(9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices. | Page 4 | TigerDroppings.com

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Lsut81
USA Fan
Member since Jun 2005
64950 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


Shots in the dark....


DowJones 30 Average: 16,800
S&P 500 Index: 1,975
NASDAQ: 4,300
Japan Nikkei Index: 16,400
Apple Computer (AAPL): $615
Euro/$: $1.5
10 YR Bond Yield: 3.25
30 YR Bond Yield: 4.30%
Gold/Oz: $1,400
Silver/Oz: $22
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $96
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $3.75
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.65






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kennypowers816
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Jan 2010
1870 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


I know it's past the deadline... but if you'll still take it... If not, no big deal

DowJones 30 Average: 17,237
S&P 500 Index: 1,992
NASDAQ: 4,296
Japan Nikkei Index: 17,042
Apple Computer (AAPL): $604
Euro/$: $1.485
10 YR Bond Yield: 4.30%
30 YR Bond Yield: 5.05%
Gold/Oz: $1,250
Silver/Oz: $19.75
Oil/barrel (WTI crude): $97.50
Natural Gas/'000 cubic ft: $4.40
Wholesale Gasoline/gal: $2.75






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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
82841 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


You're in.

The contest is now closed.

I'm going to compile some stats on the predictions and post them in a little while.






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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
82841 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


Kenny, were you a 10 month baby?



Okay, I'll add you, but just this once.






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kennypowers816
LSU Fan
Houston
Member since Jan 2010
1870 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


Yeah, my bad. Just in the nick of time I suppose

I wasn't really planning on doing it again, but I figured... what the heck, why not? I have absolutely no basis for why I made those predictions...

Thanks






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OnTheBrink
Alabama Fan
TN
Member since Mar 2012
3828 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


These 3 late entries need asterisks by their name in the standings.





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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
82841 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


Good idea. Like Roger Maris, right?





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OnTheBrink
Alabama Fan
TN
Member since Mar 2012
3828 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


Exactly!





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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
82841 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


Please check your numbers below. I don't claim to be the world's best Excel input typist. Please post any corrections in a new post. Thanks.

...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
rmc...... 17,135.50 1,910.23 4,323.12 18,000.00 $450.66 $1.2500 2.875% 3.875% $1,300.00 $23.160 $100.00 $4.7300 $3.02

HtownTiger 17,154.14 1,914.14 4,314.14 16,814.14 $577.14 $1.2914 3.414% 4.314% $1,177.14 $18.140 $88.14 $5.014 $2.9140

Hoodatt* 17,543.40 1,901.36 4,906.50 15,292.31 $961.02 $1.3016 2.036% 4.275% $850.20 $22.52 $98.62 $4.2480 $2.7896

Smacko..Hawg 17,850.00 2,010.00 4,830.00 16,150.00 $600.00 $1.35 3.200% 4.000% $1,100.00 $18.50 $100.00 $4.40 $2.800

...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
LSU0358 18,500.00 2,050.00 4,500.00 16,000.00 $500.00 $1.100 3.700% 4.200% $1,400.20 $24.00 $68.00 $4.75 $2.30

C.......... 17,000.00 1,980.00 4,400.00 19,000.00 $650.00 $1.45 3.300% 4.500% $1,150.00 $19.50 $80.00 $4.78 $2.50

Kill Switch 16,488.02 1,804.15 4,155.88 16,207.71 $513.75 $1.3200 3.000% 3.930% $1,235.26 $21.1500 $95.66 $4.9870 $2.89000

djmicrobe 18,201.52 1,908.63 4,250.19 17,391.31 $600.00 $1.3256 4.036% 4.976% $1,405.20 $21.5200 $95.72 $4.448 $2.9852

threeputt 18,875.75 1,775.75 4,255.55 17,058.55 $555.75 $1.1176 3.750% 4.005% $1,175.25 $19.7500 $105.780 $5.3250 $3.2597

