoodatt* 17,543.40 1,901.36 4,906.50 15,292.31 $961.02 $1.3016 2.036% 4.275% $850.20 $22.52 $98.62 $4.2480 $2.7896
Smacko..Hawg 17,850.00 2,010.00 4,830.00 16,150.00 $600.00 $1.35 3.200% 4.000% $1,100.00 $18.50 $100.00 $4.40 $2.800
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
LSU0358 18,500.00 2,050.00 4,500.00 16,000.00 $500.00 $1.100 3.700% 4.200% $1,400.20 $24.00 $68.00 $4.75 $2.30
C.......... 17,000.00 1,980.00 4,400.00 19,000.00 $650.00 $1.45 3.300% 4.500% $1,150.00 $19.50 $80.00 $4.78 $2.50
Kill Switch 16,488.02 1,804.15 4,155.88 16,207.71 $513.75 $1.3200 3.000% 3.930% $1,235.26 $21.1500 $95.66 $4.9870 $2.89000
djmicrobe 18,201.52 1,908.63 4,250.19 17,391.31 $600.00 $1.3256 4.036% 4.976% $1,405.20 $21.5200 $95.72 $4.448 $2.9852
threeputt 18,875.75 1,775.75 4,255.55 17,058.55 $555.75 $1.1176 3.750% 4.005% $1,175.25 $19.7500 $105.780 $5.3250 $3.2597
OnTheBrink 14,560.63 1,615.80 3,516.19 15,100.31 $502.02 $1.205 3.500% 4.200% $1,450.20 $25.5200 $90.62 $4.5200 $3.0200
....................DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
white perch 17,500.00 2,000.00 4,500.00 17,000.00 $600.00 $1.00 2.036% 2.976% $1,000.00 $15.00 $100.00 $7.0000 $2.7500
Walking the Earth 17,999.00 2,020.00 4,641.00 17,081.00 $505.00 $1.32 2.920% 3.880% $999.00 $17.95 $91.00 $3.9900 $2.9500
Sho Nuff 15,866.62 2,002.22 4,334.98 17,666.00 $675.00 $1.2981 3.236% 4.036% $1,450.52 $22.460 $101.99 $4.623 $3.0987
PlanoPrivateer 18,250.00 2,030.00 4,600.00 17,000.00 $575.00 $1.2500 4.00% 5.10% $1,150.00 $18.50 $95.00 $4.50 $2.650
RickAstley 17,467.13 2,106.77 4,371.42 17,899.19 $525.89 $1.4700 3.053% 4.157% $1,274.18 $25.37 $95.15 $4.4500 $2.6500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
ell 13 15,850.00 1,785.00 4,000.00 15,200.00 $550.00 $1.4100 3.300% 4.500% $1,450.00 $26.500 $108.00 $3.9000 $3.3000
overbrook 18,904.39 2,650.71 4,704.16 16,720.57 $642.99 $1.3457 3.482% 4.295% $1,101.50 $18.940 $94.80 $4.4780 $2.6295
thebrowns 17,322.38 1,953.42 4,402.56 17,193.78 $623.98 $1.3356 3.423% 4.449% $998.87 $21.52 $99.41 $4.3260 $2.8496
jerryc436 17,767.66 1,977.25 4,599.77 17,302.33 $667.00 $1.470 3.43% 4.45% $1,125.00 $19.220 $89.500 $4.150 $2.670
Old War Skule 18,399.00 1,870.00 4,719.00 16,943.00 $662.00 $1.4300 3.550% 4.530% $1,109.00 $21.860 $112.43 $4.720 $3.4500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
Jed Zep.. 17,421.00 1,726.00 4,258.00 17,145.00 $615.32 $1.3250 3.125% 4.108% $1,056.38 $17.650 $93.55 $3.9820 $2.6500
reb13 18,500.00 2,400.00 5,000.00 20,000.00 $650.00 $1.2800 3.600% 4.600% $1,600.00 $30.00 $88.00 $6.0000 $2.6800
ColKilgore 17,239.61 1,913.05 4,343.65 16,942.96 $617.12 $1.3600 2.036% 2.976% $1,158.85 $18.520 $100.62 $6.2480 $3.7896
ITNEVERRAINS 17,500.00 2,000.00 4,500.00 19,750.00 $725.00 $1.4000 3.500% 4.875% $1,250.00 $22.000 $87.00 $5.2500 $3.0000
