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Started By
Message
re: BOIL has become predictable
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:07 am to sneakytiger
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:07 am to sneakytiger
quote:
I want to add more but I'm starting to doubt this trade.
What are you holding? Getting smoked on KOLD and DGAZ here.
1
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:08 am to TigeRoots
Just be patient........I've sold many times cutting profits by panicking.
let's see how it holds in June and July.
let's see how it holds in June and July.
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 11:10 am
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:10 am to L S Usetheforce
Cash price and futures prices are way disconnected right now. I'm shorting more Natty Gas this morning.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:11 am to Iowa Golfer
quote:
Cash price and futures prices are way disconnected right now
And I've learned this more than anything is the real story.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:13 am to L S Usetheforce
quote:
Just be patient
Oh no doubt. I'm not going anywhere.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:13 am to L S Usetheforce
Well Force Be Used Against Weak B1G Teams by Superior (for reasons not stated) SEC Teams Man, I'm following you on this, and I have a fairly sizable bet you are correct.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:21 am to Iowa Golfer
I can tell you in the natural gas game when it rains it poors........I've seen KOLD drop 30 bucks in week and gain 40 in 2.............. 
I've seen UNG sit at 20-21 for 3 months and then a month later its 24.
I've seen UNG sit at 20-21 for 3 months and then a month later its 24.
This post was edited on 4/17/14 at 11:24 am
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:23 am to L S Usetheforce
I'm in UNG July puts.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 11:28 am to L S Usetheforce
quote:
gain 40 in 2
Here's to Deja Vu!
Posted on 4/17/14 at 6:15 pm to L S Usetheforce
UNG is leaving money on the table with their pending trades, so although the author that states it's not as expensive to roll is correct, it is still expensive.
I didn't buy more puts toddy, although I should have. The market was crazy, and I was fixated on some other trading issues.
I didn't buy more puts toddy, although I should have. The market was crazy, and I was fixated on some other trading issues.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 6:47 pm to L S Usetheforce
I just noticed predictable is spelled wrong in the title
Posted on 4/17/14 at 7:27 pm to TheIndulger
quote:
I just noticed predictable is spelled wrong in the title
Wow. Never noticed that.
Posted on 4/17/14 at 10:23 pm to TigeRoots
I don't care how he spells. He seems pretty smart to me, and all I care about is natty gas declining bu July expiry.
Posted on 4/21/14 at 7:34 am to Iowa Golfer
Cash price took off last night, July contracts trading this morning at 4.815, and I'd expect going up all day.
Posted on 4/21/14 at 2:49 pm to Iowa Golfer
I know the whole storage issue has been a hot topic. Couldn't we acquire gas from Canada if we were really worried about filling up to normal storage levels?
Posted on 4/21/14 at 7:21 pm to TheBigHurt
We have more than enough to fill to normal storage levels, but the last report showed it wasn't filling storage quickly enough.
The bears are still hopeful based on this supply, and the bulls are hoping for an extremely hot summer, making the supplies continue to increase more slowly than normal.
Right now the US is a NG importer. And we are talking about exporting up to 60% of what we produce. NG is still too low for shale to have any sort of impact.
This is my understanding of where we stand.
The bears are still hopeful based on this supply, and the bulls are hoping for an extremely hot summer, making the supplies continue to increase more slowly than normal.
Right now the US is a NG importer. And we are talking about exporting up to 60% of what we produce. NG is still too low for shale to have any sort of impact.
This is my understanding of where we stand.
This post was edited on 4/21/14 at 7:23 pm
Posted on 4/22/14 at 7:23 am to TheBigHurt
I posted an eia report expecting a record injection season.
Posted on 4/22/14 at 2:52 pm to L S Usetheforce
I hope that the record injection EIA report is right on... I have had a tough time trusting the government though. Wouldn't producers benefit from dragging out the injections, keeping gas prices high (making more money?)
I'm hoping for a cool summer (less gas used for electricity / power grid) and record injection as I am pretty heavy in DGAZ around 3.70 in my fidelity play fund. Hope to see 7-8 dollar levels come July/Aug.
Hopeful! LEGEAUX!!!
I'm hoping for a cool summer (less gas used for electricity / power grid) and record injection as I am pretty heavy in DGAZ around 3.70 in my fidelity play fund. Hope to see 7-8 dollar levels come July/Aug.
Hopeful! LEGEAUX!!!
Posted on 4/22/14 at 3:34 pm to TheBigHurt
It is a double edged sword Hurt, you can drag out your injection and lose profit and current price or you can pull as hard as you can to make record profits.
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