OnTheBrink 14,560.63 1,615.80 3,516.19 15,100.31 $502.02 $1.205 3.500% 4.200% $1,450.20 $25.5200 $90.62 $4.5200 $3.0200

....................DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
white perch 17,500.00 2,000.00 4,500.00 17,000.00 $600.00 $1.00 2.036% 2.976% $1,000.00 $15.00 $100.00 $7.0000 $2.7500

Walking the Earth 17,999.00 2,020.00 4,641.00 17,081.00 $505.00 $1.32 2.920% 3.880% $999.00 $17.95 $91.00 $3.9900 $2.9500

Sho Nuff 15,866.62 2,002.22 4,334.98 17,666.00 $675.00 $1.2981 3.236% 4.036% $1,450.52 $22.460 $101.99 $4.623 $3.0987

PlanoPrivateer 18,250.00 2,030.00 4,600.00 17,000.00 $575.00 $1.2500 4.00% 5.10% $1,150.00 $18.50 $95.00 $4.50 $2.650

RickAstley 17,467.13 2,106.77 4,371.42 17,899.19 $525.89 $1.4700 3.053% 4.157% $1,274.18 $25.37 $95.15 $4.4500 $2.6500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
ell 13 15,850.00 1,785.00 4,000.00 15,200.00 $550.00 $1.4100 3.300% 4.500% $1,450.00 $26.500 $108.00 $3.9000 $3.3000

overbrook 18,904.39 2,650.71 4,704.16 16,720.57 $642.99 $1.3457 3.482% 4.295% $1,101.50 $18.940 $94.80 $4.4780 $2.6295

thebrowns 17,322.38 1,953.42 4,402.56 17,193.78 $623.98 $1.3356 3.423% 4.449% $998.87 $21.52 $99.41 $4.3260 $2.8496

jerryc436 17,767.66 1,977.25 4,599.77 17,302.33 $667.00 $1.470 3.43% 4.45% $1,125.00 $19.220 $89.500 $4.150 $2.670

Old War Skule 18,399.00 1,870.00 4,719.00 16,943.00 $662.00 $1.4300 3.550% 4.530% $1,109.00 $21.860 $112.43 $4.720 $3.4500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
Jed Zep.. 17,421.00 1,726.00 4,258.00 17,145.00 $615.32 $1.3250 3.125% 4.108% $1,056.38 $17.650 $93.55 $3.9820 $2.6500

reb13 18,500.00 2,400.00 5,000.00 20,000.00 $650.00 $1.2800 3.600% 4.600% $1,600.00 $30.00 $88.00 $6.0000 $2.6800

ColKilgore 17,239.61 1,913.05 4,343.65 16,942.96 $617.12 $1.3600 2.036% 2.976% $1,158.85 $18.520 $100.62 $6.2480 $3.7896

ITNEVERRAINS 17,500.00 2,000.00 4,500.00 19,750.00 $725.00 $1.4000 3.500% 4.875% $1,250.00 $22.000 $87.00 $5.2500 $3.0000

Lsut81* 16,800.00 1,975.00 4,300.00 16,400.00 $615.00 $1.5000 3.250% 4.300% $1,400.00 $22.000 $96.00 $3.7500 $2.6500
...............DJ30.... S&P.... NASDAQ... NIKKEI.. AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr..... 30yr...... Gold..... Silver..... Oil..... Nat Gas.. Whole Gas
TheBigHurt 14,700.00 1,350.50 3,200.31 13,300.45 $475.12 $1.4500 3.236% 3.976% $1,405.20 $27.200 $102.62 $4.8480 $3.1890

BigBoyTiger 17,134.32 1,905.34 4,423.12 18,127.46 $623.34 $1.4235 3.534% 4.325% $1,194.76 $21.980 $102.69 $4.5630 $2.8245

ProjectPat 15,200.00 1,700.00 3,800.00 14,600.00 $540.00 $1.4000 4.000% 5.200% $1,000.00 $15.000 $105.00 $5.0000 $3.0000

kennypowers816* 17,237.00 1,992.00 4,296.00 17,042.00 $604.00 $1.4850 4.300% 5.050% $1,250.00 $19.75 $97.50 $4.4000 $2.7500






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Lsut81
USA Fan
Member since Jun 2005
64950 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


quote:

These 3 late entries need asterisks by their name in the standings.