Lsut81* 16,800.00 1,975.00 4,300.00 16,400.00 $615.00 $1.5000 3.250% 4.300% $1,400.00 $22.000 $96.00 $3.7500 $2.6500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
TheBigHurt 14,700.00 1,350.50 3,200.31 13,300.45 $475.12 $1.4500 3.236% 3.976% $1,405.20 $27.200 $102.62 $4.8480 $3.1890
BigBoyTiger 17,134.32 1,905.34 4,423.12 18,127.46 $623.34 $1.4235 3.534% 4.325% $1,194.76 $21.980 $102.69 $4.5630 $2.8245
ProjectPat 15,200.00 1,700.00 3,800.00 14,600.00 $540.00 $1.4000 4.000% 5.200% $1,000.00 $15.000 $105.00 $5.0000 $3.0000
kennypowers816* 17,237.00 1,992.00 4,296.00 17,042.00 $604.00 $1.4850 4.300% 5.050% $1,250.00 $19.75 $97.50 $4.4000 $2.7500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
rmc...... 17,135.50 1,910.23 4,323.12 18,000.00 $450.66 $1.2500 2.875% 3.875% $1,300.00 $23.160 $100.00 $4.7300 $3.02
HtownTiger 17,154.14 1,914.14 4,314.14 16,814.14 $577.14 $1.2914 3.414% 4.314% $1,177.14 $18.140 $88.14 $5.014 $2.9140
Hoodatt* 17,543.40 1,901.36 4,906.50 15,292.31 $961.02 $1.3016 2.036% 4.275% $850.20 $22.52 $98.62 $4.2480 $2.7896
Smacko..Hawg 17,850.00 2,010.00 4,830.00 16,150.00 $600.00 $1.35 3.200% 4.000% $1,100.00 $18.50 $100.00 $4.40 $2.800
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
LSU0358 18,500.00 2,050.00 4,500.00 16,000.00 $500.00 $1.100 3.700% 4.200% $1,400.20 $24.00 $68.00 $4.75 $2.30
C.......... 17,000.00 1,980.00 4,400.00 19,000.00 $650.00 $1.45 3.300% 4.500% $1,150.00 $19.50 $80.00 $4.78 $2.50
Kill Switch 16,488.02 1,804.15 4,155.88 16,207.71 $513.75 $1.3200 3.000% 3.930% $1,235.26 $21.1500 $95.66 $4.9870 $2.89000
djmicrobe 18,201.52 1,908.63 4,250.19 17,391.31 $600.00 $1.3256 4.036% 4.976% $1,405.20 $21.5200 $95.72 $4.448 $2.9852
threeputt 18,875.75 1,775.75 4,255.55 17,058.55 $555.75 $1.1176 3.750% 4.005% $1,175.25 $19.7500 $105.780 $5.3250 $3.2597
OnTheBrink 14,560.63 1,615.80 3,516.19 15,100.31 $502.02 $1.205 3.500% 4.200% $1,450.20 $25.5200 $90.62 $4.5200 $3.0200
....................DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
white perch 17,500.00 2,000.00 4,500.00 17,000.00 $600.00 $1.00 2.036% 2.976% $1,000.00 $15.00 $100.00 $7.0000 $2.7500
Walking the Earth 17,999.00 2,020.00 4,641.00 17,081.00 $505.00 $1.32 2.920% 3.880% $999.00 $17.95 $91.00 $3.9900 $2.9500
Sho Nuff 15,866.62 2,002.22 4,334.98 17,666.00 $675.00 $1.2981 3.236% 4.036% $1,450.52 $22.460 $101.99 $4.623 $3.0987
PlanoPrivateer 18,250.00 2,030.00 4,600.00 17,000.00 $575.00 $1.2500 4.00% 5.10% $1,150.00 $18.50 $95.00 $4.50 $2.650
RickAstley 17,467.13 2,106.77 4,371.42 17,899.19 $525.89 $1.4700 3.053% 4.157% $1,274.18 $25.37 $95.15 $4.4500 $2.6500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
ell 13 15,850.00 1,785.00 4,000.00 15,200.00 $550.00 $1.4100 3.300% 4.500% $1,450.00 $26.500 $108.00 $3.9000 $3.3000
overbrook 18,904.39 2,650.71 4,704.16 16,720.57 $642.99 $1.3457 3.482% 4.295% $1,101.50 $18.940 $94.80 $4.4780 $2.6295
thebrowns 17,322.38 1,953.42 4,402.56 17,193.78 $623.98 $1.3356 3.423% 4.449% $998.87 $21.52 $99.41 $4.3260 $2.8496
jerryc436 17,767.66 1,977.25 4,599.77 17,302.33 $667.00 $1.470 3.43% 4.45% $1,125.00 $19.220 $89.500 $4.150 $2.670
Old War Skule 18,399.00 1,870.00 4,719.00 16,943.00 $662.00 $1.4300 3.550% 4.530% $1,109.00 $21.860 $112.43 $4.720 $3.4500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
Jed Zep.. 17,421.00 1,726.00 4,258.00 17,145.00 $615.32 $1.3250 3.125% 4.108% $1,056.38 $17.650 $93.55 $3.9820 $2.6500
reb13 18,500.00 2,400.00 5,000.00 20,000.00 $650.00 $1.2800 3.600% 4.600% $1,600.00 $30.00 $88.00 $6.0000 $2.6800
ColKilgore 17,239.61 1,913.05 4,343.65 16,942.96 $617.12 $1.3600 2.036% 2.976% $1,158.85 $18.520 $100.62 $6.2480 $3.7896
ITNEVERRAINS 17,500.00 2,000.00 4,500.00 19,750.00 $725.00 $1.4000 3.500% 4.875% $1,250.00 $22.000 $87.00 $5.2500 $3.0000
Lsut81* 16,800.00 1,975.00 4,300.00 16,400.00 $615.00 $1.5000 3.250% 4.300% $1,400.00 $22.000 $96.00 $3.7500 $2.6500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
TheBigHurt 14,700.00 1,350.50 3,200.31 13,300.45 $475.12 $1.4500 3.236% 3.976% $1,405.20 $27.200 $102.62 $4.8480 $3.1890
BigBoyTiger 17,134.32 1,905.34 4,423.12 18,127.46 $623.34 $1.4235 3.534% 4.325% $1,194.76 $21.980 $102.69 $4.5630 $2.8245
ProjectPat 15,200.00 1,700.00 3,800.00 14,600.00 $540.00 $1.4000 4.000% 5.200% $1,000.00 $15.000 $105.00 $5.0000 $3.0000
kennypowers816* 17,237.00 1,992.00 4,296.00 17,042.00 $604.00 $1.4850 4.300% 5.050% $1,250.00 $19.75 $97.50 $4.4000 $2.7500
Posted on 1/13/14 at 10:53 am to OnTheBrink
quote:
These 3 late entries need asterisks by their name in the standings.
You can't prove shite... I never failed a test and you cant provide the needles, just sayin
Posted on 1/13/14 at 11:16 am to LSURussian
We have 30 posters participating in the prediction contest. That's one more than last year.
Below are some stats for the predictions.
There are some pretty big spreads between the lowest and highest predictions (100%+/- differences) in some categories including AAPL, gold, silver, oil and natural gas.
.................................DJ30....... S&P.... NASD.... NIKKEI.... AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr...... 30yr........ Gold....... Silver...... Oil... Nat Gas. Whole
Average Prediction 17,252.24 1,938.58 4,358.18 16,907.60 $599.07 $1.3328 3.3107% 4.2819% $1,214.72 $21.1893 $96.01 $4.7377 $2.8920
Minimum Predict... 14,560.63 1,350.50 3,200.31 13,300.45 $450.66 $1.0000 2.036% 2.976%... $850.20... $15.0000.. $68.00 $3.7500 $2.3000
Maximum Predict... 18,904.39 2,650.71 5,000.00 20,000.00 $961.02 $1.5000 4.300% 5.200%... $1,600.00. $30.0000 $112.43 $7.0000 $3.7896
Below are some stats for the predictions.
There are some pretty big spreads between the lowest and highest predictions (100%+/- differences) in some categories including AAPL, gold, silver, oil and natural gas.