You can't prove shite... I never failed a test and you cant provide the needles, just sayin






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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
82841 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


We have 30 posters participating in the prediction contest. That's one more than last year.

Below are some stats for the predictions.

There are some pretty big spreads between the lowest and highest predictions (100%+/- differences) in some categories including AAPL, gold, silver, oil and natural gas.

.................................DJ30....... S&P.... NASD.... NIKKEI.... AAPL.... EUR/$... 10yr...... 30yr........ Gold....... Silver...... Oil... Nat Gas. Whole
Average Prediction 17,252.24 1,938.58 4,358.18 16,907.60 $599.07 $1.3328 3.3107% 4.2819% $1,214.72 $21.1893 $96.01 $4.7377 $2.8920

Minimum Predict... 14,560.63 1,350.50 3,200.31 13,300.45 $450.66 $1.0000 2.036% 2.976%... $850.20... $15.0000.. $68.00 $3.7500 $2.3000

Maximum Predict... 18,904.39 2,650.71 5,000.00 20,000.00 $961.02 $1.5000 4.300% 5.200%... $1,600.00. $30.0000 $112.43 $7.0000 $3.7896



This post was edited on 1/13 at 11:26 am


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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
82841 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


As of 11:35 this morning, here are the current rankings sorted from lowest deviation for predictions compared to the
current actual prices to highest.

The % number is the average deviation from actual for that poster's predictions.

Only 352 days to go!

1 Year to Date Deviation from 12/31/13 3.066%
2 Kill Switch 4.433%
3 LSURussian 7.115%
4 Jed Zeppelin 7.240%
5 RickAstley 7.835%
6 Walking the Earth 7.982%
7 Lsut81* 8.052%
8 SmackoverHawg 8.101%
9 rmc 8.175%
10 HtownTiger 8.731%
11 thebrowns 9.631%
12 BigBoyTiger 9.634%
13 jerryc436 9.678%
14 Sho Nuff 10.842%
15 C 10.918%
16 kennypowers816* 11.189%
17 ell 13 11.581%
18 djmicrobe 11.830%
19 PlanoPrivateer 12.006%
20 threeputt 12.210%
21 OnTheBrink 12.312%
22 overbrook 12.500%
23 LSU0358 14.077%
24 ITNEVERRAINS 14.427%
25 Old War Skule 14.496%
26 ColKilgore 15.415%
27 ProjectPat 15.624%
28 TheBigHurt 15.810%
29 Hoodatt* 16.295%
30 white perch 18.613%
31 reb13 22.079%






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white perch
LSU Fan
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
2784 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


Not last place







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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
82841 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.








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OnTheBrink
Alabama Fan
TN
Member since Mar 2012
3828 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


quote:

LSURussian


The asterisks.

Also, going for my third straight top 25 season! Right on pace!






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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
82841 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


Hmmmm, after watching the stock market today, can I change my predictions???





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Lsut81
USA Fan
Member since Jun 2005
64950 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


quote:

Hmmmm, after watching the stock market today, can I change my predictions???


Only if you put an asterik by your name....



Dick






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OnTheBrink
Alabama Fan
TN
Member since Mar 2012
3828 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


quote:

Hmmmm, after watching the stock market today, can I change my predictions???


I am the lowest on the DOW30 prediction.

My thoughts behind it, if I am close, oh well, I win another free year at TD. If, and hopefully, I am far off, my accounts win!

See, win-win.






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thebrowns
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2013
168 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.








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Lsut81
USA Fan
Member since Jun 2005
64950 posts

re: (9/30/14 Updated standings are on page 9.) Predict the 12/31/2014 market prices.


quote:

I win another free year at TD



You should really pay for the premium subscription.... Just saying






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