.................................DJ30....... S&P.... NASD.... NIKKEI.... AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr...... 30yr........ Gold....... Silver...... Oil... Nat Gas. Whole
Average Prediction 17,252.24 1,938.58 4,358.18 16,907.60 $599.07 $1.3328 3.3107% 4.2819% $1,214.72 $21.1893 $96.01 $4.7377 $2.8920
Minimum Predict... 14,560.63 1,350.50 3,200.31 13,300.45 $450.66 $1.0000 2.036% 2.976%... $850.20... $15.0000.. $68.00 $3.7500 $2.3000
Maximum Predict... 18,904.39 2,650.71 5,000.00 20,000.00 $961.02 $1.5000 4.300% 5.200%... $1,600.00. $30.0000 $112.43 $7.0000 $3.7896
This post was edited on 1/13/14 at 11:26 am
Posted on 1/13/14 at 11:45 am to LSURussian
As of 11:35 this morning, here are the current rankings sorted from lowest deviation for predictions compared to the
current actual prices to highest.
The % number is the average deviation from actual for that poster's predictions.
Only 352 days to go!
1 Year to Date Deviation from 12/31/13 3.066%
2 Kill Switch 4.433%
3 LSURussian 7.115%
4 Jed Zeppelin 7.240%
5 RickAstley 7.835%
6 Walking the Earth 7.982%
7 Lsut81* 8.052%
8 SmackoverHawg 8.101%
9 rmc 8.175%
10 HtownTiger 8.731%
11 thebrowns 9.631%
12 BigBoyTiger 9.634%
13 jerryc436 9.678%
14 Sho Nuff 10.842%
15 C 10.918%
16 kennypowers816* 11.189%
17 ell 13 11.581%
18 djmicrobe 11.830%
19 PlanoPrivateer 12.006%
20 threeputt 12.210%
21 OnTheBrink 12.312%
22 overbrook 12.500%
23 LSU0358 14.077%
24 ITNEVERRAINS 14.427%
25 Old War Skule 14.496%
26 ColKilgore 15.415%
27 ProjectPat 15.624%
28 TheBigHurt 15.810%
29 Hoodatt* 16.295%
30 white perch 18.613%
31 reb13 22.079%
current actual prices to highest.
The % number is the average deviation from actual for that poster's predictions.
Only 352 days to go!
1 Year to Date Deviation from 12/31/13 3.066%
2 Kill Switch 4.433%
3 LSURussian 7.115%
4 Jed Zeppelin 7.240%
5 RickAstley 7.835%
6 Walking the Earth 7.982%
7 Lsut81* 8.052%
8 SmackoverHawg 8.101%
9 rmc 8.175%
10 HtownTiger 8.731%
11 thebrowns 9.631%
12 BigBoyTiger 9.634%
13 jerryc436 9.678%
14 Sho Nuff 10.842%
15 C 10.918%
16 kennypowers816* 11.189%
17 ell 13 11.581%
18 djmicrobe 11.830%
19 PlanoPrivateer 12.006%
20 threeputt 12.210%
21 OnTheBrink 12.312%
22 overbrook 12.500%
23 LSU0358 14.077%
24 ITNEVERRAINS 14.427%
25 Old War Skule 14.496%
26 ColKilgore 15.415%
27 ProjectPat 15.624%
28 TheBigHurt 15.810%
29 Hoodatt* 16.295%
30 white perch 18.613%
31 reb13 22.079%
Posted on 1/13/14 at 12:50 pm to LSURussian
quote:
LSURussian
The asterisks.
Also, going for my third straight top 25 season! Right on pace!
Posted on 1/13/14 at 3:01 pm to OnTheBrink
Hmmmm, after watching the stock market today, can I change my predictions???
Posted on 1/13/14 at 3:06 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Hmmmm, after watching the stock market today, can I change my predictions???
Only if you put an asterik by your name....
Dick
Posted on 1/13/14 at 3:19 pm to LSURussian
quote:
Hmmmm, after watching the stock market today, can I change my predictions???
I am the lowest on the DOW30 prediction.
My thoughts behind it, if I am close, oh well, I win another free year at TD. If, and hopefully, I am far off, my accounts win!
See, win-win.
Posted on 1/13/14 at 3:41 pm to OnTheBrink
quote:
I win another free year at TD
You should really pay for the premium subscription.... Just saying
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